General Election 2015

[Herr Tubthumper]

Down to 1 point now then....interesting that they have been 3 ahead since this one when others have said 1 or level. Their polling is all done online does this pick up all age groups satisfactorily or why else do they favour Red over Blue more than all the others?

Damn, I've been rumbled.

I'll try and get it back up to a 3 point gap next week.

 

[TomandJerry]

Labour opens up five-point poll lead over Tories

Conservative support drops to 28% after autumn statement, the party’s lowest score since May last year

http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/dec/17/labour-five-point-poll-lead-tories

 

[London Irish]

Labour opens up five-point poll lead over Tories

Conservative support drops to 28% after autumn statement, the party’s lowest score since May last year

http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/dec/17/labour-five-point-poll-lead-tories

That's a big Labour majority but I'm still hoping for the Labour-SNP dream ticket

 

[seagullsovergrimsby]

Labour opens up five-point poll lead over Tories

Conservative support drops to 28% after autumn statement, the party’s lowest score since May last year

http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/dec/17/labour-five-point-poll-lead-tories

This could be a rogue poll , a 3% drop for Tory support appears to have been mopped up by the LibDems

 

[melias shoes]

That's a big Labour majority but I'm still hoping for the Labour-SNP dream ticket

Living nightmare more like.

 

[Soulman]

Labour opens up five-point poll lead over Tories

Conservative support drops to 28% after autumn statement, the party’s lowest score since May last year

http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/dec/17/labour-five-point-poll-lead-tories

Poll in the Guardian......move on.

 

[Machiavelli]

That's a big Labour majority but I'm still hoping for the Labour-SNP dream ticket

My thoughts exactly. That would be a delicious outcome, because they just wouldn't know what to do, and might actually resort to being radical for a change.

 

[Machiavelli]

This could be a rogue poll , a 3% drop for Tory support appears to have been mopped up by the LibDems

It's not rogue. It's all to do with the critique that at long last has been made of the Tories' plans to reduce the state to 1930s levels. That decade was known as the 'devil's decade' for a reason.

 

[Vegas Seagull]

This could be a rogue poll , a 3% drop for Tory support appears to have been mopped up by the LibDems

Indeed, A 25% rise in LD vote ludicrous
I am unconvinced that a telephone poll gives a representative sample, less unemployment in southern Tory voting areas so less time to chat on the phone or more interested in giving opinion??
Are ex directory numbers evenly spread across country?

 

[seagullsovergrimsby]

It's not rogue. It's all to do with the critique that at long last has been made of the Tories' plans to reduce the state to 1930s levels. That decade was known as the 'devil's decade' for a reason.

Yeah right , the LD on 14% whereas all the other recent polls have them neck and neck with the Greens on 7% - 8%

 

[seagullsovergrimsby]

Indeed, A 25% rise in LD vote ludicrous
I am unconvinced that a telephone poll gives a representative sample, less unemployment in southern Tory voting areas so less time to chat on the phone or more interested in giving opinion??
Are ex directory numbers evenly spread across country?

I keep an eye on the rolling averages as the opinion poll data is gathered differently by the polling organisations , phone or online and then applying a methodology (demographics , age , gender etc) to arrive at a weighted average. There is also a margin of error of plus or minus 3% although this in most instances is only 1% either way.

 

[beorhthelm]

That's a big Labour majority but I'm still hoping for the Labour-SNP dream ticket

how would this be a dream ticket? wouldnt it be just the same as the last Labour government, only with fractuous, devisive infighting. it would be of some entertainment value.

 

[Machiavelli]

Yeah right , the LD on 14% whereas all the other recent polls have them neck and neck with the Greens on 7% - 8%

In case it escaped your attention, I was referring to the Tories -- and their ideological plan to shrink the state back to 1930s levels -- rather than the Lib Dems. I hope the Lib Dems don't reap the rewards of people deserting the Tories, but it'll be interesting to see where support goes. I was trying to point out that the critique -- made by Lib Dems, Labour, the Greens and others -- of the Tories plan to shrink the state was having an effect. I suspect that it will continue to. We'll find out if this feeling is correct.

 

[seagullsovergrimsby]

In case it escaped your attention, I was referring to the Tories -- and their ideological plan to shrink the state back to 1930s levels -- rather than the Lib Dems. I hope the Lib Dems don't reap the rewards of people deserting the Tories, but it'll be interesting to see where support goes. I was trying to point out that the critique -- made by Lib Dems, Labour, the Greens and others -- of the Tories plan to shrink the state was having an effect. I suspect that it will continue to. We'll find out if this feeling is correct.

Chill bro , the Tories are on the slide.

 

[beorhthelm]

It's not rogue. It's all to do with the critique that at long last has been made of the Tories' plans to reduce the state to 1930s levels.

buying into the 1930's myth. the size of the state at current spending projection will be that of about 2002. its coming from a measurment as % GDP, however in real terms its about 3 times more than the 1930's and GDP per capita has risen similar amount. fact is in 1930's there wasnt a welfare state to speak of and we are spending £380bn on pensions, healthcare and welfare this year, so the comparison is laughable.

 

[Herr Tubthumper]

Labour opens up five-point poll lead over Tories

Conservative support drops to 28% after autumn statement, the party’s lowest score since May last year

http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/dec/17/labour-five-point-poll-lead-tories

So, over 4 months after I started this thread Labour are still holding onto a commanding lead. Roll on May.

 

[Westdene Seagull]

So, over 4 months after I started this thread Labour are still holding onto a commanding lead. Roll on May.

Well YouGov only gives them a 1% lead - Con 33%, Lab 34%, LD 6%, UKIP 16% - so I wouldn't go getting too cocky yet if I were you.

 

[Herr Tubthumper]

Well YouGov only gives them a 1% lead - Con 33%, Lab 34%, LD 6%, UKIP 16% - so I wouldn't go getting too cocky yet if I were you.

You don't believe that YouGov poll do you?

 

[vegster]

Well YouGov only gives them a 1% lead - Con 33%, Lab 34%, LD 6%, UKIP 16% - so I wouldn't go getting too cocky yet if I were you.

It will be a carve up and hopefully Farage will have some sort of say in what happens in the event of a hung parliament.......it will be the ONLY time he has any say mind you, If the foaming at the mouth Kippers get any sort of control we will be royally going to hell in a handcart.

 

[Westdene Seagull]

You don't believe that YouGov poll do you?

YouGov tends to match most the other main polls more or less most of the time. As has already been pointed out, I'd trust it more than a Guardian poll that adds three points to the Lib Dems - that immediately raises questions over accuracy.