[Misc] The Award-winning official "More Snow Tomorrow?" Thread [2024-25 Season]

[Uncle Spielberg]

We were basing on max day time obviously. The models are already reversing btw the snowmaggedon

 

[Uncle Spielberg]

Looking at the past and forecast temps for Newhaven from here:

https://weather.com/en-GB/weather/monthly/l/UKXX0274:1:UK

The average max will come out at 7C, and the minimum at 1.57C, giving an average temp for the week (based upon max and min) of 4.3C

See below

 

[Papa Lazarou]

We were basing on max day time obviously. The models are already reversing btw the snowmaggedon

Are they? Which model have you seen that's showing that?

 

[Yoda]

I think temperatures here will average 8 c this week, 11,10,9,7,6,6,6 so predicted 8-12 c, big thing is next week, said 5 c, may be 3 c for a couple of days but forecast now showing dry days anyway. We will see, it is just a bit of fun really

Who are you and what have you done with the real Uncle Spielberg?

 

[Taybha]

Are they? Which model have you seen that's showing that?

 

[Giraffe]

We were basing on max day time obviously. The models are already reversing btw the snowmaggedon

Are they? I've not seen that.

So are they saying sleet and no snow now?

As I see it, given the temperatures on which there is fairly widespread agreement now, there can only be either dry or snow, no in between.

 

[Papa Lazarou]

Are they? I've not seen that.

So are they saying sleet and no snow now?

As I see it, given the temperatures on which there is fairly widespread agreement now, there can only be either dry or snow, no in between.

Yep. That's the one thing that's not clear.

I think I know where Unc is coming from. Today's lunchtime BBC forecast for next week didn't mention snow for next week, just Bitterly Cold and Dry. So, it's possible. However, that is a little odd, when the Met Office (who the BBC don't use anymore) say this:

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/long-range-forecast

UK Outlook for Sunday 25 Feb 2018 to Tuesday 6 Mar 2018:

Sunday will be dry but cold for many, with some sunny spells. Snow showers may develop across eastern and southern areas where fresh winds will make it feel bitterly cold. Through next week it is likely to become even colder with strong easterly winds, bringing an increasing threat of snow showers. These will be heaviest and most frequent in central and eastern areas, and some spells of more prolonged snow are possible at times, particularly in the east but also perhaps in parts of the south and southwest. The cold weather will continue through the rest of the period, with the northwest seeing the best of any brighter weather, and here it may be less cold at times, although brisk winds will continue to bring a marked wind chill.


So, the risk is there...

 

[Napper]

Looking at the past and forecast temps for Newhaven from here:

https://weather.com/en-GB/weather/monthly/l/UKXX0274:1:UK

The average max will come out at 7C, and the minimum at 1.57C, giving an average temp for the week (based upon max and min) of 4.3C

4c blimey

hardly cold then ?

Still on for this epic snow event though ?

 

[Papa Lazarou]

4c blimey

hardly cold then ?

Still on for this epic snow event though ?

That's for THIS week. Next week ... I'd expect the average (max & min) to be below freezing for next week.

 

[Thunder Bolt]

Looking at the past and forecast temps for Newhaven from here:

https://weather.com/en-GB/weather/monthly/l/UKXX0274:1:UK

The average max will come out at 7C, and the minimum at 1.57C, giving an average temp for the week (based upon max and min) of 4.3C

And still Nikki Maenpaa will have short sleeves. Tough cookies, these Finns.

 

[Audax]

I think temperatures here will average 8 c this week, 11,10,9,7,6,6,6 so predicted 8-12 c, big thing is next week, said 5 c, may be 3 c for a couple of days but forecast now showing dry days anyway. We will see, it is just a bit of fun really

How are you defining "this week" is it Sun-Sat or something else? Assuming Sun-Sat, Sun = 11, Mon = 10, Tues = 9, and then for Brighton BBC have for the remainder: 7,6,5,5. And their forecast is pretty much the warmest one around. MetOffice has gone for 7, 5, 4, 5. Netweather have 5, 5, 4, 3.

None of those average out above 8 ... they're all below. Besides which, your original statement very much read like you were predicting every day would be in the 8-12 range, not that the week as a whole would average to that. It's all moving towards a very, very cold next week and I'm fully expecting BBC to adjust their temps from Saturday onwards colder than they currently have them.

 

[Uncle Spielberg]

How are you defining "this week" is it Sun-Sat or something else? Assuming Sun-Sat, Sun = 11, Mon = 10, Tues = 9, and then for Brighton BBC have for the remainder: 7,6,5,5. And their forecast is pretty much the warmest one around. MetOffice has gone for 7, 5, 4, 5. Netweather have 5, 5, 4, 3.

None of those average out above 8 ... they're all below. Besides which, your original statement very much read like you were predicting every day would be in the 8-12 range, not that the week as a whole would average to that. It's all moving towards a very, very cold next week and I'm fully expecting BBC to adjust their temps from Saturday onwards colder than they currently have them.

Er mon to sun this week

 

[chucky1973]

Lots of sites and videos on twitter saying we are in for it big time. Statements such as "storm of century" "won't see a forecast like this in our life time again".

Could this really be happening......

 

[darkwolf666]

Lots of sites and videos on twitter saying we are in for it big time. Statements such as "storm of century" "won't see a forecast like this in our life time again".

Could this really be happening......

No....

 

[Papa Lazarou]

Lots of sites and videos on twitter saying we are in for it big time. Statements such as "storm of century" "won't see a forecast like this in our life time again".

Could this really be happening......4

I think some of the synoptic setups are going to be very unusual, but given the lateness of the season I don't think we'll see anything approaching record low temps (but it will be blooming cold). On the snow front it's still too early to make a call, but there is a signal from the ECM particularly for a more organised period of possibly disruptive snow Tuesday into Wednesday.

 

[chucky1973]

I think some of the synoptic setups are going to be very unusual, but given the lateness of the season I don't think we'll see anything approaching record low temps (but it will be blooming cold). On the snow front it's still too early to make a call, but there is a signal from the ECM particularly for a more organised period of possibly disruptive snow Tuesday into Wednesday.

Not Sunday Monday now?

 

[Papa Lazarou]

Not Sunday Monday now?

Oh there's still a chance Sunday into Monday but the higher 'risk' is later.

 

[Giraffe]

All I’m going to say is that the storm/snow forecasting globe ornament thingy I got given for Christmas that I had until now assumed not to work is now going crazy. I have no measure as to how normal this is other than the fact it has been completely benign since I received on Christmas Day.

 

[dangull]

According to the BBC, they are still not sure if the very cold air will drift south of the UK, around south of the country, the whole of the country, or even how far West it will reach.

Basically, they don't want to look bad if they get it wrong.

 

[Eeyore]

I don't believe anything until the DAILY EXPRESS says so.

Until they quote AccuWeather telling us how awful it will be (and then add a Met Office spokesman suggesting something far more sedate) I won't accept it.