[Politics] The 2024 US Election - *MATCH DAY*

[Mellotron]

Surely actual voting is more reliable than relying on polymarket etc - doesn’t that just tell you who the betters think will win based on the current snapshot of time - that is why there has been so much fluctuation in the betting market? ie for weeks betting was way out of synch with polling because of Trump’s rhetoric largely - then came Iowa.

- it’s been Trump leading the narrative that the betting markets were more accurate than the polls to suit his ‘election was a steal’ agenda should he lose.

Don’t despair yet - as I said above, we’re seeing a lot of red at the moment because the rural votes are finishing counting much faster that the densely populated Democratic urban areas - I suspect the betting markets are reacting to that.

MSN saying swing States still too early to call.

Correct. We knew this was going to happen, both in the early counts and in the betting. See 2020. And 2016. And it’ll happen in 4 years’ time.

Not saying it isn’t going to go differently further up ahead, but so far everything is going pretty much as expected.

 

[nwgull]

I’d take a draw now.

 

[Pavilionaire]

At least Harris is back ahead in Virginia. Polls close in a number of states in about 15 mins and Harris needs some good news fast.

If she feels bad then imagine how Melania must be feeling.

 

[nwgull]

At least Harris is back ahead in Virginia. Polls close in a number of states in about 15 mins and Harris needs some good news fast.

If she feels bad then imagine how Melania must be feeling.

Nah, it’s over. The next 4 years are going to be tedious at best.

I really feel for the people of Ukraine and other countries bordering Russia.

 

[Triggaaar]

It looks like Trump's support on this thread is 0% yet he appears to be surging in the USA. Is that because we all hate Putin but most Americans don't care about Ukraine?

It's not like Putin is the only issue with Trump.

I know a few people in Michigan and they can't stand Trump, but the reason I know them is because they aren't insular. I think the main reason he's able to win is because many Americans can't distinguish between truth and lies in their so called news outlets.

Georgia is going to Trump, Harris needs all of the rust-belt states, and even Wisconsin looks like it'll go to Trump.

 

[sparkie]

It's looking like a Putin win.

I don't know how we survive this.

 

[bhafc99]

How depressing. It looks like he’s done it.

 

[Lever]

It's looking like a Putin win.

I don't know how we survive this.

Agreed. I am genuinely shocked by the choice US voters have made......

 

[BBassic]

Idiot Yanks.

 

[Hugo Rune]

Harris will win New Jersey but there has been a huge swing to Trump in this traditional Democratic area. It’s surely over for Harris.

 

[nwgull]

Agreed. I am genuinely shocked by the choice US voters have made......

I’ve been to the US enough times to not be shocked.

 

[BadFish]

Can the senate save the US from themselves/Project 2025?

 

[nicko31]

Jesus this feels like Zaha's second in the playoffs plus Brexit all at once. America is a failed state

 

[pb21]

Trump's going to win the popular votes too

 

[BBassic]

It's going to be entertaining watching all the 'Leopards Ate My Face' moments over the coming years.