[Misc] The Award-winning official "More Snow Tomorrow?" Thread [2024-25 Season]

[Papa Lazarou]

Interestingly, tonights GFS operational run doesn't let the Biscay Low win towards the end of next week. Would be even better if that came off.

Yes. The low just fails to deliver a blizzard to The south coast, but only by about 50 miles. All to play for.

 

[Steve.S]

What's the best weather app to have on your phone? I have the BBC and it doesn't seem that accurate to me


Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Pro

 

[studio150]

It must be true the Mirror are predicting minus 22.

https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/uk-weather-polar-vortex-could-12049818

Stand by for wholesale postponements

 

[atomised]

Lots of talk of the extreme cold coming in earlier on the weather forums

 

[GypsyKing]

I think you misunderstand why I do this. I'm not here to boast or show off. I enjoy providing people with both data to allow them to make their own decisions when it comes to weather and also to provide informed weather advice where wanted.

This winter has seen a few very near misses and marginal setups down here, whereas further North some places have seen plenty of snow etc.

That's the way winters go at this latitude alongside a warm ocean.


Anyhow, next week promises to be very interesting from a meteorological perspective as despite the lateness in the season we may see some of the coldest air over Sussex in living memory, which will probably generate ice days in places, which is very rare, especially in late Feb.

Conversely U.S. is all about his ego and is now evidently getting frustrated that he is not get the recognition he perceives that he deserves by predicting that it won't snow very often in the south of England... genius.

 

[Uncle Spielberg]

Conversely U.S. is all about his ego and is now evidently getting frustrated that he is not get the recognition he perceives that he deserves by predicting that it won't snow very often in the south of England... genius.

Bit harsh

 

[Taybha]

Farmers seem to know more about the weather than most , my village is polluted with them and the general ooooh aaaaarrrh consensus is that it’s going to be bloody cold but no real snow from Sunday through to the following Monday then it warms up again but the day before it does warm up the east coast especially will get a dumpage of epic proportions , I don’t have the GFS model for this info as most of them were blottoed at the time but I don’t think they will be far off the mark pissed or not .

 

[Uncle Spielberg]

BBC on board with this now

 

[Muhammad - I’m hard - Bruce Lee]

BBC on board with this now

What?
The sleet?

 

[Plake]

The 8-12 degree temperatures and Papa not knowing what he’s taking about?

 

[blue'n'white]

Why does everyone seem to want snow ? Makes it bloody difficult to get around and, in the case of the Albion, could well lead to matches being postponed and more chaos in the form of fixture pile up at the back end of the season. I hate the damn stuff.

 

[LamieRobertson]

I'm on holiday next week and supposed to be going away somewhere in England..so its guaranteed to snow

 

[Giraffe]

Why does everyone seem to want snow ? Makes it bloody difficult to get around and, in the case of the Albion, could well lead to matches being postponed and more chaos in the form of fixture pile up at the back end of the season. I hate the damn stuff.

This spell will not postpone any Albion fixtures.

 

[Papa Lazarou]

The arrival and degree of cold air is now 'fixed', as in all models agree that it will happen.

What needs tweaking is:

1. Exactly when the coldest air arrives - there is still a range from early Sunday to Monday
2. The specifics of the wind direction once the cold flow is established... this is key to determine
3. How much snow we will get - the wind direction is vital to getting snow here. We need something between NE and ENE for convective or stream based snow in an unstable flow. A direct easterly risks giving bone dry and cold air, which can't pick up moisture as it crosses the Straits of Dover.
4. Whether we get any disturbances / low pressure cells in the flow to deliver more widespread snow
5. How long the cold spell lasts - there is some support for an extended cold spell of over a week, but there is still variations available.

 

[Giraffe]

The arrival and degree of cold air is now 'fixed', as in all models agree that it will happen.

What needs tweaking is:

1. Exactly when the coldest air arrives - there is still a range from early Sunday to Monday
2. The specifics of the wind direction once the cold flow is established... this is key to determine
3. How much snow we will get - the wind direction is vital to getting snow here. We need something between NE and ENE for convective or stream based snow in an unstable flow. A direct easterly risks giving bone dry and cold air, which can't pick up moisture as it crosses the Straits of Dover.
4. Whether we get any disturbances / low pressure cells in the flow to deliver more widespread snow
5. How long the cold spell lasts - there is some support for an extended cold spell of over a week, but there is still variations available.

The snow bit is a concern and I guess we won't really have a good view of that until Saturday/Sunday. I fear we (Worthing/Findon) may be a little too far West for this but hopefully not.

 

[Bozza]

I'm heading off to the top of Cissbury Ring now with my sledge and I'm going to wait it out.

I don't want to miss it when it arrives.

 

[Yoda]

Has anyone looked at the GFS' experimental UK Snow Depth charts for the end of next week?

By the following Monday (I know, I know), it looks like this:

 

[Bozza]

Has anyone looked at the GFS' experimental UK Snow Depth charts for the end of next week?

By the following Monday (I know, I know), it looks like this:

That needs the colour key for us uneducated types.

 

[Yoda]

That needs the colour key for us uneducated types.

They no longer have them on there

From memory each different darkening (then brighter) shade of green is 1cm.

 

[Taybha]

I’m no expert but unless the map is FA produced the white bits are snow ?