General Election 2015

[Vegas Seagull]

The Guardian...... must be true then.

Prove any bias or shut up

 

[Vegas Seagull]

The best we've got on this front is Ashcroft, and his marginal polling is looking good for Labour. That said, I've two concerns with Ashcroft:
1, his national polling seems to be out of kilter with the other pollsters, and tends to enlarge the Tory vote
2, the majority of constituency polls he's been revealing of late are in Scotland. This seems a little bit like mischief-making, whereby he's only revealing those polls that are problematic for Labour.

But, broadly, I agree. The polls are a little bit volatile of late, but don't really break out of the long-run trend of putting the Tories and Labour more-or-less neck-and-neck. What matters is what goes on in the 80 to 100 marginals, and especially the CON-LAB marginals.

His marginal poling is flawed towards challengers, which you continually ignore

 

[Vegas Seagull]

I wonder if Nicola Sturgeon will appoint Ed Milliband as her deputy PM if Labour win most seats?

Who invited you to post drivel?

 

[Vegas Seagull]

Very good post. Whatever one thinks about UKIP, it is absurd that they could conceivably end up with 15% of the total vote and gain a couple of MP's whilst the liberals may gain half that number of votes and return around 30 to 40 MP's.

Liberals are 25 Max & next time lower....UKIP will climb next time after many 2nds this time....it's a marathon....

 

[Vegas Seagull]

Ashcroft has his own agenda , perhaps he thinks more voters than otherwise will vote tactically in the marginals if they know they can influence the outcome.

Lies & false, poor post

 

[Herr Tubthumper]

Lies & false, poor post

Why are his polls consistently out of synch with all the others? What's different?

 

[seagullsovergrimsby]

Because Soggy populous were shown why they are worthless 1000 posts ago while you were still out catching cod, do keep up

If they're so worthless why do the BBC and Sky still include them in their respective "poll of polls" The ICM polls have also been shown to be worthless after 50% of the don't knows are added on to the intending to vote totals according to how they voted in 2010.

 

[Bozza]

I wonder if Nicola Sturgeon will appoint Ed Milliband as her deputy PM if Labour win most seats?

It's an interesting point that Sturgeon is having such a big say in an election she is playing no active part in.

Would Salmond be the SNP leader within Westminster?

 

[seagullsovergrimsby]

Lies & false, poor post

Exhibit 1 : Ashcroft poll in Sheffield Hallam on April 1st. Labour ahead by 2 points which tells Tory voters whose party is way behind how to vote tactically.

 

[Herr Tubthumper]

It's an interesting point that Sturgeon is having such a big say in an election she is playing no active part in.

Would Salmond be the SNP leader within Westminster?

If he wins the seat he's standing in I presume so. He seems the natural choice.

 

[Bozza]

If he wins the seat he's standing in I presume so.

He will, easily.

 

[Herr Tubthumper]

He will, easily.

It's currently Lib with a 7k majority. I think you're right though.

 

[Bozza]

It's currently Lib with a 7k majority. I think you're right though.

The polls have it as not even close.

 

[Herr Tubthumper]

The polls have it as not even close.

What do the bookmakers have?

 

[Ernest]

What do the bookmakers have?

Milliband as favourite to be next PM

 

[Kuipers Supporters Club]

If he wins the seat he's standing in I presume so. He seems the natural choice.

At the moment Angus Robertson is the leader of the SNP at Westminster - interview recently said that would remain the case but wouldn't be surprised if AS was his Deputy or Joint leader.

 

[promenader]

Who invited you to post drivel?

I will ignore that childish post

 

[Kuipers Supporters Club]

Out of Interest, who do people think the best PM out of the last 5 have been?

 

[seagullsovergrimsby]

I will ignore that childish post

Schoolboy error

 

[promenader]

It's an interesting point that Sturgeon is having such a big say in an election she is playing no active part in.

Would Salmond be the SNP leader within Westminster?

It is worrying that Salmond rang rings round the Tories and particularly Labour during the independence campaign - and now Sturgeon is doing the same thing in the election campaign.