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[Politics] The 2024 US Election - *MATCH DAY*

Who will win the 2024 Presidential Election?

  • President Joe Biden - Democrat

    Votes: 3 0.7%
  • Donald Trump - Republican

    Votes: 173 41.9%
  • Vice President, Kamala Harris - Democrat

    Votes: 217 52.5%
  • Other Democratic candidate tbc

    Votes: 20 4.8%

  • Total voters
    413
  • This poll will close: .


Mellotron

I've asked for soup
Jul 2, 2008
32,467
Brighton
Surely actual voting is more reliable than relying on polymarket etc - doesn’t that just tell you who the betters think will win based on the current snapshot of time - that is why there has been so much fluctuation in the betting market? ie for weeks betting was way out of synch with polling because of Trump’s rhetoric largely - then came Iowa.

- it’s been Trump leading the narrative that the betting markets were more accurate than the polls to suit his ‘election was a steal’ agenda should he lose.

Don’t despair yet - as I said above, we’re seeing a lot of red at the moment because the rural votes are finishing counting much faster that the densely populated Democratic urban areas - I suspect the betting markets are reacting to that.

MSN saying swing States still too early to call.
Correct. We knew this was going to happen, both in the early counts and in the betting. See 2020. And 2016. And it’ll happen in 4 years’ time.

Not saying it isn’t going to go differently further up ahead, but so far everything is going pretty much as expected.
 






Pavilionaire

Well-known member
Jul 7, 2003
31,262
At least Harris is back ahead in Virginia. Polls close in a number of states in about 15 mins and Harris needs some good news fast.

If she feels bad then imagine how Melania must be feeling.
 


nwgull

Well-known member
Jul 25, 2003
14,532
Manchester
At least Harris is back ahead in Virginia. Polls close in a number of states in about 15 mins and Harris needs some good news fast.

If she feels bad then imagine how Melania must be feeling.
Nah, it’s over. The next 4 years are going to be tedious at best.

I really feel for the people of Ukraine and other countries bordering Russia.
 


Triggaaar

Well-known member
Oct 24, 2005
53,075
Goldstone
It looks like Trump's support on this thread is 0% yet he appears to be surging in the USA. Is that because we all hate Putin but most Americans don't care about Ukraine?

It's not like Putin is the only issue with Trump.

I know a few people in Michigan and they can't stand Trump, but the reason I know them is because they aren't insular. I think the main reason he's able to win is because many Americans can't distinguish between truth and lies in their so called news outlets.

Georgia is going to Trump, Harris needs all of the rust-belt states, and even Wisconsin looks like it'll go to Trump.
 






bhafc99

Well-known member
Oct 14, 2003
7,453
Dubai
How depressing. It looks like he’s done it.
 








Hugo Rune

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Feb 23, 2012
23,658
Brighton
Harris will win New Jersey but there has been a huge swing to Trump in this traditional Democratic area. It’s surely over for Harris.
 






BadFish

Huge Member
Oct 19, 2003
18,193
Can the senate save the US from themselves/Project 2025?
 












dwayne

Well-known member
Jul 5, 2003
16,258
London
Unbelievable how pathetic the polls have been. It's an absolute mauling and no one predicted it. Woeful display from the Dems, Kamala a dreadful candidate as I suspected.
 






Hugo Rune

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Feb 23, 2012
23,658
Brighton
Unbelievable how pathetic the polls have been. It's an absolute mauling and no one predicted it. Woeful display from the Dems, Kamala a dreadful candidate as I suspected.
She is doing worse than Biden everywhere.

I suspect it comes down to the fact that she is a black woman and he is a white old man. That’s Americans for you.
 




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