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[Politics] Russia invades Ukraine (24/02/2022)







peterward

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Nov 11, 2009
12,767
He really is a twat BUT my understanding is that the ration of US v Europe et al military support was 51/49, so whilst the US are pulling out the EU/UK are stepping up, added to this Turkey are increasing their support. With the failure of the attempted Russian breakout and the lack of a spring offensive from Russia, the cards are slowly falling into Ukraine hands.
i do believe that from A European point of view a case of ‘don’t let the door hit your arse on the way out’. He’s taken his ball home but Ukraine are being offered others.

Tactically it doesn’t make sense as you can’t threaten to remove your support if you are already taking down the infrastructur.
He keeps moving goalposts, and I think its pretty self evident, He's setting Ukraine up to accept either a capitulation deal and put a new puppet in Kyiv, or to try and frame the failure of any "peace" as down to an obstinate Zelenskyy.

He's compromised.

 
Last edited:


Triggaaar

Well-known member
Oct 24, 2005
54,868
Goldstone
He keeps moving goalposts, and I think its pretty self evident, He's setting Ukraine up ylto either a capitulation deal and new puppet in Kyiv, or to try and frame the failure of any "peace" as down to an obstinate Zelenskyy.

He's compromised.



Under no circumstances should Zelenskyy step down. He also should not meet with the US.
 


Deportivo Seagull

I should coco
Jul 22, 2003
5,762
Mid Sussex
He keeps moving goalposts, and I think its pretty self evident, He's setting Ukraine up ylto either a capitulation deal and new puppet in Kyiv, or to try and frame the failure of any "peace" as down to an obstinate Zelenskyy.

He's compromised.


But with the support that rest of Europe is going to, and is providing, he can tell Trump to go forth and multiply. I would go as far as to say that Zelensky is very much stronger than a week ago and Trumps is very much weaker, it’s just that Trump doesn’t realise it.

i foresee him having a fit, claiming that Zelensky doesn’t want peace and then heading to the golf course.

i look forward to reading that Trump had heart attack/stroke on the the 13th at some grotty golf course where his last act was to shit himself.
 


raymondo

Well-known member
Apr 26, 2017
8,757
Wiltshire
Under no circumstances should Zelenskyy step down. He also should not meet with the US.
Agreed.
Trump and his group cannot be trusted at all. Extortion, bullying, manipulation.
Also Musk cannot be trusted,and therefore continuation of Starlink cannot be trusted - there could be 'malfuncions' at any time.
But I think Zelenskiy will meet again with the US, because I believe European leaders require him to.
The suspicions of US leadership are not yet fully embedded in the psyche of European leaders. It should be though, it's bleeding obvious.
 






raymondo

Well-known member
Apr 26, 2017
8,757
Wiltshire
That last sentence.

I remember watching Elon in an interview in Dubai or some such place in about 2017. He was asked what his greatest challenge was. He answered to the effect that (at that stage) he was surrounded by people who agree with him. They all told him what they thought he wanted to hear. So he never got good, honest feedback. Until he got feedback from people who don't work for him.

Maybe being wealthy and powerful is self regulating.
He should visit NSC if wants to be surrounded by people that disagree with him.
 






peterward

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Nov 11, 2009
12,767
Thoroughly recommend this shortish few minutes clip. Dr Ben Tallis is a British strategic and defense expert, who works for both EU and German governments.

He's at a European strategy forum in Lithuania talking about what we need to do defense wise to stop Russia and people to defeat them.

A little intellectual, but illuminating and right up Eric's path imho!

Link should open at right place, on a Lithuania website.

 


beorhthelm

A. Virgo, Football Genius
Jul 21, 2003
36,281
He keeps moving goalposts, and I think its pretty self evident, He's setting Ukraine up to accept either a capitulation deal and put a new puppet in Kyiv, or to try and frame the failure of any "peace" as down to an obstinate Zelenskyy.

He's compromised.


surely if Zelensky did step down, without obvious route to elections or in an interim period, his deputy or other from his party takes over? dont know the politics or electoral system but seems unlikely the "opposition" is a given to take over either way.
 


peterward

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Nov 11, 2009
12,767
surely if Zelensky did step down, without obvious route to elections or in an interim period, his deputy or other from his party takes over? dont know the politics or electoral system but seems unlikely the "opposition" is a given to take over either way.
It's not going to happen anyway. He won't be pressured to stand down and violate constitution, just so Trump gets a hollow PR win.
 




raymondo

Well-known member
Apr 26, 2017
8,757
Wiltshire
He keeps moving goalposts, and I think its pretty self evident, He's setting Ukraine up to accept either a capitulation deal and put a new puppet in Kyiv, or to try and frame the failure of any "peace" as down to an obstinate Zelenskyy.

He's compromised.


I wonder how many Trump meme coins and Gaza villas were offered to Tymoshenko and Poroshenko 🤔
 




Triggaaar

Well-known member
Oct 24, 2005
54,868
Goldstone
surely if Zelensky did step down, without obvious route to elections or in an interim period, his deputy or other from his party takes over? dont know the politics or electoral system but seems unlikely the "opposition" is a given to take over either way.

But he should NOT step down under any circumstances. To do so would be the equivalent of surrendering the country to Russia.
 




peterward

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Nov 11, 2009
12,767
But he should NOT step down under any circumstances. To do so would be the equivalent of surrendering the country to Russia.
The reality right now is Zelenskyy is polling around 45%, more than double second place, Former military commander in chief and now UK ambassador Zaluzhny on 21% and he's even more hardline anti Russian than Zelenskyy, he said last week that Trump is destroying the rules based order! Then ex president Poroshenko who US spoke to is mid teens around 15% and ex PM Tymoshenko who Trump team also spoke to is about 6%.

Zelenskyy is miles ahead and next best is more anti Russian so this US plan is doomed to fail.

Edit: The US knows Ukraine constitution, opposition have already said no vote in wartime, so for US to still mention it, looks like setting up excuses to withdraw US support rather than reality based?
 




raymondo

Well-known member
Apr 26, 2017
8,757
Wiltshire
The reality right now is Zelenskyy is polling around 45%, more than double second place, Former military commander in chief and now UK ambassador Zaluzhny on 21% and he's even more hardline anti Russian than Zelenskyy, he said last week that Trump is destroying the rules based order! Then ex president Poroshenko who US spoke to is mid teens around 15% and ex PM Tymoshenko who Trump team also spoke to is about 6%.

Zelenskyy is miles ahead and next best is more anti Russian so this US plan is doomed to fail.

Edit: The US knows Ukraine constitution, opposition have already said no vote in wartime, so for US to still mention it, looks like setting up excuses to withdraw US support rather than reality based?
There will be enormous pressure from the US on Zelenskiy to step aside, in return for more military aid from the US... that will never be delivered.
Stay strong Zelenskiy 🤞🏻
 


SouthSaxon

Stand or fall
NSC Patron
Jan 25, 2025
377
I don’t think it’s that hard to bat that aside:

“We can’t hold elections until the war is over”

“End the war then”

“We can’t do that until Putin stops invading us”

Eventually, Trump will give up, blame it all on Zelenskyy and start looking for a new victim. Then Europe can get on with the serious business.
 




fly high

Well-known member
Aug 25, 2011
2,024
in a house
OK, I'm posting this because it's different to all his previous videos. Normally, very sobre and matter-of-fact, Peter is now genuinely worried and is seriously considering the idea that Russia has penetrated the White House.

If all that stuff is right then we are all f***ed.
 


Deportivo Seagull

I should coco
Jul 22, 2003
5,762
Mid Sussex
If all that stuff is right then we are all f***ed.
It may well have done but if we take the US out of the equation or greatly reduce their influence then it is of much less consequence. That strategy is based on a divided Europe which looks like being flawed one.
 


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