Study suggests Omicron cuts hospitalisation risk by two-thirds, compared to Delta. This pretty much aligns with everything we’ve seen out of South Africa so far. Presumably those going into hospital are also less sick and therefore less likely to die, so the compound effect on deaths should be huge, hopefully.
https://news.sky.com/story/covid-ri...n-with-delta-scotland-study-suggests-12502277
Andrew Lilico
[MENTION=11994]Andrew[/MENTION]_lilico
Let's back-of-the-envelope this. Suppose we began on 100k infections/day of delta (=50k cases). If omicron's hospitalisation risk is only 1/3 we'd need 300k infections/day to get the same number of hospitalisations. To get 6x the hospitalisations/day we'd need 1.8m infections/day