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Main Coronavirus / Covid-19 Discussion Thread



CHAPPERS

DISCO SPENG
Jul 5, 2003
45,092
Ice cream van arrived on our road yesterday. Kids and parents started mingling around the van, no distance between people. CV has finished in some peoples minds. It upset our 5 year old daughter that she couldn't get an Ice Cream, better safe than sorry. Hope we don't mess this up at the last minute.

Someone should have told them to stay alert.
 




Kinky Gerbil

Im The Scatman
NSC Patron
Jul 16, 2003
58,792
hassocks
Of course they do, but the narrative from certain posters is that the R-rate shouldn't include people from care homes and hospitals. Why it shouldn't they never really bother to explain. I'd hesitate to say that they're enjoying Social Darwinism in action, but that's what they're advocating.

No.

What people are saying is they should be done separately so we have a real picture of whats going on.

1. Whats going on in the care homes and how affected they are - stop hiding behind the national figure and confront the issue.

2. Areas we need to shelter
 


Machiavelli

Well-known member
Oct 11, 2013
17,771
Fiveways
thats quite unfair. the R number is supposed to be representitive of the infection rate within the population. if we narrow in on groups, you'll get a distorted view of the whole population. the numbers should include care homes weighted to the proportion of the population, and apparently this isnt what has happened.

I agree with what you're saying here, and that was precisely the point I was making, so are you claiming that I am being unfair, or those that think the R-rate shouldn't include care homes and hospitals are being unfair?

Edit: there's an example directly above^
 


Machiavelli

Well-known member
Oct 11, 2013
17,771
Fiveways
No.

What people are saying is they should be done separately so we have a real picture of whats going on.

1. Whats going on in the care homes and how affected they are - stop hiding behind the national figure and confront the issue.

2. Areas we need to shelter

The R-rate is difficult enough to calculate in the first place, but you want it to be disaggregated. Well, you're asking for the impossible, so we can quietly ignore you on this particular point.
 


Kinky Gerbil

Im The Scatman
NSC Patron
Jul 16, 2003
58,792
hassocks
The R-rate is difficult enough to calculate in the first place, but you want it to be disaggregated. Well, you're asking for the impossible, so we can quietly ignore you on this particular point.

If its that difficult why are we even bothering with it?

Add it to all the other pointless inaccurate stats then till we start testing properly,
 




Bodian

Well-known member
May 3, 2012
14,250
Cumbria
On our daily bike ride today over the Downs from Brighton, it was back to pre-covid normal really. On the Saddlescombe Road overtaken by countless car and vans. My guess would be a combination of the building sector is in full swing again (I know a fair number of tradesmen and developers), and folk visiting the Poynings garden centre.

For about three weeks ending a month ago, cycling was a once in a lifetime paradise of next to no vehicles.

We were just having a wood burning stove fitted when lockdown arrived, so we've been without fire or stove for the duration (lucky though, with the weather we've had). Stoveman got in touch this week to come back and finish in a few weeks' time. Brother-in-law is a painter/decorator - starts again next week. Does seem as though most sole tradesman are up and running again - which was presumably what Boris intended by telling people to 'get back to work'. Much of this can easily be done whilst maintaining social distancing and cleaning - but it's a real shame about the traffic, lockdown has been fantastic for that.
 




ManOfSussex

We wunt be druv
Apr 11, 2016
15,168
Rape of Hastings, Sussex




Swansman

Pro-peace
May 13, 2019
22,320
Sweden
Google 'Manto Tshabalala-Msimang' or 'Dr Beetroot' and come back to this.

Ok since she ****ed up, it must mean every African solution to anything must be useless.

However, google thalidomide, and you'll find some bad results as well. With your logic, all western medicine must be shit.

We're doomed.
 


beorhthelm

A. Virgo, Football Genius
Jul 21, 2003
36,015
Ok since she ****ed up, it must mean every African solution to anything must be useless.

However, google thalidomide, and you'll find some bad results as well. With your logic, all western medicine must be shit.

We're doomed.

your logic fails. because of thalidomide we test everything, both for efficacy and safety, and then for specific therapies. so we dont simply allow any old remedy to be offically prescribed in case it does nothing (so people dont take other, better therapies) or has negative effects on significant number of people. there will be investigations in to all sorts of old herbal remedies, but because the testing process is quite expensive companies are reluctant to invest in something they cant secure revenue from. the real problem with the west is we became quite litigious, people will scream for a lawyer if their loved one got ill from President Rajoelina's special remedy.
 


beorhthelm

A. Virgo, Football Genius
Jul 21, 2003
36,015
I agree with what you're saying here, and that was precisely the point I was making, so are you claiming that I am being unfair, or those that think the R-rate shouldn't include care homes and hospitals are being unfair?

Edit: there's an example directly above^

dont know, probably mis-interpretation. we can agree to agreee.
 




ManOfSussex

We wunt be druv
Apr 11, 2016
15,168
Rape of Hastings, Sussex
Ok since she ****ed up, it must mean every African solution to anything must be useless.

However, google thalidomide, and you'll find some bad results as well. With your logic, all western medicine must be shit.

We're doomed.

I don't need to Google 'Thalidomide' as I'm fully aware, as already pointed out to you, that the Medicines Act of 1968 was introduced here as an act of parliament following on from it.

I have lived on the African continent for 2 years and their solutions are far from being universally useless, but I certainly didn't go near traditional African medicine that had not been clinically tested for anything whenever I felt under the weather - I'd pop along to the chemist. (but not on a Friday lunchtime as they'd most likely be at Friday prayers and therefore closed)
 








The Wizard

Well-known member
Jul 2, 2009
18,399
Out and about on my regugar preston Park jog, police turned up and were having words with large groups playing sports and I would say the majority of people were in groups of 3+ not the number permitted, police were basically forced into giving up and leaving as too many. I do hope the community infection rate is low, appears people have given up even caring now.

Herd immunity here we come? :lolol:
 


Albion Dan

Banned
Jul 8, 2003
11,125
Peckham
Just been out for a bike round in Southwark and lots of people out, shops open, not too dissimilar to a normal sunny Sunday but with less traffic. Let’s hope transmission stays low enough to keep NHS capacity good then we can finally start proper recovery. Meanwhile those maximum lock down countries who shut their borders will be totally stuck.
 








Machiavelli

Well-known member
Oct 11, 2013
17,771
Fiveways
If its that difficult why are we even bothering with it?

Add it to all the other pointless inaccurate stats then till we start testing properly,

It isn't so difficult that it should be abandoned. You seem to want either no statistical evidence, or extremely complex statistical evidence. And the R-rate is not pointless, it's about the most relevant statistic for analysing the spread of the virus, and its de/intensification.
And, yes, we do need to start testing properly -- it's what WHO have been advising all along -- but our government hasn't got round to boosting capacity.
 




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