[Misc] The Award-winning official "More Snow Tomorrow?" Thread [2024-25 Season]

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Can you arrange it for lots of white fluffy stuff and blue skies for Sunday, all gone for Monday? I have a love/hate relationship with snow, nice to look at and go out in if you have nothing else to do but otherwise a pain in the backside.
 










Djmiles

Barndoor Holroyd
Dec 1, 2005
12,064
Kitchener, Canada
Still looking good for snow lovers from Saturday onwards!
 


Giraffe

VERY part time moderator
Helpful Moderator
NSC Patron
Aug 8, 2005
27,245
Doesnt look cold enough to snow until at least Sunday night/Monday morning. That's looking at the forecast for Worthing though. I guess it may be different further East.
 


Djmiles

Barndoor Holroyd
Dec 1, 2005
12,064
Kitchener, Canada
Early days, but the charts for Tuesday and Wednesday are superb. Even us amateurs know to take things with a pinch of salt, but it's all very encouraging!
 




Giraffe

VERY part time moderator
Helpful Moderator
NSC Patron
Aug 8, 2005
27,245
Early days, but the charts for Tuesday and Wednesday are superb. Even us amateurs know to take things with a pinch of salt, but it's all very encouraging!

There does seem to be an East West split though? Looks like more chance Brighton and East, less chance towards Worthing :(
 




The Wizard

Well-known member
Jul 2, 2009
18,401
There does seem to be an East West split though? Looks like more chance Brighton and East, less chance towards Worthing :(
Possibly for Saturday, it could be that fine of a margin, but if ECM is to be believed we will be absolutely snowed in this time next week. Truly astonishing charts. Its all models VS the GFS, all the minor models as well are going for cold next week. Hopefully know more come this evening at about half 10!
 




Djmiles

Barndoor Holroyd
Dec 1, 2005
12,064
Kitchener, Canada
There does seem to be an East West split though? Looks like more chance Brighton and East, less chance towards Worthing :(

Hard to say at the moment, but most of the country will be freezing cold and there could be a snow event pretty much anywhere. That's just from what I've seen, I could be wrong though.
 


Papa Lazarou

Living in a De Zerbi wonderland
Jul 7, 2003
19,370
Worthing
Possibly for Saturday, it could be that fine of a margin, but if ECM is to be believed we will be absolutely snowed in this time next week. Truly astonishing charts. Its all models VS the GFS, all the minor models as well are going for cold next week. Hopefully know more come this evening at about half 10!

Yes. 2 runs in a row the ECM has a day after tomorrow outlook.
 


Papa Lazarou

Living in a De Zerbi wonderland
Jul 7, 2003
19,370
Worthing
Possibly for Saturday, it could be that fine of a margin, but if ECM is to be believed we will be absolutely snowed in this time next week. Truly astonishing charts. Its all models VS the GFS, all the minor models as well are going for cold next week. Hopefully know more come this evening at about half 10!

Yes. 2 runs in a row the ECM has a day after tomorrow outlook.
 




Papa Lazarou

Living in a De Zerbi wonderland
Jul 7, 2003
19,370
Worthing
Such good news, i decided to post it twice seemingly.
 






chucky1973

New member
Nov 3, 2010
8,829
Crawley
Possibly for Saturday, it could be that fine of a margin, but if ECM is to be believed we will be absolutely snowed in this time next week. Truly astonishing charts. Its all models VS the GFS, all the minor models as well are going for cold next week. Hopefully know more come this evening at about half 10!

what does the 10.30 model/chart say?
 




Yoda

English & European
The 18z GFS still has the low around Iceland moving East and cutting the blocking High off allowing the Atlantic to take over again next week. :(
 


Papa Lazarou

Living in a De Zerbi wonderland
Jul 7, 2003
19,370
Worthing
The 18z GFS still has the low around Iceland moving East and cutting the blocking High off allowing the Atlantic to take over again next week. :(

It's horrible. The weather forums are in uproar. The ensemble plot (at least the short version) is showing increased support overall for the GFS mild outcome. If the GFS Op run were to come true we'd have mild air flooding back by late Monday.

The current battle is UKMO, ECM, NOGAPS and GME models against GFS and JMA. Rational judgement would suggest that cold will win, especially with UKMO and ECM onside, but there's previous with thus sort of standoff, and sadly it's usually the mild option that wins out, despite poor initial support.

The failed cold spell mid December went that way, with the GFS first to show it failing, and the other models delayed coming into line.

If it doesn't happen, then there are a lot of Met organisations with forecasts for next week that are way off, including the Met Office who have gone for cold and snow after the weekend.

Tomorrow mornings output should tell us.
 


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