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Most of Europe, though, has electoral systems where that can happen if 51pc of people vote for parties that support it. Under FPTP, it only takes 38pc to vote against and it's a non-starter.

Do you know to what extent, if any, the much higher spending in the US as a pct of GDP is down to the hugely inflated prices they pay for drugs which the NHS gets for a fraction of the cost?

Thanks!

Do you have a link to that study? Don't doubt what you're saying, but have tried a Google search & can't seem to find it.

And both are estimates - educated guesses, to some extent - which have been fed into hugely complicated models filled with no end of other variables. It could also be argued that both have, for different reasons, been leapt upon and taken as something much closer to fact when they are nothing...

It might also show how many people qualify as "celebrities" these days - if you count all professional athletes , tv, film, theatre, other media, bloggers, politicians, musicians, reality show contestants etc etc it must run to several thousand in the UK alone. There's 500 Premier League...

On Twitch, I believe. Kicks off 7pm tonight. https://www.twitch.tv/downloads Lively betting market so far, but Neal M not fancied to make much of an impression on the professional button-pushers - currently 200-1.

It's attributed in various places to Mark Twain and Winston Churchill - though the latter is all over the quotes sites with the highly improbable "got its pants on". Might actually be Swift according to this: https://www.nytimes.com/2017/04/26/books/famous-misquotations.html

As many have said, without widespread testing - both for the presence of virus and also for antibodies, if or when such a test is available, we have absolutely no idea how many of those with symptoms actually have Covid-19 and how many have something else. The official total of tests versus...

Although, that said, this from the Guardian suggests otherwise: What tests are being done? At the moment, the NHS has only a test that can detect the virus in a nasal swab through laboratory analysis, which takes 24 hours at best. That tells us whether somebody’s illness is Covid-19. What the...

Why is it a minor issue? The recession that's going to follow the initial crisis will shorten and blight many times more lives than the virus itself.

No, although it seems there's a firm in northern Ireland that's supplying an antibody test to countries in Europe and around the world (just not the NHS): And there is another benefit of the antibody tests, he says: “You can do that in healthy people and see whether two weeks ago, three weeks...

Apologies if this has already been answered as I'm way behind on the thread, but if the growth in infections is exponential, is it not also fair to say that - since infection confers immunity - the *decrease* in the number of possible fresh targets for the virus is also exponential? And, if so...

More insight and sense in this post than the rest of the thread put together imo. As a hack of 30 years' standing, I think that the news media are guilty as charged. The only mitigation I'd offer is that they are now operating and competing in a social media age and with newspaper circulations...

And yet, all three are odds-against, ranging from 2.46 to 2.92 on Betfair, and West Ham and Norwich aren't even favourite. Big gap between expectation and likelihood perhaps?

In, thanks for organising!

Oh dear. This poster has brought some perspective to the debate. Mods! Immediate ban please!

Did you catch the one where they all started singing "We'll Meet Again"?

Do you seriously think it's like taking a wrong turning when you're out for a walk? Retrace your steps, get back to where you started, no real harm done? In 10-15 years time, if it "turns out to be the wrong decision", there will be no way back to what we threw away (if, that is, there is...

There's no such thing as a definitive xG for a given match, there are plenty of versions around using a variety of methodologies (eg. some count penalties as 0.8, some don't). Some also take account of which player gets a chance, so Messi getting the ball with a sight of goal inside the box...