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[Albion] Premier League 12-14/1



Bozza

You can change this
Helpful Moderator
Jul 4, 2003
57,311
Back in Sussex
38 points, for us, looks a long way off from here.

In reality though, and setting aside Fulham's games in hands as it complicates things slightly, we only need to match the sides below us over the second half of the season to remain above them.

I wonder if there's any trend of bottom sides accruing more points in the second half of the season than the first.
 




Motogull

Todd Warrior
Sep 16, 2005
10,489
My concern is we don't know how to play any other way. GP is not a mid 90's Albion manager, nor a battler/fighter . . .even in 96/97 we had a 28% win ratio.

Haven't we seen green chutes/shoots(?) in our play of late?
 






zefarelly

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Jul 7, 2003
22,789
Sussex, by the sea
Haven't we seen green chutes/shoots(?) in our play of late?

Plenty, yes, but its a bit more of what we saw before, still no killer instinct.

we're like my dog, only half a terrier, like the thrill of the chase but doesn't bother opening the jaws when he gets to the squirrel.
 




elwheelio

Amateur Sleuth
Jan 24, 2006
1,957
Brighton
If we don't beat Leeds I think 38 points is unrealistic. We'd need to produce our best ever run of results in the Premier League just to hit 38pts which seems unlikely given we are on our worst ever run of results since this season started.
 




Acker79

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Nov 15, 2008
31,921
Brighton
Look, we all get you have a thinly veiled agenda but even for you that is utter horseshit.

A couple of years ago we needed Palace to beat Cardiff on the last day of the season to save our necks. Not even close to that yet. If you want to stir the shit at least try to be vaguely credible.

Point of order. They played in the second to last game of the season. We were safe on the final day. Which is good because on the final day they beat Man Utd 2-0, while we rolled over to gift the title Man City.

Plus, the whole 'it's a league, all the results count the same, we stayed up because we were able to get more points than them which is as much about us winning points as it is about them dropping points and their loss against palace was no more important than any of their other losses', but that's by the by, your overall point of closeness to relegation still stands.
 




vagabond

Well-known member
May 17, 2019
9,804
Brighton
If we don't beat Leeds I think 38 points is unrealistic. We'd need to produce our best ever run of results in the Premier League just to hit 38pts which seems unlikely given we are on our worst ever run of results since this season started.

I think there’s a good chance we’ll see record low points needed for survival this season.

38 points may be a misnomer.
 


schmunk

Why oh why oh why?
Jan 19, 2018
10,359
Mid mid mid Sussex
I think there’s a good chance we’ll see record low points needed for survival this season.

38 points may be a misnomer.

It's been 34 or 35 points for survival for each of the last 4 seasons. (i.e. 1 point better than 18th - could actually have achieved with 33/34 and goal difference)
 


blue-shifted

Banned
Feb 20, 2004
7,645
a galaxy far far away
If we don't beat Leeds I think 38 points is unrealistic. We'd need to produce our best ever run of results in the Premier League just to hit 38pts which seems unlikely given we are on our worst ever run of results since this season started.

Yeah no need to fixate on 38 points.

You can fairly accurately work out how many points will be needed based on current ppg. (the teams involved may change).

It will be somewhere around early 30's

I wouldn't rule out a team staying up on under 30 points this season.

A larger than average number of points is being taken up by places 6-10, this explains the lower points total with the lower teams
 




Blue Valkyrie

Not seen such Bravery!
Sep 1, 2012
32,165
Valhalla
6 points v Leeds and Fulham, and Chelsea beating Fulham next, will make the table look seriously better.


Over to Potter. That's your short term target.
 


The Fits

Well-known member
Jun 29, 2020
10,106
I was stone cold sober and have a dislike for Spuds. I liked Scott Parker as a player and think he's doing a good job as a manager.

Its no other clubs fault we're below par so far this season.

I've been touting Newcastle to go down for a few seasons. Both they and Burnley are in the mix. If Fulham can maintain their form they'll climb, but that's a big If. Newcastle could drop. but have a 5 point cushion on us at present. Still a lot to play for.

Leeds and Fulham are huge games, fail to win one and we're definitely in the drop zone at the end of the month and I don't think we've got what it takes to climb out. Like Fulham a few years ago . . . . too good to go down!

Re: Newcastle- posters have been quick to say 'teams like they' won't go down, they never do, that posters on NSC always write off teams like they and they always do enough. Well, it shows a rather short memory given they were down the last time we were, and before that when CH got them up. If anything they've been a bit of a 'yo yo' club in the last ten years.
Added to that their form- second from bottom, the fact their best attacking player is out with long covid and having Bruce in charge, who knows a thing or two about both mediocrity AND relegation, and i really don't think they're anywhere close to guaranteed to stay up.
 


The Fits

Well-known member
Jun 29, 2020
10,106
Yeah no need to fixate on 38 points.

You can fairly accurately work out how many points will be needed based on current ppg. (the teams involved may change).

It will be somewhere around early 30's

I wouldn't rule out a team staying up on under 30 points this season.

A larger than average number of points is being taken up by places 6-10, this explains the lower points total with the lower teams

Indeed. I was looking at WBA and Sheffield United and the stats regarding their points at Christmas and the fact nobody has got close to staying up with such few.
But, this season is unique. We haven't had a season like it that I can remember. Anyone can beat anyone. And, much like in the Championship, just a decent (or poor) run of 3-5 games can massively change things. Just look at Arsenal.
I suspect the team in 17th will have the lowest total of any team to stay up in history.
 




It isn't a coin toss between us and Fulham at all. We still have over half the season to play and both Burnley and Newcastle look every bit as vulnerable as ourselves and Fulham. Newcastle are 5 points ahead of us - not exactly insurmountable.


(I presume that ripping apart your brain dead logic makes me an "aggro grandad")

Well you were doing quite well there making some plausible points there without the need for that peculiarly online aggression that always raises questions about someone’s character - but then you couldn’t help yourself. Plus ca change. It just leaves the impression you care more about online insults than actually your own opinion about the Albion’s fortunes. Ah well
 


Kalimantan Gull

Well-known member
Aug 13, 2003
13,451
Central Borneo / the Lizard
Fulham are really impressive. Very powerful. Very quick.
Anguisa is a really dynamic midfielder and with Lemina (who is injured but due back any time soon) they are very solid in the middle, but it's the way they break that is really impressive. All their players seem to be rapid. Loftus Cheek gives them a bit of guile, Lookman is very tricky. Reid is very underrated IMHO and a decent finisher.
Anderson is a real leader at the back. Very good GK.
They're a decent team, I really can't see them going down.

Newcastle are the ones IMHO.

But Fulham were dreadful against us. We were disappointed in not beating us but they should be far more disappointed at not beating a relegation rival at home, and barely looking like doing so.

Having said that it is rare for the bottom 3 at this stage to stay the bottom 3 and they could certainly stay up, other teams will get sucked in, that's the way of these things.
 


Simster

"the man's an arse"
Jul 7, 2003
54,953
Surrey
Well you were doing quite well there making some plausible points there without the need for that peculiarly online aggression that always raises questions about someone’s character - but then you couldn’t help yourself. Plus ca change. It just leaves the impression you care more about online insults than actually your own opinion about the Albion’s fortunes. Ah well
"some plausible points" eh? High praise indeed.


You're so unaware of what a pompous nob you are. It is hilarious. Hopefully [MENTION=6886]Bozza[/MENTION] will ban you for being an insufferable cock once again as he did before.
 


Kalimantan Gull

Well-known member
Aug 13, 2003
13,451
Central Borneo / the Lizard
Indeed. I was looking at WBA and Sheffield United and the stats regarding their points at Christmas and the fact nobody has got close to staying up with such few.
But, this season is unique. We haven't had a season like it that I can remember. Anyone can beat anyone. And, much like in the Championship, just a decent (or poor) run of 3-5 games can massively change things. Just look at Arsenal.
I suspect the team in 17th will have the lowest total of any team to stay up in history.

Because normally 20 games have been played by Christmas, this season isn't like others
 






"some plausible points" eh? High praise indeed.


You're so unaware of what a pompous nob you are. It is hilarious. Hopefully [MENTION=6886]Bozza[/MENTION] will ban you for being an insufferable cock once again as he did before.

Because people who type stuff like you just did there against strangers on the interent are obviously so wonderfully normal and have no anger/self-esteem issues, no sireee. But look, if this is how you want to present yourself on here, knock yourself out :shrug:
 


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