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[Politics] Who will be Chancellor on Jan 1st 2026?

Who will be Chancellor on Jan 1st 2026?


  • Total voters
    51


Rdodge30

Well-known member
Dec 30, 2022
863
The financial markets have lost faith in the Chancellor and it’s looking close to no way back. She is to make a financial statement at the end of this month.

The economy is currently reacting in the opposite way to how she hoped it would after her first budget, there will almost certainly be further downturn.

It looks like she will have to cut spending in the next budget, and still may also have to raise taxes, in order to not break her own fiscal rules… which she has already ‘loosened’.

I don’t see how she survives another year.
Starmer’s ratings are so low there’s no room for anything other than financial success in the next 12 months and she only has a spring statement to bring that about. It seems unlikely as she has to continue in the same direction, in for a penny in for a recession as it were.
 










jcdenton08

Offended Liver Sausage
NSC Patron
Oct 17, 2008
15,324
I don’t know if it’s bollocks, speculative yes, but things aren’t going great presently and the party might push for a change of direction if things deteriorate further. I think a lot hinges on the content of the Spring Forecast in late March.

I don’t think it’s outrageous to suggest we’ll have a new Chancellor in a year’s time, but I also don’t see the point in speculating because none of us can do anything about it anyway and, for now, things aren’t so bad as to enforce an emergency change of direction.
 




HillBarnTillIDie

Active member
Jul 2, 2011
135
I don’t know if it’s bollocks, speculative yes, but things aren’t going great presently and the party might push for a change of direction if things deteriorate further. I think a lot hinges on the content of the Spring Forecast in late March.

I don’t think it’s outrageous to suggest we’ll have a new Chancellor in a year’s time, but I also don’t see the point in speculating because none of us can do anything about it anyway and, for now, things aren’t so bad as to enforce an emergency change of direction.
I also wouldn’t put a penny on her being Chancellor this time next year.

God knows who would take the over…
Have they got anyone who is as “qualified” as Rachel?
 


Springal

Well-known member
Feb 12, 2005
24,993
GOSBTS
God knows who would take the over…
Have they got anyone who is as “qualified” as Rachel?
depends what the qualifications are ? Not much judging by the last 14 years except maybe 1 or 2
 






Hamilton

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Jul 7, 2003
13,070
Brighton
Looks like Musk and the Mail have stirred a few.

If we believe in sovereign democracy then the answer is RR. If you believe in foreign actors seeking to undermine democratically elected governments, then you’re more likely to vote for someone else.

Open your eyes people.
 
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Hamilton

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Jul 7, 2003
13,070
Brighton
Almost no politicians from any of the main parties are qualified. They’re all career politicians.
That is simply not true though is it. There are many politicians from many parties who are there because they want to serve, and there are many economists who are MPs. We’ve got to stop trotting out easy tropes that are fed to us by certain media and influencers.
 
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Hamilton

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Jul 7, 2003
13,070
Brighton
IMG_7835.jpeg


This is all being stirred by a loose cabal that includes this mob. Jonathan Harmsworth’s Mail were going big on this last Sunday. A week later and they’ve stirred it up big time.
 






Bakero

Languidly clinical
Oct 9, 2010
15,062
Almería
I also wouldn’t put a penny on her being Chancellor this time next year.

God knows who would take the over…
Have they got anyone who is as “qualified” as Rachel?

Reeves did PPE at Oxford then an MA in Economics at LSE. Following that she worked at the Bank of England then HBOS (Controversially, her LinkedIn said she was an Economist at HBOS when in fact it was a retail banking gig)

How many of the myriad Tory chancellors since 2010 were better qualified?

Osbourne had a history degree then worked in journalism. Hunt a BA in PPE then worked as an English teacher before trying and failing to establish some start-ups.

Kwarteng did have a PHD in Economic History but I'm not sure his thesis on the Recoinage Crisis of 1695 helped him in his short-lived attempt to run (ruin?) the British economy
 


Springal

Well-known member
Feb 12, 2005
24,993
GOSBTS
Reeves did PPE at Oxford then an MA in Economics at LSE. Following that she worked at the Bank of England then HBOS (Controversially, her LinkedIn said she was an Economist at HBOS when in fact it was a retail banking gig)

How many of the myriad Tory chancellors since 2010 were better qualified?

Osbourne had a history degree then worked in journalism. Hunt a BA in PPE then worked as an English teacher before trying and failing to establish some start-ups.

Kwarteng did have a PHD in Economic History but I'm not sure his thesis on the Recoinage Crisis of 1695 helped him in his short-lived attempt to run (ruin?) the British economy
Sajid probably only one, maybe Hammond ? (Can’t be arsed to check )
 




jcdenton08

Offended Liver Sausage
NSC Patron
Oct 17, 2008
15,324




Harry Wilson's tackle

Harry Wilson's Tackle
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Oct 8, 2003
57,272
Faversham








Harry Wilson's tackle

Harry Wilson's Tackle
NSC Patron
Oct 8, 2003
57,272
Faversham
Can we all agree to not edit our posts, should she lose her job and this thread is inevitably bounced?

I don’t know how people can be so positively certain that she will be Chancellor in a year.

I’m saying there’s a possibility she isn’t, which seems a sensible take, given the situation.

Here’s The Observer’s take:

Risks at every turn for beleaguered chancellor aiming for budget sweet spot amid rising storms
I think the reason for the withering responses is that it is obvious we are caught up in 'events'.
The chancellor has not 'done a Truss' and tanked the economy.

So to start a thread where the basic assumption is that all our woes are down to the chancellor is a load of gaslighting bolleaux.

And starting the thread at 5.40 in the morning......it smacks of some sort of personal crisis.
So I guess we should feel sorry for the OP.
 


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