chucky1973
New member
Papa, did I hear it right this morning that the outlook for this summer is the same as last year, basically a wash out with little chance of long periods of sunshine?
[Misc] The Award-winning official "More Snow Tomorrow?" Thread [2024-25 Season]
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Papa, did I hear it right this morning that the outlook for this summer is the same as last year, basically a wash out with little chance of long periods of sunshine?
Papa Lazarou
Living in a De Zerbi wonderland
It's a little early to write the summer off, but for the next week or so it's looking like we're stuck in a pretty stable trough, with high pressure to our West and East, allowing lows (and the jet) to flow in from the NW over the UK. This is pretty much the setup we've has for the last 3 or 4 summers, with a few brief periods of respite.
The latest ECM does show high pressure building in from the WSW next week, which would give us some decent weather. Other models, especially the GFS keeps us unsettled on the whole, with short lived ridges being thrown up from the SW.
One concern, is that there is some evidence and a lot of academic interest in a possible link between the reduced summer ice in the Arctic and poor summers for NW Europe. If there is a link, then we'd better get used to sh*t summers
One concern, is that there is some evidence and a lot of academic interest in a possible link between the reduced summer ice in the Arctic and poor summers for NW Europe. If there is a link, then we'd better get used to sh*t summers
Time to move
Papa Lazarou
Living in a De Zerbi wonderland
Make sure you're a little way from the sea, with a bit of altitude... just in case.
HawkTheSeagull
New member
I saw this topic and i instantly thought "We better not be getting googling snow in May - now THAT would send me over the edge".
Papa Lazarou
Living in a De Zerbi wonderland
Well, there are reports of snow / sleet in Scotland today. Even as low as Glasgow.
HawkTheSeagull
New member
SHUT UP, just SHUT UP !!!
Its Spring and next month is Summer, no more bloody snow !!!
It's a little early to write the summer off, but for the next week or so it's looking like we're stuck in a pretty stable trough, with high pressure to our West and East, allowing lows (and the jet) to flow in from the NW over the UK. This is pretty much the setup we've has for the last 3 or 4 summers, with a few brief periods of respite.
The latest ECM does show high pressure building in from the WSW next week, which would give us some decent weather. Other models, especially the GFS keeps us unsettled on the whole, with short lived ridges being thrown up from the SW.
One concern, is that there is some evidence and a lot of academic interest in a possible link between the reduced summer ice in the Arctic and poor summers for NW Europe. If there is a link, then we'd better get used to sh*t summers
With respect, the 'reduced summer ice' argument is likely to be nothing more than inaccurate tittle tattle.
Were they the self same scientists that concluded Mediterranean summers for the UK imminently ??
The models show that there seems no immediate warmth likely, but beyond day 5-10 we cannot possibly tell.
Maybe this years Summer will be poor and we might be locked into a period of cool Summers, who knows, this is how the climate works, but similarly we might bask in hot warm weather from June onwards, no one can say.
Scientist can link a period of weather with any natural phenomenon and create a scientific opinion, but experience shows that with the climate they just cannot predict.
So relax we will have an normal English Summer ........... or we might not.
Dr NBC
Former Insider
So it will be 12c, overcast and drizzle?
.... or we might not.
Papa Lazarou
Living in a De Zerbi wonderland
The ECM is the only glimmer of hope short term.
We deserve a decent summer - it's long overdue.
And on the cause of this - I totally agree - climate science is struggling to cope with the effects of a rapidly warming Arctic at the moment.
- Aug 8, 2005
- 27,237
- Thread starter
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It has been brought to our attention through news medias, whereas previous generations probably not.
Actually snowy events in May although not the norm, are quite frequent.
BRIGHT ON Q
Well-known member
- Jul 5, 2003
- 9,248
So with the next 10 days looking pretty shit,I take it we have jet stream problems again?.what a shit year it's been for weather so far.
Woodchip
It's all about the bikes
8 inches of snow expected for Thursday/Friday. Possibly the biggest "event" in Christchurch since 1992.
cloud
Well-known member
We had sleet in London yesterday
TSB
Captain Hindsight
How long's this heatwave expected to last?
Papa Lazarou
Living in a De Zerbi wonderland
After a pretty decent summer, it's decidely chilling out there at the moment.
In Scotland they've had the first significant mountain snowfall recently.
See here for real time updates:
http://www.winterhighland.info/cams/glencoe/summit.jpeg
However, things will calm down and warm up by the weekend, with High Pressure and temp up to 20C again. In fact we may see a week or 10 days of benign Autumn weather, with High pressure not far from the UK. So, no chance of early snow here.
In Scotland they've had the first significant mountain snowfall recently.
See here for real time updates:
http://www.winterhighland.info/cams/glencoe/summit.jpeg
However, things will calm down and warm up by the weekend, with High Pressure and temp up to 20C again. In fact we may see a week or 10 days of benign Autumn weather, with High pressure not far from the UK. So, no chance of early snow here.
supaseagull
Well-known member
and we're off! Winter 2013/14!