Greg Bobkin
Silver Seagull
- May 22, 2012
- 15,894
All that doesn't really sit with the 'It's too close to call' narrative that seems to be trotted out all over the place. Including this, for example.After reading about the Republican's Puerto Rico faux pas - https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cgj7689v757o - I headed to Oddschecker to see what the curnend odds are.
My positive mood soon soured when I saw how short-priced Trump is currently.
I know some don't see any merit in betting markets, but they absolutely do provide the best guide on probability available to us.
Probability is all it is, of course, but the current odds give Trump twice the chance of winning of Harris, and that is utterly depressing.
I get what you're saying - and it doesn't help that I think betting is a mug's game - but it doesn't take much to skew the markets. Just like with anything that comes out of Trump's mouth, I take all that with a lot more than a pinch of salt.