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Not sure how to post Instagrams on here, but Ben W has just put one up that sounds very much like "So long ... and thanks for all the fish"...

Many good points, and the key one perhaps is that everyone - players, owners, the lot - needs to be fully committed to the Bielsa project if it's going to work to maximum effect. Bilbao only recruit Basque players - they are, in effect, signed up from birth. If you go there, there's flags...

Very much so, and yet a Watford win is the least likely outcome according to the betting. You can get matched at 3.65 on Betfair, cracking bet imo.

If there are no workings, how can you quantify the chance of us going down as greater than 10pc, or compare it to the implied chance of 80-1 odds (ie. just over 1pc?).

The SportPesa prices are correct for the teams they are still actually quoting, including Newcastle & Southampton, but prices are still there on Oddschecker for teams that they aren't quoting, and which are missing for all other firms. It's been that way for ages, doesn't make Oddschecker look...

If the FiveThirtyEight model means anything (& I appreciate some think it doesn't) then Peterborough are the ones with something to complain about. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/soccer-predictions/league-one/ Odds-on to make the playoffs at least, same chance as Rotherham and Oxford...

A mere three-fold is one way of putting it. A massive 200pc more passengers is another. Personally feel that it's quite a big difference, not least when you consider that there will likely be a similarly higher number of people working at Madrid airport, and taking whatever they pick up from the...

He is highly eminent in his field, no dispute, and yes, worth listening to. But epidemiologists are not scientists in the same way that physicists are scientists. In some respects, they have more in common with economists, in particular when it comes to novel diseases like Covid-19. A physicist...

But humans are notoriously bad at estimating risk. I'm not suggesting that any of these events absolutely did not contribute to spread of the virus at all. They probably did - but I suspect to a much smaller extent than most imagine, and far, far less than absolutely everything about what we...

It's also very easy to use a pic from Cheltenham so everyone says: wow, look at all those people packed into the stands. Much harder to represent all the millions of interactions going on elsewhere at the same time. It's just how people are and how they react, to images in particular.

Three million people were going to the cinema every week in February & early March, most of them on Friday & Saturday. That's 12x as many as went to Cheltenham over all four days, 50x the number that went to the Liverpool match. They went through a handful of entrances, touched the handles as...

They're welcome to run across my roof, but only if they clean the gutters while they're up there.

According to the Roy Greenslade piece, the Mirror ran the same article written by Rothermere that was headlined "Hurrah for the Blackshirts" in the Mail, but with a slightly less approving headline (Give the Blackshirts a Helping Hand).

Guess its credibility depends on how long the original ownership is held against them. It's been Labour-supporting since the 1945 landslide, so there can't be many people still around who were readers when it was getting flirty with fascism. Think 75 years is more than enough penance, personally.

No, it wasn't. You're thinking of the Morning Star. Or possibly the Daily Herald, which turned into the Sun. The Mirror was Harmsworth-owned and aimed at a middle-class audience until shortly before WWII, when it was sold and turned into a working-class paper...

An extension of this, lifted from 538's (excellent) puzzle column. Making my brain hurt already but that's the idea. https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/can-you-beat-the-goat-monty-hall-problem/ Riddler Classic The Monty Hall problem is a classic case of conditional probability. In the...

Perhaps what strikes you is a very superficial take? If you honestly believe that Alabama is basically like Massachusetts, that California is pretty much the same as Kansas and that Washington State is, give or take, the same thing as Florida, that's up to you. But it's a poor basis for any...

I paid in a cheque via the machine outside at the Santander at Churchill Square yesterday. Was showing on my account five seconds later.

That's at the end of my road. It was originally going to be demolished but I don't think it is any more. Currently a shell but have heard that they are going to keep the basic structure and work around it.

Because your original choice is still 2-1 against. It's a classic problem in probability, and I read many years ago that when it was first brought to wider attention - I think in the puzzles column of Scientific American, but could be wrong - it generated many weeks of heated debate in the...