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Does anyone still think 87 points will be enough for auto?



Seagull58

In the Algarve
Jan 31, 2012
8,516
Vilamoura, Portugal
With 11 games left there was a lot of discussion about whether 87 points would be enough. I was firmly in the No camp (and still am). My feeling was 8 wins and 2 draws would be needed, leaving us on 90 points. So far we've managed 5 wins and 2 draws and I still feel another 3 wins (minimum!) will be needed.
Anyone disagree?
 










saafend_seagull

Well-known member
Jul 5, 2003
14,022
BN1
Said ever since February, 90 points will be needed due to our goal difference. Likely to be 91 needed now.

Majority were saying 86/87 which is way off by using statistics which is completely Irrelevant.

For 89 points to be enough, burnley would have to go on the worst run of their entire season by picking up 5 points from 4 games (including Charlton to play).


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glasfryn

cleaning up cat sick
Nov 29, 2005
20,261
somewhere in Eastbourne
As many as possible
 






Hugo Rune

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Feb 23, 2012
23,700
Brighton
Boro delivered a knockout punch to Hull; they never recovered from the 1-0 loss.

Boro's 0-3 destruction of ourselves almost saw us drop out of the play-offs with a terrible run of form but we had time to pick ourselves up from the canvas.

Burnley are pretty one dimensional, I can see Ayala and his defence keeping their set pieces out. If Boro beat them, will Burnley be able to recover or will they be out for the count? We can help them throw in the towel if we beat QPR & Charlton.
 








Triggaaar

Well-known member
Oct 24, 2005
53,220
Goldstone
Majority were saying 86/87 which is way off by using statistics which is completely Irrelevant.
It looks way off now, but that's only because the top 3 have had great runs.

For 89 points to be enough, burnley would have to go on the worst run of their entire season by picking up 5 points from 4 games
For 89 to be enough for us, yes, but 89 might be enough for Burnley.
 








Triggaaar

Well-known member
Oct 24, 2005
53,220
Goldstone
Boro delivered a knockout punch to Hull; they never recovered from the 1-0 loss.
That's not actually true, Hull were in trouble before then, winning 3 points from the previous 4 games - they've got 7 points from the last 4 games.

Our bad run of form coincided with our injuries, it wasn't because of losing to 'brough.

Of course I hope that's what happens to Burnley, but it doesn't look likely.
 


glasfryn

cleaning up cat sick
Nov 29, 2005
20,261
somewhere in Eastbourne
Surely, the answer is as few as possible?

:facepalm: As few as possible.

it was in answer to the original question
DOES ANYONE STILL THINK 87 POINTS WILL BE ENOUGH FOR AUTO
my answer was AS MANY AS POSSIBLE ..........................whats hard to understand about that
 


ManOfSussex

We wunt be druv
Apr 11, 2016
15,175
Rape of Hastings, Sussex
In The Premier League Era, excluding the 94/95 season when only 2 went up, the highest points totals for finishing 3rd have been:

Sunderland - 1997/1998 - 90
Portsmouth - 1992/1993 - 88
Ipswich - 1999/2000 - 87
Bolton - 2000/2001 - 87
Ipswich - 1998-1999 - 86
Wolves - 2001/2002 - 86
Norwich - 2014/2015 - 86
Derby - 2013/2014 - 85
West Ham - 2011/2012 - 86
Ipswich - 2004/2005 - 85
Derby - 2006/2007 - 84
Watford - 2005/2006 - 81
Sheffield United - 2002/2003 - 80
Sheffield United - 2008/2009 - 80
Swansea City - 2010/2011 - 80 (Cardiff finished 4th on 80 points also)

Swings-and-roundabouts though as Hull City went up 2nd on 79 points in the 2012/2013 season, for example.
 




Triggaaar

Well-known member
Oct 24, 2005
53,220
Goldstone
it was in answer to the original question
DOES ANYONE STILL THINK 87 POINTS WILL BE ENOUGH FOR AUTO
my answer was AS MANY AS POSSIBLE ..........................whats hard to understand about that
It's not hard to understand, you got it wrong.

Will 87 points be enough? How many will be enough?

We want the amount required to be as few as possible.

The question you answered was 'how many points will we get?', which wasn't the question.
 


Perkino

Well-known member
Dec 11, 2009
6,053
What a ridiculous season. Not one team running away with the title but 3 teams pushing hard for 2 automatic places.
 


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