Sid in the Sharknado
New member
Well it isn't bollocks. On the previous thread about this someone was claiming it would prevent all the injuries yet had no evidence, despite us being at the Amex for 10 years, of these injuries.
It is nonsense to claim that a higher railing presents a similar danger to one at roughly knee level, otherwise design standards wouldn't require handrails to be about 1m off the ground
In any case, I strongly suspect that the safety argument comes down to liability. To justify lifting standing restrictions, the various bods responsible have to put something else in place so that the "risk" that is seen as being introduced can be said to be managed. I read a report on this the other day that suggested that the chance of injury was rather higher in areas with intermittent standing (i.e. jumping up and down to celebrate a goal), than in areas where people stand all the time, which would seem to be an argument for putting the rails in throughout the ground
From a cold cost point of view, the last time I checked the typical "value per fatality" was around £1.8m, so to justify installation you'd have to guess that there's one seriously life changing injury being prevented for that amount of spend (with various adjustments for inflation over the lifetime of the safe seating, and allowances for reputational risk etc.) The cost I've seen for Celtic's safe standing area was £500,000 for a 2600 seat area, so assuming the North Stand could be converted for a similar price that would mean you'd have to save a bit under 1/3 of a life over the whole lifespan of the seats for it to be justified. Considering the stadium's only 10years old, that sounds plausible, but it's obviously very difficult to quantify risks when there's a very small chance of it happening.
There are other grounds with much steeper slopes and narrower gaps between seats where I think there's a better argument for it than at the AMEX.
Edit: to be clear, that value per fatality is based on the value used by government departments, not a statement on how much football clubs value their supporters.