General Election 2015

[Mellor 3 Ward 4]

I really think that these polls are a bit of a waste of time.

So much depends on how many Tories (and to a lesser extent Labour voters) vote UKIP in the key marginals.

UKIP will probably end up with a handful of seats, with 12-15% of the popular vote, however will have had a much larger influence on the election.

The SNP meanwhile will get about 2-3% of the total vote in the UK yet win 40+ seats, and become kingmaker.

 

[Titanic]

Why just post the one poll?

Because it is the most recent.

 

[seagulls4ever]

Because it is the most recent.

All the results of the polls which I posted, which include the one you posted, were released on the same day - yesterday.

 

[Herr Tubthumper]

Ashcroft – CON 30%, LAB 31%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 19%, GRN 5%

Scratch my SNP post, we dont need them anymore.

 

[Green Cross Code Man]

An unbelievably frightening thought.

The SNP lost the Referendum, yet Salmond could well hold the balance of power at Westminster.

If Labour got into bed with the SNP, what would the implications be?

Yet more devolved powers to Scotland, and what about Trident?

Implications? A clamour from England for independence from Scottish shackles!

 

[seagullsovergrimsby]

Why just post the one poll?

Lastest polls:

Populus – CON 33%, LAB 36%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 15%, GRN 4%
Ashcroft – CON 30%, LAB 31%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 19%, GRN 5%
YouGov/Sun – CON 34%, LAB 33%, LDEM 6%, UKIP 15%, GRN 6%

Because the other two have Labour in the lead

 

[seagullsovergrimsby]

Scratch my SNP post, we dont need them anymore.

Latest poll from Scotland has Labour 3% behind the SNP and gaining ground on the nationalists. On those figures Labour would only lose 13 seats north of the border and not the complete rout others have envisaged.

 

[seagulls4ever]

Because the other two have Labour in the lead

Exactly.

People post whatever polls they feel suit their agenda.

At the moment, based on an average of all the polls, Labour are clearly in the lead.

 

[Titanic]

YouGov/Sun poll: CON 33%, LAB 33%, LDEM 6%, UKIP 15%, GRNS 7%

 

[Herr Tubthumper]

YouGov/Sun poll: CON 33%, LAB 33%, LDEM 6%, UKIP 15%, GRNS 7%

Cool. Only 5 more months until Ed is running the show then.

 

[Machiavelli]

Exactly.

People post whatever polls they feel suit their agenda.

At the moment, based on an average of all the polls, Labour are clearly in the lead.

I have a political agenda, and don't think that truth is a tad over-rated in politics, which is a contest about what ideas are deemed most significant.
That said, the average of the polls won't tell you too much. Far more revealing is Ashcroft's marginal polls, which is where the election will be won or lost. I haven't seen them for a good while, but last time I did look, Labour were comfortably ahead.

 

[Titanic]

Cool. Only 5 more months until Ed is running the show then.

Just FOUR months ago, he had a SEVEN point lead... he is only going in one direction!

Not long now people

 

[Herr Tubthumper]

Just FOUR months ago, he had a SEVEN point lead... he is only going in one direction!

Not long now people

1 point or 7 points, a win is a win. I'd better stock up on £9 champagne....I'm going to need it. Might chuck a couple of lobsters in my basket as well.

 

[beorhthelm]

1 point or 7 points, a win is a win.

its not though really, in practical terms. 7points to 1 point is majority to a minority government. and even a minority win if a handful of seats would be difficult, and probably need Liberal and nationalists and a green to hobble together a government. with the tight polling, one might see a Tory/Liberal/Ukip coalition with more seats than Labour/SNP, so Labour winning would still loose.

 

[Mr Bridger]

1 point or 7 points, a win is a win. I'd better stock up on £9 champagne....I'm going to need it. Might chuck a couple of lobsters in my basket as well.

You been on the silly pills today?

Makes me laugh how you can still think Milliband could do a decent job, bet you still want Hyypia to stay.

 

[jimbob5]

There is absolutely zero chance of Labour winning the next election.

I told you a million times not to exaggerate!

 

[The Birdman]

Cool. Only 5 more months until Ed is running the show then.

and two years before being the sick man of Europe again.

 

[peterward]

1 point or 7 points, a win is a win. I'd better stock up on £9 champagne....I'm going to need it. Might chuck a couple of lobsters in my basket as well.

youre not the only one, i dare say a few banks and the IMF will be celebrating long and hard if they get the chance to make masses more in interest payments once labour, without any credible economic policy, revert to borrowing as much as they can.

And President Hollande will be mightily relieved to not be the only failed socialist economy of massive debts, rampant taxation and total stagnation.

It is a FACT the poorest in society were paying more tax under labour in 2010 than they do today and the rich are paying more now than they did under labour. Its complete bollox people are better off under labour. Why oh why would anybody vote for a pillock like milliband and his cabinet, many of whom were the architects of the financial calamity this government inherited?

You keep on trumping out your tribal slogan propganda, Thatcher is long dead, the world has moved on and the current govenrment, whilst far from perfect is far more capable of cleaning up the diabolical mess labour created than Milliband and Balls are.

Average salary/tax paid Labour 2010 V's Coalition 2013

 

[London Irish]

And President Hollande will be mightily relieved to not be the only failed socialist economy of massive debts, rampant taxation and total stagnation.

One of the funniest things about right wing types is how they think dull Blairite centrist Hollande is Europe's Hugo Chavez

 

[Common as Mook]

If Milliband's speech today is anything to go by, he's getting nowhere near Downing Street anytime soon