nwgull
Well-known member
It wasn’t sudden. Harris went to about 1.8 post debate, but then gradually drifted out to 2.5 over the subsequent 4-5 weeks. She has shortened a little bit in the last 24 hours to 2.25, presumably after that Iowa poll.It's shifted more than a little.
Trump was ahead against Biden, then against Kamala it's been nip and tuck either way until suddenly, for no apparent reason, Trump became a really strong favourite. There was nothing to point to that change - why had people not backed him when he was odds against, but then they decide to back him when he was a strong favourite? There hadn't been a debate or anything in his favour, there hadn't been a change in the polls, he just suddenly became a really strong favourite.
The most obvious answer is that people like Musk chucked a load of money on him, in order to influence people's voting decision. But now the odds are returning towards even as people take advantage of the generous odds available for Kamala.