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[Politics] Russia invades Ukraine (24/02/2022)



Eric the meek

Fiveways Wilf
NSC Patron
Aug 24, 2020
8,011
Right, 👍🏼...and to carry on fighting they'll need a supply of weapons.
They are doing a fantastic job on diy drones, and hopefully their long range missile project is moving along.

The EU and the UK are making the right noises about continuity of support, and so are Kellog and Rubio,; but too much depends on the madman in orange.

The worry of course is the unpredictability of Trump, and Europe's reaction to whatever he decides.
Yes, I hear you.

I can't give you many words of comfort on your last sentence. Kellogg and Rubio seem the good guys; Kellogg said he can give Trump the advice, but Trump will make up his own mind. In Jake Broe's update, it seemed that Kellogg implied he faced a challenge bringing other members of Trump's team on board.

Worrying, but there's a long way to go. And the longer it goes on, the weaker Russia gets.
 




raymondo

Well-known member
Apr 26, 2017
8,366
Wiltshire
Yes, I hear you.

I can't give you many words of comfort on your last sentence. Kellogg and Rubio seem the good guys; Kellogg said he can give Trump the advice, but Trump will make up his own mind. In Jake Broe's update, it seemed that Kellogg implied he faced a challenge bringing other members of Trump's team on board.

Worrying, but there's a long way to go. And the longer it goes on, the weaker Russia gets.
Yes indeed, and Jake Broe's latest video was thoughtful as usual.
I need to relax a bit about the current complexities and inconsistencies 😬, as you say there's a long way to go.

I need a new video from Mark the Economist to lighten my mood!
 
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Eric the meek

Fiveways Wilf
NSC Patron
Aug 24, 2020
8,011
es indeed, and Jake Broe's latest video was thoughtful as usual.
I need to relax a bit about the current complexities and inconsistencies 😬, as you say there's a long way to go.

I need a new video from Mark the Economist to lighten my mood!
Occasionally, there is a tweet that tickles me.

I saw one this morning (Yes, I have to describe it, as I can't find it. At least I'm consistent.)

It's a map of Europe, showing flames all over Russia and popcorn all over Europe. It perfectly sums up the state of the three day war.

(Mark the economist and Aunt Elvira are holed up in a love hotel and are unavailable for comment).
 




raymondo

Well-known member
Apr 26, 2017
8,366
Wiltshire
This, apparently, is a thing. As per the FT, discussions happening (Germany and Hungary leading the charge) about restarting Russian gas deliveries to Europe as part of a ceasefire/peace deal.
Unbelievable, surely 🤷🏼‍♂️.
 




Sirnormangall

Well-known member
Sep 21, 2017
3,348
You're certainly not the only one, but surely we can add Zelenskyy and his team to that. They won't want to accept a ceasefire that allows Russia to regroup and go again.
Russian newspapers are saying that whilst there might be a truce there will never be a lasting peace. Of course they are probably being fed these lines from the Kremlin, but the narrative remains consistent that Russia will never rest until it controls Ukraine, so (as said above) any peace deal has to be strong enough to make that unlikely.
 












marlowe

Well-known member
Dec 13, 2015
4,503
Well this one is much better news:
- rare earths to the US
- weapons to Ukraine

And it appears to be an arrangement proposed by Zelensky rather than one first demanded by Trump, so at least Zelensky is not being made to look weak and caving in to Trump's demands.

He was obviously wise enough to realise that Trump was never going to offer aid for purely moral or humanitarian or reasons and any aid provided by Trump would be on a purely transactional basis, so he proposed this arrangement before Trump did which also deprived Trump of the opportunity of playing the strong armed negotiator who always gets what's best for the US.

It appears that Zelensky came up with the proposal just at the right time given how Musk is exerting his malevolent influence and his disbandment of USAID which provides humanitarian aid all over the world including Ukraine, so while it might not affect military aid it will impact Ukraine from a humanitarian perspective which might lead to the diversion of some of their own military resources to fill the void.
 




SeagullinExile

Well-known member
Sep 10, 2010
6,328
London
Also (I think on BBC,🤔) Ukrainian troops say they haven't seen North Koreans on the front line for a couple of weeks: either withdrawn because of casualties and/or for more training (?)
Seeing some of the drone videos, showing stupid NK troops being blown to bits attempting to dig trenches in open fields, I wouldn’t be surprised if they’re all dead tbh.
 


SeagullinExile

Well-known member
Sep 10, 2010
6,328
London
It's coffee time, everyone. This message struck a strong chord with me. It's nothing about success on the battlefield; it's about how Russia has totally lost the hearts and minds of most Russian speaking Ukrainians.
This is exactly where my wife is, and her relatives and friends that remain in Ukraine or have fled. I'll let it speak for itself:

Blimey. Top rant.
 








raymondo

Well-known member
Apr 26, 2017
8,366
Wiltshire
And it appears to be an arrangement proposed by Zelensky rather than one first demanded by Trump, so at least Zelensky is not being made to look weak and caving in to Trump's demands.

He was obviously wise enough to realise that Trump was never going to offer aid for purely moral or humanitarian or reasons and any aid provided by Trump would be on a purely transactional basis, so he proposed this arrangement before Trump did which also deprived Trump of the opportunity of playing the strong armed negotiator who always gets what's best for the US.

It appears that Zelensky came up with the proposal just at the right time given how Musk is exerting his malevolent influence and his disbandment of USAID which provides humanitarian aid all over the world including Ukraine, so while it might not affect military aid it will impact Ukraine from a humanitarian perspective which might lead to the diversion of some of their own military resources to fill the void.
I did read somewhere (maybe Jake Broe 🤔) there's a possibility the EU and UK may step in with more financial/ humanitarian aid to fill the gap.
 












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