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[Politics] Russia invades Ukraine (24/02/2022)



GT49er

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Feb 1, 2009
49,188
Gloucester
Is that like our Brexit referendum, only in reverse?
What was our outcome? 52% to 48% - this one looks even closer.
Now wondering if the leave (for us) was won with a bit of Russian persuasion?
I think they were trying to influence the vote.
No. As far as loser-friendly conspiracy theories go, that's up there with Trump's claim to have won the 2020 election. Remain lost because more people voted for Leave - it's that simple, really.
 




Triggaaar

Well-known member
Oct 24, 2005
53,203
Goldstone
No. As far as loser-friendly conspiracy theories go, that's up there with Trump's claim to have won the 2020 election. Remain lost because more people voted for Leave - it's that simple, really.

Yes, more people voted for leave.

But how is that proof that Russia did not make payments to people or do anything online to increase the chance?
 


GT49er

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Feb 1, 2009
49,188
Gloucester
Yes, more people voted for leave.

But how is that proof that Russia did not make payments to people or do anything online to increase the chance?
When someone puts forward a conspiracy theory, the onus is on them to prove it. Unless or until they do, it remains no more than a conspiracy theory. Which is piss all, really.
 


Eric the meek

Fiveways Wilf
NSC Patron
Aug 24, 2020
7,142
When someone puts forward a conspiracy theory, the onus is on them to prove it. Unless or until they do, it remains no more than a conspiracy theory. Which is piss all, really.
Do you think the same about the theory that Putin has Kompromat on Trump? Is that a conspiracy theory with piss all evidence?
 


GT49er

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Feb 1, 2009
49,188
Gloucester
Do you think the same about the theory that Putin has Kompromat on Trump? Is that a conspiracy theory with piss all evidence?
I've absolutely no idea. I agree it's a conspiracy theory. That do?

Anyway, this current backwater on this excellent thread about the war in Ukraine was started by someone trying to bring Brexit into it, which is entirely inappropriate, so I'm out.
 




Triggaaar

Well-known member
Oct 24, 2005
53,203
Goldstone
When someone puts forward a conspiracy theory, the onus is on them to prove it. Unless or until they do, it remains no more than a conspiracy theory. Which is piss all, really.

I disagree.

Does Putin/Russia have anything to gain from breaking up the EU?
Yes.

Given that they have something to gain, would they do anything to aid the break up if they could?
Yes.

I'd say it's more of a conspiracy theory to suggest they didn't try to aid it. Just as it would be weird if Russia weren't trying to help Trump get elected. Or do you really want us to believe that Russia don't have spies and don't post propaganda online via shills?
 


Shropshire Seagull

Well-known member
Nov 5, 2004
8,790
Telford
I've absolutely no idea. I agree it's a conspiracy theory. That do?

Anyway, this current backwater on this excellent thread about the war in Ukraine was started by someone trying to bring Brexit into it, which is entirely inappropriate, so I'm out.
Now hold on old chap ...

I only mentioned Brexit as a comparison to the current Moldova voting that is alleged to have Russian shenanigans seeking to gain them some perceived long term advantage, and merely posed the question, could something similar have happened here.

Not sure if I should be offended at being called a "conspiricy theorist with piss all evidence", but I care not, was just putting it out there as a thought.

I too, have no wish to derail this brilliant thread, so happy to leave it there ....
 


Nobby

Well-known member
Sep 29, 2007
2,893
I've absolutely no idea. I agree it's a conspiracy theory. That do?

Anyway, this current backwater on this excellent thread about the war in Ukraine was started by someone trying to bring Brexit into it, which is entirely inappropriate, so I'm out.
Good. Bye
Because if you can’t see a link then that is very naive. And the sort of attitude that Putin et al have been trying to generate across the EU.
 




sparkie

Well-known member
Jul 17, 2003
13,274
Hove
Is that like our Brexit referendum, only in reverse?
What was our outcome? 52% to 48% - this one looks even closer.
Now wondering if the leave (for us) was won with a bit of Russian persuasion?
The goblin was punching the air and dancing down the corridors of the Kremlin when he heard the Brexit result.

Money well spent via the RT budget paying "appearance money" to a couple of the usual suspects - and no doubt many other payments to other means of spreading misinformation.

The Kremlin excels at hybrid information warfare - as seen in Moldova and Georgia. Kremlin information warfare engendered just enough anti-NATO sentiment in Finland and Sweden to keep them out of NATO. Oh well, they've blown that now.

It is fair to say that the Kremlin's information warfare results are a better return on its money than its military warfare results.

The Kremlin can go again and again in Moldova, Georgia, the US, France, Germany etc. etc. using information warfare without the military cost it has suffered in Ukraine.

It would have been better trying to fix the Ukrainian elections rather than invading Ukraine in 2022.
 
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Hugo Rune

Well-known member
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Feb 23, 2012
23,695
Brighton
I wonder if other Russian oligarchs are buying bungalows
Everytime another Russian is whacked using this method, it puts me in mind of that scene from Bowie’s ‘The Man Who Fell To Earth’.

I wonder how many times this Oligarch bounced off the window before he finally smashed through it to his death? It seems to be the favourite Putin dispatch method alongside shooting down planes and radioactive poisoning.
 


raymondo

Well-known member
Apr 26, 2017
7,386
Wiltshire
I know this is political economics, but the motley collection of countries, many harbouring tensions and grudges with one another, is quite interesting. There are now so many countries I won't ever be spending holidays in!
BBC News - Putin gathers allies to show West's pressure isn’t working
 


nevergoagain

Well-known member
Jul 28, 2005
1,539
nowhere near Burgess Hill
I know this is political economics, but the motley collection of countries, many harbouring tensions and grudges with one another, is quite interesting. There are now so many countries I won't ever be spending holidays in!
BBC News - Putin gathers allies to show West's pressure isn’t working
Agreed a lot more countries there than I would have expected. Some are obviously playing both sides which shouldn't go unnoticed. I can't imagine anyone putting sanctions on India though might make them stop and think.
 








rogersix

Well-known member
Jan 18, 2014
8,202
When someone puts forward a conspiracy theory, the onus is on them to prove it. Unless or until they do, it remains no more than a conspiracy theory. Which is piss all, really.
Where did arun banks get the £7M from, and why did he repeatedly refuse to say where he got it from? Not proof I know, but the liklihood of probabilities would suggest.......
 


Johnny RoastBeef

These aren't the players you're looking for.
Jan 11, 2016
3,472
Where did arun banks get the £7M from, and why did he repeatedly refuse to say where he got it from? Not proof I know, but the liklihood of probabilities would suggest.......

It's all very innocent, definitely nothing suspicious regarding his Russian wife, her family or his admiration for Adolf Putin.
 






raymondo

Well-known member
Apr 26, 2017
7,386
Wiltshire
Even if, in the unlikely event that Russia wins the war, its war veterans, politicians and propagandists will still face a deeply uncertain future.

The memory of the partisans is long, and their reach is far.
I am amazed that none have been arrested and trialled these two years. Not for:
- Petrol bombs
- drive by shooting
- internal drone activities
- hammerfest
- target identification.....
I guess it's possible they have but Russia won't publicize it. Never seen any news myself.
 


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