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Main Coronavirus / Covid-19 Discussion Thread



Weststander

Well-known member
Aug 25, 2011
69,262
Withdean area
The price of vaccine hesitancy.

C180EC60-C137-4E8B-8BFC-8510CC1209A1.png

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-59234443
 






Weststander

Well-known member
Aug 25, 2011
69,262
Withdean area
Seems like Germany should have been testing more.

In March 2020, on testing, Germany led the western hemisphere with 132 private labs already in existence, geared up for other reasons, with the capacity to carry out 117,000 tests per day. They’re associated with universities and the huge Swiss pharma Roche. The Germans launched a track n trace app on 16 July 2020, admired from afar.

All went swimmingly, the envy of everyone else.

Then by September 2020 Germans started turning off bluetooth or deleting the app. For all the concerns later experienced in France and the UK, for example privacy.

By October 2020 there was an exponential rise in cases, then deaths.

Questions:
1. I wonder if European folk outside of Norway, Denmark and Finland, (& Yanks), simply loath perceived state control, being monitored, they treasure their independence? Unlike compliant South Korea and Taiwan for example.
2. Is it incredibly hard to track n trace in nations with a huge population?
 


Kinky Gerbil

Im The Scatman
NSC Patron
Jul 16, 2003
58,792
hassocks
In March 2020, on testing, Germany led the western hemisphere with 132 private labs already in existence, geared up for other reasons, with the capacity to carry out 117,000 tests per day. They’re associated with universities and the huge Swiss pharma Roche. The Germans launched a track n trace app on 16 July 2020, admired from afar.

All went swimmingly, the envy of everyone else.

Then by September 2020 Germans started turning off bluetooth or deleting the app. For all the concerns later experienced in France and the UK, for example privacy.

By October 2020 there was an exponential rise in cases, then deaths.

Questions:
1. I wonder if European folk outside of Norway, Denmark and Finland, (& Yanks), simply loath perceived state control, being monitored, they treasure their independence? Unlike compliant South Korea and Taiwan for example.
2. Is it incredibly hard to track n trace in nations with a huge population?

Without mass testing it’s going to be hard to have a successful track and trace, unless you are spot checking randomly at great numbers you won’t put up the numbers you need for it to work.


Out of all the tests they do 12 percent are positive, which indicates a massive problem - how many more are not testing and triggering a track and trace response?

Germany, Belgium, Holland and a few others are rocketing up just before the flu season really starts, I imagine we will see more restrictions in some of those countries.
 


Weststander

Well-known member
Aug 25, 2011
69,262
Withdean area
Without mass testing it’s going to be hard to have a successful track and trace, unless you are spot checking randomly at great numbers you won’t put up the numbers you need for it to work.


Out of all the tests they do 12 percent are positive, which indicates a massive problem - how many more are not testing and triggering a track and trace response?

Germany, Belgium, Holland and a few others are rocketing up just before the flu season really starts, I imagine we will see more restrictions in some of those countries.

I was thinking the same. I looked into Munich flights - low prices are tempting. Then they could suddenly announce a ton of restrictions.

Last mid-December Merkel did exactly that, including a load of arm twisting on Austria and non-EU Switzerland making them follow suit.
 




Kinky Gerbil

Im The Scatman
NSC Patron
Jul 16, 2003
58,792
hassocks
I was thinking the same. I looked into Munich flights - low prices are tempting. Then they could suddenly announce a ton of restrictions.

Last mid-December Merkel did exactly that, including a load of arm twisting on Austria and non-EU Switzerland making them follow suit.

I don’t think anyone will shut the borders as most only allow travel with vaccine/testing.

I’m not sure I fancy going anywhere that has restrictions though, as what else do they do? They already have mandatory masks and Passports I believe?
 


dazzer6666

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Mar 27, 2013
55,530
Burgess Hill
Without mass testing it’s going to be hard to have a successful track and trace, unless you are spot checking randomly at great numbers you won’t put up the numbers you need for it to work.


Out of all the tests they do 12 percent are positive, which indicates a massive problem - how many more are not testing and triggering a track and trace response?

Germany, Belgium, Holland and a few others are rocketing up just before the flu season really starts, I imagine we will see more restrictions in some of those countries.

Isn’t the higher positivity due mostly to testing only being performed when someone has symptoms?
 


Weststander

Well-known member
Aug 25, 2011
69,262
Withdean area




beorhthelm

A. Virgo, Football Genius
Jul 21, 2003
36,014
The German authorities decided to scrap rapid free testing, as a means to cajole the 1/3 of the entitled population who are refusing a vaccine into getting it done.

and maybe also to avoid hemorrhaging billions on them.
 


dazzer6666

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Mar 27, 2013
55,530
Burgess Hill
The German authorities decided to scrap rapid free testing, as a means to cajole the 1/3 of the entitled population who are refusing a vaccine into getting it done.
https://apnews.com/article/coronavirus-pandemic-europe-health-pandemics-germany-9774ff30b7d22f235fe6086d04e56a52

As with anywhere, have the vaccine refuseniks listened?

Yes but the question was about the % of positive tests…..they have more positive tests proportionately because they are doing much less testing, and focusing this on people with symptoms. Their infection rate per 100k is still less than ours (but not for much longer it seems)
 


Weststander

Well-known member
Aug 25, 2011
69,262
Withdean area
Yes but the question was about the % of positive tests…..they have more positive tests proportionately because they are doing much less testing, and focusing this on people with symptoms. Their infection rate per 100k is still less than ours (but not for much longer it seems)

I thought I was agreeing with you and that?

Going on to explain their reason for cutting out the widespread free testing (which would previously, inherently yield that lower positive rate).
 














Weststander

Well-known member
Aug 25, 2011
69,262
Withdean area
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/nov/12/partial-lockdown-in-netherlands-amid-record-covid-cases

Lockdowns making a return across Europe beginning with Netherlands. Sporting events back behind closed doors.

These 6 countries have metrics uncannily like those of Sept/Oct 2020, numbers really taking off.

BB9D5709-5F26-4B4C-8ECA-061D0C477960.png

Whilst France, UK, Italy, Spain and Germany just aren’t seeing this at all.

Have the populations in the former category abandoned any sense of care?
 








Bozza

You can change this
Helpful Moderator
Jul 4, 2003
57,284
Back in Sussex
At least one of us looks set to join the positive case numbers in the next few days...

This morning we had notification that one of Bozza jnr's classmates has tested positive. He was out at a Scout's Remembrance service at the time, so we LFTed him as soon as we'd picked him up and got him home. The test showed positive almost immediately, so we assume it's a very strong result. He is showing no symptoms currently.

So, PCRs have been booked for the three of us at the Worthing walk-through test site for tomorrow morning.

All a bit annoying as Mrs Bozza and Bozza jnr were going to be heading straight out to a theatre show this afternoon, and we were going to spend the evening with good friends, one of whom lost their father this week.

I also lost an uncle a week ago, meaning if I test positive, I may not be able to attend the upcoming funeral.
 


LamieRobertson

Not awoke
Feb 3, 2008
48,415
SHOREHAM BY SEA
At least one of us looks set to join the positive case numbers in the next few days...

This morning we had notification that one of Bozza jnr's classmates has tested positive. He was out at a Scout's Remembrance service at the time, so we LFTed him as soon as we'd picked him up and got him home. The test showed positive almost immediately, so we assume it's a very strong result. He is showing no symptoms currently.

So, PCRs have been booked for the three of us at the Worthing walk-through test site for tomorrow morning…

All a bit annoying as Mrs Bozza and Bozza jnr were going to be heading straight out to a theatre show this afternoon, and we were going to spend the evening with good friends, one of whom lost their father this week.

I also lost an uncle a week ago, meaning if I test positive, I may not be able to attend the upcoming funeral.

Ouch …particularly that last bit..hoping you all stay well
 
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