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[Politics] The 2024 US Election - *MATCH DAY*

Who will win the 2024 Presidential Election?

  • President Joe Biden - Democrat

    Votes: 3 0.7%
  • Donald Trump - Republican

    Votes: 173 41.9%
  • Vice President, Kamala Harris - Democrat

    Votes: 217 52.5%
  • Other Democratic candidate tbc

    Votes: 20 4.8%

  • Total voters
    413
  • This poll will close: .


Harry Wilson's tackle

Harry Wilson's Tackle
NSC Patron
Oct 8, 2003
56,063
Faversham
Made up? Most apart from the papers at Mara lago. Its called lawfare and my auto correct is going a bit gimpy atm.

I think an insurrection is an organised riot to overthrow the authority. Which was why the FBI was threatening defendants with long sentences if they didn't give evidence of collusion with trump. They didn't give evidence as there wasn't any so got long sentences for not colluding go figure.

BLM riots are relevant as an example of a 2 tier justice system. Jan6ers have been held in solitary for months without charges for what is effectively trespass, whereas BLM/antifa marxist were released to carry on rioting.
Didn't they tell you to not tell lies when you went to school?
 




Stat Brother

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Jul 11, 2003
73,888
West west west Sussex
Insurrection - a violent uprising against an authority or government.



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Albion my Albion

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Feb 6, 2016
19,609
Indiana, USA
Shitting in the nation's capitol is for sure against the law and human decency.
 




















de la zouch

Well-known member
Jul 12, 2007
572
Having worked in the US and studied American political systems as part of my degree im clearly overqualified to comment on this thread 😂.
However my observations. Never in a million years did I see a world where Trump could be favourite to win at this stage of the electoral cycle. So why is this:
- Biden literally doesn’t know what day it is. Very sad but true
- Kamala Harris has been shown to be totally out of her depth and is pretty much despised across the spectrum
- immigration is truly an issue now in the eyes of most Americans (who are all immigrants) and Joe has been asleep at the wheel on this.
- the democrats have tied themselves in knots on the Israel situation
However I have hope that he won’t win. I think he will pick an even more obnoxious running mate that will remove 10% of sensible old skool republicans and cost him the election
 


cjd

Well-known member
Jun 22, 2006
6,305
La Rochelle
The charges are to hamper his election campaign brought by DNC judges and DAs, None are likely to be fair trials if you have read the details of the latest trial its an absolute abomination.
I find it hard to agree with anything you post, but you are keeping one poster busy with lengthy replies, allowing the rest of the forum to breathe a little.

Keep up the good work.
 








Harry Wilson's tackle

Harry Wilson's Tackle
NSC Patron
Oct 8, 2003
56,063
Faversham
WHY TRUMP HAS NOT BEEN CHARGED WITH INSURRECTION BY THE WASHINGTON DC PROSECUTOR

This may help to understand why ‘insurrection’ is no longer related to the criminal trial/charges bought against Trump for the Jan 6 riots and attack on the Capitol by the District of Columbia because there seems to be some confusion what his legal jeopardy is - while Trump was indicted for High Crimes and Misdemeanours by the House of Representatives, the indictment fell short of the majority required to convict him (not legally but politically) when the vote took place in the Senate. The House referred the indictment charges of High Crimes and Misdemeanours to the DoJ which included recommendations for a charge of insurrection but the DoJ concluded ‘insurrection’ would be difficult to prosecute in the criminal court for a number of reasons:

INSIGHTS​

  • When the Jan. 6 House committee formally referred Trump for criminal charges last year, insurrection was one of the counts included. It would allege that Trump was directly involved in the storming of the Capitol on Jan. 6. But including that charge would’ve complicated the case and been harder to prove than the broader conspiracy charges, Dennis Aftergut, a former federal prosecutor, writes in Slate. “That narrowing increases the prospects for a pre-election trial.”
  • One of the reasons an insurrection charge could be complicated: Prosecutors would have to rely on Trump’s speech the day of the riot to prove he was encouraging a riot. That kind of argument could face “potentially tricky First Amendment issues,” former assistant U.S. attorney Randall Eliason writes in The New York Times. Those legal disputes “would have been time-consuming and distracting because the speech could be easily characterized as a political rally.”
  • The charge of “conspiracy against rights,” a civil rights law that prohibits trying to deprive someone of their right to vote, can serve as a more straightforward stand-in for an insurrection charge, which is rarely brought in court. The conspiracy charge, on the other hand, has been successfully tested. — Just Security
  • There was outsized attention on a possible insurrection charge in part because the Constitution’s 14th Amendment bars anyone who engages in insurrection from holding office. In theory, a conviction would disqualify Trump from serving a second term in the White House. — The Washington Post- *
  • While the lack of an incitement charge simplifies the case against Trump, we’re still in uncharted legal territory, especially given that the defendant is the former president. Smith’s case “requires some unprecedented interpretations of the U.S. criminal code” — including proving that Trump knew he lost the election — and shouldn’t be seen as a slam dunk, Jim Geraghty argues in National Review.
*The issue of the 14th Amendment on ’insurrection’ was bypassed again recently when SCOTUS ruled that ‘public officials’ under part 3 of the 14th Amendment did not include Presidents - therefore Article 14th barring officials standing again for office who have been found guilty of ‘insurrection’ (which the Federal Law does not define) did not apply to Trump.
Yep. The president cannot lead an insurrection because by law he cannot lead an insurrection. By law.

It is as if he is caught raping someone but cannot be charged because by law the president cannot be charged with rape. By law.

It's as if the President can do pretty much whatever he likes.

No wonder, every decade or so, a president gets shot.
 


bhafc99

Well-known member
Oct 14, 2003
7,455
Dubai








nicko31

Well-known member
Jan 7, 2010
18,571
Gods country fortnightly
It looks inevitable i’m afraid that somehow Trump will be back in The White House in January next year!
Only their flawed version of democracy makes it still possible, the US hasn't been red in the popular vote since the early 90's.

If Trump wins in November, the US will move from a flawed democracy to a failed one. That becomes a problem for us all
 


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