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[Politics] Russia invades Ukraine (24/02/2022)







fly high

Well-known member
Aug 25, 2011
2,056
in a house

I don't actually believe there will be a cease fire which doesn't lead to the death of Ukraine as a sovereign, free democratic nation. Trump is busy carving up Ukraine with Putin, he is not pursuing a cease fire in which Ukraine get any say. They will be presented with the Trump/Putin agreement & either sign it off or Trump withdraws everything, including sanctions & lets Putin get on with it.
 


Algernon

Well-known member
Sep 9, 2012
3,369
Newmarket.
If Russia actually manage to take all of Ukraine in a week's/month's/year's time, what is our response going to be?
If we shit our pants and do nothing then I guess c'est la vie.
But if that's unacceptable to Europe, at what point do we decide it's too much, get off our fat arses and do something about it to stop that happening.
And why haven't we done something about it already?
 


raymondo

Well-known member
Apr 26, 2017
8,890
Wiltshire
I’m not sure when Trump climbed into bed with Putin. Probably back in the late 90’s?

But the Russian Fuhrer has got Trump by the clackers and he’s not letting go.

Trump’s backing of Putin will be his downfall. The world will never forgive Trump for what he is doing right now.

I personally think he needs stringing up alongside Putin once he’s defeated.
I hope you're right that (most) of the world will never forgive Trump. I suspect maga will love him for a long time,and Vance will love him until he stabs him the back.
 


Eric the meek

Fiveways Wilf
NSC Patron
Aug 24, 2020
8,298
I don't actually believe there will be a cease fire which doesn't lead to the death of Ukraine as a sovereign, free democratic nation. Trump is busy carving up Ukraine with Putin, he is not pursuing a cease fire in which Ukraine get any say. They will be presented with the Trump/Putin agreement & either sign it off or Trump withdraws everything, including sanctions & lets Putin get on with it.
I'm not sure how to respond to that. But I'll do my best.

It isn't over until it's over. I suspect that being over is a long way away, and a lot can and probably will happen before it is truly over.

Sure, any ceasefire won't stop Putin. He needs war to stay alive. If he agrees a ceasefire, he loses his purpose, direction and support, and Russians will question the purpose of the war.

Think back to the video from Darin Gerdes, on how the propaganda has changed, from Russia being emboldened, strengthened by Trump, to now being defiant. The contrast is stark. This is the canary in the coalmine. You might conclude that Putin is afraid of a ceasefire. Russia has hidden the pain and the cost of the war from its people. It has done that for a reason. It is afraid of their reaction. It has also hidden the dire nature of the economy from the people. The war has decimated Russia. And then think what a ceasefire would mean. Hundreds of thousands of troops walking off the battlefield, angry and armed, ready to tell the truth to the political elite.

People will see the war graves in a different light. And question why food and essentials are so expensive. Returning troops and hunger are a lethal combination.

Sit back, and watch the drama unfold.
 






raymondo

Well-known member
Apr 26, 2017
8,890
Wiltshire
If Russia actually manage to take all of Ukraine in a week's/month's/year's time, what is our response going to be?
If we shit our pants and do nothing then I guess c'est la vie.
But if that's unacceptable to Europe, at what point do we decide it's too much, get off our fat arses and do something about it to stop that happening.
And why haven't we done something about it already?
You are right - it's only going to get harder to stop Russia, not easier.
 


SouthSaxon

Stand or fall
NSC Patron
Jan 25, 2025
477
If Russia actually manage to take all of Ukraine in a week's/month's/year's time, what is our response going to be?
If we shit our pants and do nothing then I guess c'est la vie.
But if that's unacceptable to Europe, at what point do we decide it's too much, get off our fat arses and do something about it to stop that happening.
And why haven't we done something about it already?
From all the analysis I’ve seen, Russia isn’t strong enough to take all of Ukraine. It’s why Putin demands Ukraine be fully declawed even to agree an initial ceasefire (which he won’t get).

Europe needs to play some serious catch up now that Trump has pulled the rug out from under them. This is starting to happen, but it’ll take time for this to manifest.

Europe’s complacency deserves criticism, but they are not responsible for US actions. Had Harris won the election, the strategy of throttling Russia economically would have continued - it was/is working.

Now Europe needs to take a more proactive approach, but also needs to play for time while it gets its industry reoriented.

Germany’s car industry is key in this, and we’re already seeing some early moves being made.

 






raymondo

Well-known member
Apr 26, 2017
8,890
Wiltshire
I'm not sure how to respond to that. But I'll do my best.

It isn't over until it's over. I suspect that being over is a long way away, and a lot can and probably will happen before it is truly over.

Sure, any ceasefire won't stop Putin. He needs war to stay alive. If he agrees a ceasefire, he loses his purpose, direction and support, and Russians will question the purpose of the war.

Think back to the video from Darin Gerdes, on how the propaganda has changed, from Russia being emboldened, strengthened by Trump, to now being defiant. The contrast is stark. This is the canary in the coalmine. You might conclude that Putin is afraid of a ceasefire. Russia has hidden the pain and the cost of the war from its people. It has done that for a reason. It is afraid of their reaction. It has also hidden the dire nature of the economy from the people. The war has decimated Russia. And then think what a ceasefire would mean. Hundreds of thousands of troops walking off the battlefield, angry and armed, ready to tell the truth to the political elite.

People will see the war graves in a different light. And question why food and essentials are so expensive. Returning troops and hunger are a lethal combination.

Sit back, and watch the drama unfold.
I agree except I don't think any 'ceasefire' will see Putin's troops walking off the battlefield - they'll be kept there, partly for the reason you give, but also because they'll be doing daily false flags and mini incursions.
 


GoldstoneVintage

Well-known member
Oct 20, 2024
563
Europe
From all the analysis I’ve seen, Russia isn’t strong enough to take all of Ukraine. It’s why Putin demands Ukraine be fully declawed even to agree an initial ceasefire (which he won’t get).

Europe needs to play some serious catch up now that Trump has pulled the rug out from under them. This is starting to happen, but it’ll take time for this to manifest.

Europe’s complacency deserves criticism, but they are not responsible for US actions. Had Harris won the election, the strategy of throttling Russia economically would have continued - it was/is working.

Now Europe needs to take a more proactive approach, but also needs to play for time while it gets its industry reoriented.

Germany’s car industry is key in this, and we’re already seeing some early moves being made.

This is great news. However, to paraphrase Roald Amundsen, I would develop drones, drones and more drones. Not only is this the future (and present) of warfare, it's also a lot faster and cheaper than building tanks. European countries also need to start recruiting and training a lot of drone operators and integrating them into the armed forces.
 






SouthSaxon

Stand or fall
NSC Patron
Jan 25, 2025
477
This is great news. However, to paraphrase Roald Amundsen, I would develop drones, drones and more drones. Not only is this the future (and present) of warfare, it's also a lot faster and cheaper than building tanks. European countries also need to start recruiting and training a lot of drone operators and integrating them into the armed forces.
Agreed. There’s much the Ukrainians can teach us.
 






peterward

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Nov 11, 2009
12,829
Trump is going along with Putin because he wants to, not because there’s a pee tape. He likes doing business with Russians and he likes their money.

The whole Krasnov thing is a distraction.
The Krasnov thing may or not be true, but it's kind of irrelevant. It would only answer potential motives for Trumps pro putin actions...... but its the actions themself that are the issue.

Whether he's compromised or it's just a Putin fetish, end result is same.
 




SouthSaxon

Stand or fall
NSC Patron
Jan 25, 2025
477
The Krasnov thing may or not be true, but it's kind of irrelevant. It would only answer potential motives for Trumps pro putin actions...... but its the actions themself that are the issue.

Whether he's compromised or it's just a Putin fetish, end result is same.
💯 People should be asking why an ex-KGB spy put the Krasnov story out when he did. What was the motive behind it?
 


cunning fergus

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Jan 18, 2009
5,040
There’s a filthy smell here now.
You wouldn’t be able to post your crap in Russia
You would be sent to the meat grinder along with the other less intelligent - but plus the more intelligent too
Such a shame you’re not in Russia

I can just see you clinging to Mummy’s clothes

Please don’t let them take me to the front.

PLEASE.

Chicken livered traitor
This is incoherent nonsense in response to simply pointing out certain NATO members are not in Starmer’s coalition of the willing.

This includes, amongst others, Italy, Poland and Germany. Most importantly of course it doesn’t include the US. Which means the very concept of a coalition of the willing is itself incoherent nonsence.

I can see where you get it from.
 






cunning fergus

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Jan 18, 2009
5,040
How are Poland not involved? They are the main staging post for aid into Ukraine and are arming up like no tomorrow. Germany are thankfully getting their arse in gear with the new chancellor pulling the strings.

nah na na f***ing clueless …… ( it’s match day).
Fair enough, I understand that however they will only offer money and aid to Ukraine they won’t be sending in their forces as part of the coalition of the willing.

They know how to defend their country and act in its interests……..maybe it’s a “Donald” thing.

https://search.app/peeeBYaCipeD72W98

Germany may appear to be getting their arse in gear but Germany is still importing gas from Russia. They won’t bite that hand will they…….
 


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