The Modfather
New member
A few flakes in BN10 this morning
Is this what it's going to be like in England from now on? Will it get progressively worse? I need to move.
The short answer in my Opinion is yes, Winters are going to be colder than what we've been used to. There has been a "flip" from about 2007 onwards towards Winters that were common place back in the 60's. I wouldn't be surprised to see a winter like 62-63 or 47 in the next 5 to 10 years. Reasons are various as to why but the main one I think is due to how quiet the sun is, as in not very many sunspots. Some scientists think it's going to get even "queiter" like the Maunder/Dalton minimum periods, which coincidentally was when the last mini ice age was!
The latest theories suggest that the reduced snow / ice cover over the northern Polar regions in the summer, and slow recovery during winter are disrupting the usually coherent polar vortex, and also affecting sea surface temperature patterns, which leads to increased high latitiude blocking and cold outbreaks at lower latitudes. This definitely supports more cold winters for us.
the last paragraph in this Met Office article (from a couple of years ago) supports this.
Declining sea ice - Met Office
As an aside, our 4 or 5 cr@p summers in a row might be an ongoing symptom as well
It's been changing between raining and flumping in Eastbourne - wish it would just do one now.
Yep definitely, which contradicts with what the Global Warming people have been withering on about!