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[Politics] Brexit

If there was a second Brexit referendum how would you vote?


  • Total voters
    1,099


A1X

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Sep 1, 2017
20,525
Deepest, darkest Sussex
This short selling practice you dislike and it’s affect on the lives of ordinary people..........can you recall George Soros and how he made over a billion on Britain’s exit from the ERM?

He must be the living embodiment of the very “worst sort of tossers” to quote you.......or maybe not?

https://www.standard.co.uk/news/pol...rexit-campaign-best-for-britain-a3809821.html

Capitalists eh?

Then George Soros is a tosser too. Sorry I don't live my life on the idea of "good guys vs bad guys".
 






A1X

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Sep 1, 2017
20,525
Deepest, darkest Sussex
We leave on March 29th, that’s set in law,unless the establishment elite decide to break the law..

Most would say change the law. Changing a law is not breaking it.
 


Baldseagull

Well-known member
Jan 26, 2012
11,839
Crawley
Oops, I meant Leave options

Got ya.
The point is though, that if most leave voters would rather remain than have a Brexit that didn't meet their demands, it would be more democratic to remain than have a Brexit that very few want. There is no Leave position that can deliver all the promises made in the referendum, so which promises do you drop?
 






D

Deleted member 2719

Guest
Have I missed some news?

Have we said we are going to have another referendum???

Or is this Blair still poking his smug nose in again?
 




A1X

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Sep 1, 2017
20,525
Deepest, darkest Sussex
61% of all Labour MPs elected in 2017 are MPs who have a seat in constituencies that voted to Leave.

Of all the misleading stats in this whole sorry charade, this one is one I always enjoy seeing pop up as it ignores the single most fundamental flaw with our entire voting system.

Let's say, for example, there is a Labour held constituency where the voter breakdown is like this;

Labour - 35%
Conservative - 30%
UKIP - 20%
Lib Dem - 10%
BNP - 5%

In that scenario, Labour wins the seat as they have the most votes. However, if all the Labour voters and all the Lib Dem voters vote Remain, and all the other voters vote Leave, then the seat result is a 55% win for Leave. But in here, not one of the Leave voters voted Labour, so it being a Labour held Leave seat is basically irrelevant as none of the leavers voted Labour. But it also shows that if that Labour MP backs Remain then there is actually nothing the Leave voters could do about that.

It's a simplistic analysis but it proves my point that the party holding a seat and the way it voted in the referendum are basically two separate things which don't really tally up, so that statistic is basically pointless.
 
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Bodian

Well-known member
May 3, 2012
14,230
Cumbria
The problem is that, in theory, we could a result like 31% remain and 23% for each of the three remain options so Remain wins, even though more than twice as many people wanted to leave - a complete distortion of people's wishes.


That's why a second referendum is a terrible idea, it's just going to muddy the waters some more


Yes, I find it puzzling that so many are still saying it would be difficult / would split the vote / etc.

You have a referendum that has two questions:
1 - do you want to leave / stay?
2 - if the outcome of the referendum on Q1 is to leave, then which option would you prefer: Mays deal / no deal / whatever else is on offer at that point?

This way, whichever way you vote, you can then have a say on what sort of leave deal you want if the vote is to leave.
 


Triggaaar

Well-known member
Oct 24, 2005
53,111
Goldstone
It's a hell of a hospital pass to want to receive though, hence I still have my very strong doubts it's what he actually wants.
It is, but obviously some (world) leaders wouldn't care about that, so long as they get power. I wouldn't like to say what Corbyn wants or what he'd do, and I hope we never have to find out.
 






Bold Seagull

strong and stable with me, or...
Mar 18, 2010
30,453
Hove
I agree that May's actions have been daft, and she has had plenty of criticism on here for them. I now think that Corbyn refusing to talk is daft, so I'm criticising him too. It seems you find criticism of him unacceptable.

Actually not at all, I've posted this morning an article by Nick Cohen that goes a little further than just criticism.

I'm subtracting the personality from the position, hence I referred to the 'leader of the opposition'. I think many people are annoyed because they simply don't like the man, but that is irrelevant really.

If May has gone this far, ignored the wishes of the opposite benches for this long, she has to offer an olive branch of some description, otherwise it is just a stunt, "look at me, I'm consulting". As Simon Jenkins said in another piece I posted (I see you found it), she could set up a 1 issue coalition, possibly betray much of her own party, but it would be for the good of a Brexit to benefit the country.

At present we have an invite to talk with another vote in 2 weeks, without any concessions being offered. That is no way to start a negotiation, mediation, or discussion. You have to offer something.
 


Thunder Bolt

Silly old bat
Have I missed some news?

Have we said we are going to have another referendum???

Or is this Blair still poking his smug nose in again?

Jacob Rees-Mogg and Nigel Farage advised we should have another referendum.
 


ManOfSussex

We wunt be druv
Apr 11, 2016
15,167
Rape of Hastings, Sussex
It is, but obviously some (world) leaders wouldn't care about that, so long as they get power. I wouldn't like to say what Corbyn wants or what he'd do, and I hope we never have to find out.

Okay, that's great and really interesting to hear. Thanks.
 
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The Clamp

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Jan 11, 2016
26,182
West is BEST
We leave on March 29th, that’s set in law,unless the establishment elite decide to break the law..


On our way.

That's just plain incorrect. This referendum was not legally binding. We can abandon Brexit anytime we like.
 


A1X

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Sep 1, 2017
20,525
Deepest, darkest Sussex
Change the law because you didn’t really like my vote?..

No, change the law out of a duty of care. Even ardent No Deal advocates in Parliament insist it needs to be prepared for and don't think it can be done through just crashing out in March. For a start the civil service and legislation is not in place, and nor is the infrastructure.

It works in your favour if you really value your vote being respected how you cast it because if Britain crashes out as you want then it'll go back to the EU very quickly to urgently reopen talks, and we'd be in a Norway solution by the summer would be my guess. Having had to pay off Norway to be allowed in.
 








ManOfSussex

We wunt be druv
Apr 11, 2016
15,167
Rape of Hastings, Sussex
Of all the misleading stats in this whole sorry charade, this one is one I always enjoy seeing pop up as it ignores the single most fundamental flaw with out entire voting system.

Let's say, for example, there is a Labour held constituency where the voter breakdown is like this;

Labour - 35%
Conservative - 30%
UKIP - 20%
Lib Dem - 10%
BNP - 5%

In that scenario, Labour wins the seat as they have the most votes. However, if all the Labour voters and all the Lib Dem voters vote Remain, and all the other voters vote Leave, then the seat result is a 55% win for Leave. But in here, not one of the Leave voters voted Labour, so it being a Labour held Leave seat is basically irrelevant as none of the leavers voted Labour. But it also shows that if that Labour MP backs Remain then there is actually nothing the Leave voters could do about that.

It's a simplistic analysis but it proves my point that the party holding a seat and the way it voted in the referendum are basically two separate things which don't really tally up, so that statistic is basically pointless.

You also have to factor into that people in Labour constituencies who voted leave in 2016 who don't vote in elections for any party.
 


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