[Albion] Top 4 finish

[Triggaaar]

Got 15/2 quite a while ago with PP. Still struggle to find 3 better sides than us.

Liverpool, Arsenal, City, Chelsea

I don't see how you can argue against those.

 

[Mike Small]

Liverpool, Arsenal, City, Chelsea

I don't see how you can argue against those.

Agree but City points deduction? If Odegaard and Palmer got injured too….

 

[The Maharajah of Sydney]

Current expectations are to finish on about 61 points
Start of the season we were being quoted 49-51, so 11pts better and on the improve.
Personally, I think we'll finish well above Spurs but not so confident about Villa.

Here's the latest Spread Market pre the Newcastle v West Ham game.

 

[oldboyroy]

Current expectations are to finish on about 61 points
Start of the season we were being quoted 49-51, so 11pts better and on the improve.
Personally, I think we'll finish well above Spurs but not so confident about Villa.

Here's the latest Spread Market pre the Newcastle v West Ham game.

View attachment 192864

Yet I think the other way round. Villa with champions league football are spluttering whereas spurs overall I think, will finish higher. I can see villa finishing around 8th to 10th

 

[dazzer6666]

Agree to most of your points but think over the season those have European football which in a way helps us NOT having it! City struggling with injures, Arsenal bemoaning their injures and we're in the mix with them. It'll be very tough to keep in the mix but we're in with a chance presently.

I’ll very, very happily take a number of seasons of qualifying for Europe then having a season in Europe where our league form dips a bit and so on. Staying in/around the top half, regularly competing in Europe and finally winning a cup would be fantastic. This season just might be one where we can take advantage of others spluttering a bit, particularly with potentially 5 CL places up for grabs.

 

[Tom Hark Preston Park]

The Albion are currently (on bet365) 250/1 to win the title. Each way is 1/3 of the odds to finish 1st or 2nd. Clearly highly unlikely to happen. However if we go on a bit of a run and one or two others have a bit of a wobble they'll probably start offering you a Cashout to limit their potential liabilities, and that's where some profit may lie

 

[Triggaaar]

This year we could genuinely finish anywhere between 2nd and 12th. I don’t see us any lower than 12th, even if our season falls apart a bit in the 2nd half. Neither Arsenal nor Chelsea are flawless, almost all to play for.

I'm glad you're enjoying it and your glass is overflowing, but 13th, 14th, 15th are more likely than 2nd. City have had a bad month, but they'll turn it around, and Arsenal are still clearly better than us. Bournemouth are in 13th and we saw on Saturday they can be better than us at times.

 

[Triggaaar]

Agree but City points deduction?

Yes good point, but the post I was replying to was about struggling to find 3 better sides than us. City are better than us (it feels silly even having to write that down) even if they get a points deduction.

If Odegaard and Palmer got injured too….

As with your City point, this is more about whether it's possible for us to finish above them. If we don't get injuries, and our rivals do, we could do well, so it could happen. But like City, Arsenal are clearly a better side than us.

 

[Silverhatch]

Liverpool, Arsenal, City, Chelsea

I don't see how you can argue against those.

Liverpool & Arsenal & City at full chat will finish above us. We’ll beat Chelsea at the Amex. Getting done by them, in the manner we did - was the BEST thing to happen to Hurzeler (especially) this season.

 

[Bry Nylon]

Liverpool, Arsenal, City, Chelsea

And to think, three of those sides are well-stocked with many of our stand-out players of recent seasons. Yet in spite of buying up our top talent, they STILL can't shake us off.

 

[Falmer Flutter ©]

Current expectations are to finish on about 61 points
Start of the season we were being quoted 49-51, so 11pts better and on the improve.
Personally, I think we'll finish well above Spurs but not so confident about Villa.

Here's the latest Spread Market pre the Newcastle v West Ham game.

View attachment 192864

I'll be honest I know very little how these things work, but 61 points when we've currently got 22 after 12 games and a potentially decent run coming up seems a bit shy to me.

 

[DJ Chi]

I'll be honest I know very little how these things work, but 61 points when we've currently got 22 after 12 games and a potentially decent run coming up seems a bit shy to me.

It expects 39 points from our remaining 26 games, or a 57 point rate over a full season. Given the pre season expectation of 49-51, the model now rates us 7 points better over a full season than it did at the start, which feels fair enough

 

[LamieRobertson]

One game at a time an all that

 

[LamieRobertson]

Brighton are 'challenging establishment' - but how good can it get?

Since promotion to the top flight in 2017, the Seagulls have become a Premier League staple and now, under Fabian Hurzeler, are showing there is no limit to their ambitions.

www.bbc.co.uk

 

[amexer]

What are average number of points needed for 4th and 6th places

 

[Wilka]

Brighton are 'challenging establishment' - but how good can it get?

Since promotion to the top flight in 2017, the Seagulls have become a Premier League staple and now, under Fabian Hurzeler, are showing there is no limit to their ambitions.

www.bbc.co.uk

"Opta's model suggests Brighton will miss out on the Champions League places, with a 14.1% chance of claiming a top-four finish."

Bloom OUT!

 

[ConfusedGloryHunter]

I'll be honest I know very little how these things work, but 61 points when we've currently got 22 after 12 games and a potentially decent run coming up seems a bit shy to me.

Yeah, we could still get 100 points. Just need to beat all the teams around us and below...

 

[Albion Robster]

Europe again, ole...ole....ole...Europe again...

 

[oldboyroy]

At least we're keeping below the radar with very little talk about us. I did hear Crookie on TS mention us last week as "chasing the top 4" but other than that nothing after weekends results. It was all about United and City this am and the Spurs showing they should be top 4 material but its consistency they're lacking. Also the 'surprise package' Chelsea being in the title race if Liverpool have a wobble as they are level on points with Arsenal and only a point behind City!

 

[Tom Hark Preston Park]

At least we're keeping below the radar with very little talk about us. I did hear Crookie on TS mention us last week as "chasing the top 4" but other than that nothing after weekends results. It was all about United and City this am and the Spurs showing they should be top 4 material but its consistency they're lacking. Also the 'surprise package' Chelsea being in the title race if Liverpool have a wobble as they are level on points with Arsenal and only a point behind City!

Not exactly sure how 'below the radar' a club can be while occupying fifth place in the EPL