It is 5000 - this is ‘active cases’ not ‘daily infections’ to be clear - apologies if any confusion.
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[News] The Coronavirus Good News thread
- Thread starter Bozza
- Start date
It is 5000 - this is ‘active cases’ not ‘daily infections’ to be clear - apologies if any confusion.
highflyer
Well-known member
- Jan 21, 2016
- 2,553
Interesting blog in the BMJ
In essence, people are stickimg to the rules much better than most of us assume!
https://blogs.bmj.com/bmj/2021/01/0...atters/?utm_source=pocket-newtab-global-en-GB
In essence, people are stickimg to the rules much better than most of us assume!
https://blogs.bmj.com/bmj/2021/01/0...atters/?utm_source=pocket-newtab-global-en-GB
Beach Hut
Brighton Bhuna Boy
No need to apologise a member of my fan club has already corrected me
Billy the Fish
Technocrat
Good article. I'm fed up of all the finger pointing and blaming. The fact is covid is incredibly contagious, short of doing what China did and lock everyone up for a month it's impossible to stop transmission entirely.
Think I posted this before but useful link to get down to a really granular level. All around us showing good declines
https://www.schoolcovidmap.org.uk/school/WP023305
https://www.schoolcovidmap.org.uk/school/WP023305
dsr-burnley
Well-known member
- Aug 15, 2014
- 2,625
Excellent. Now they can perhaps set a new target of 3 million per week. Or if we are feeling optimistic, 4 million. We want to have the infrastructure to inject as many doses as the manufacturers can provide.
It seems we are going to keep ramping up capacity and possibly hitting a ceiling around late Feb-March time of hopefully 4 million plus.
The Wizard
Well-known member
- Jul 2, 2009
- 18,399
Looks like 360k vaccinations, fantastic 
Another 11+ capacity Amex stadiums.
Cases also down nearly 30% on last week & 500 less people in hospital than yesterday.
Another 11+ capacity Amex stadiums.
Cases also down nearly 30% on last week & 500 less people in hospital than yesterday.
363,508 first doses in the UK yesterday - another new record
37,982 new infections, rolling 7 day average now 41,998 (comparable figures on Jan 1st were 76,091 and 61,224)
Sauce - https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/
37,982 new infections, rolling 7 day average now 41,998 (comparable figures on Jan 1st were 76,091 and 61,224)
Sauce - https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/
Israeli R-rate drops below 1 for first time since October as over a third of the population receives first vaccine dose, despite backdrop of increasingly prevalent British variant:
https://www.timesofisrael.com/for-1...els-transmission-rate-shows-outbreak-slowing/
I don’t want to speculate, but I’m very much hoping that this is an early signal that vaccines do curb transmission. Largely thanks to Israel, we should have a clearer idea of that in the next 3-4 weeks, and this will be key to nations around the world in setting out, hopefully, what the roadmap out of this mess looks like.
https://www.timesofisrael.com/for-1...els-transmission-rate-shows-outbreak-slowing/
I don’t want to speculate, but I’m very much hoping that this is an early signal that vaccines do curb transmission. Largely thanks to Israel, we should have a clearer idea of that in the next 3-4 weeks, and this will be key to nations around the world in setting out, hopefully, what the roadmap out of this mess looks like.
Relieved to see something positive out of Israel after the barrage of negatives the last couple of days. This thread remains my go to on NSC
Mine too, and has done for many weeks now.
LamieRobertson
Not awoke
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Useful response to a question that some of you may be wondering;
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You could say this is *theoretical* good news. But still pretty likely to align with the truth, given data we've seen so far.
Useful response to a question that some of you may be wondering;
[TWEET]1352564325576282112[/TWEET]
You could say this is *theoretical* good news. But still pretty likely to align with the truth, given data we've seen so far.
Possibly is theoretical
Israel will tell us - and that data should be with us next week. Certainly, if all over 80's have been vaccinated, then after 3 weeks you should see far far fewer hospital admissions in that age group.
Same will apply to UK in 4 weeks time (all over 80s done by end of next week - add 3 weeks for vaccine to take effect.) and we too should see far far fewer admissions/deaths in that age group
Israel will tell us - and that data should be with us next week. Certainly, if all over 80's have been vaccinated, then after 3 weeks you should see far far fewer hospital admissions in that age group.
Same will apply to UK in 4 weeks time (all over 80s done by end of next week - add 3 weeks for vaccine to take effect.) and we too should see far far fewer admissions/deaths in that age group
Given trial data, it would be very bizarre if we didn’t see any dip. As you say, the question is how much of a dip.
Once we start to see these patterns bear out, it will help a lot with starting to get an idea of how long restrictions etc need to last.