Am I reading this right, in that it suggests we have a higher ranking than the average Europa League side?
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[Football] Club ELO Rankings
- Thread starter CheeseRolls
- Start date
Am I reading this right, in that it suggests we have a higher ranking than the average Europa League side?
- Thread starter
- #62
Yes - This isn't a UEFA ranking system. It is purely based on beating the team that beat the team. Currently 5 of the top 10 ranked sides are in the premier league, which is the strongest ranked league in Europe. Two draws against 5th ranked Chelsea and one against 12th ranked West Ham are more meaningful in this context than an away trip to Skonto Riga
Understood - but more specifically, you see the score of 1727 next to the Europa League logo? Does that mean the average points total for a UEL team is 1727?
If so that's impressive, and sorta suggests that we "deserve" to be in the Europa League, local coefficients notwithstanding.
- Thread starter
- #64
UEL is a hyperlink on the ELO site, so you can click on it and see the details http://clubelo.com/UEL Of the teams left in it we would currently rank eighth. It should be noted that West Ham and Leicester didn't exactly cover themselves in glory. I also assume some bestest losers will also be entering at some point. Needless to say the day we are involved in this stuff, is the day I start paying attention to how it works.
Comrade Sam
Comrade Sam
Do we jump a place if we win at Old Trafford?
Moshe Gariani
Well-known member
- Mar 10, 2005
- 12,205
Elo calculator gives 23% expectation of Albion win. Which is very close to bookie odds.
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B-right-on
Living the dream
Thanks for that. Makes sense now.
One thing I missed - they also calculate in Home advantage. So a win at home is worth less than a win away, everything else being equal.
Yoda
English & European
Finish the Premier League season sat in 30th place. 
- Thread starter
- #70
I'm slipping and missed this one from yesterday. For one brief day. Brighton were ranked above Man Utd! Of course we beat them home and away and all that, but come on Jeff Wood's Blue and White army overtaking Fergie's treble winning reds?
GingerBeerMan
3-0
- Dec 29, 2011
- 8,205
Was that 24th in the world?! Lovely stuff.
- Thread starter
- #72
Europe only and already slipped to 25th, Potter Out!
- Thread starter
- #73
Now ranked 20th in Europe, which by my reckoning means we are well placed for European Super League Division 2!
HastingsSeagull
Well-known member
We clearly keep improving. Lovely stuff and over longer term fairly accurate probably.
Uter
Well-known member
FiveThirtyEight rank us as the 17th best team in the world.
They predict we are most likely to finish 8th, but we have a 24% chance of qualifying for the Champions League
Premier League Predictions - FiveThirtyEight
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/soccer-predictions/premier-league/
They predict we are most likely to finish 8th, but we have a 24% chance of qualifying for the Champions League
Premier League Predictions - FiveThirtyEight
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/soccer-predictions/premier-league/
- Thread starter
- #76
Thrashing the third best side in Europe cements our ranking in 18th place. Closer to AC Milan than Borussia Dortmund. Crazy times! Still not convinced we can overcome 9 man Walsall deploying a low block though.
| Rank | Club | Country | Elo |
1 | Man City | ENG | 2019 |
2 | Bayern | GER | 2016 |
3 | Liverpool | ENG | 1967 |
4 | Real Madrid | ESP | 1944 |
5 | Arsenal | ENG | 1941 |
6 | Napoli | ITA | 1907 |
7 | Barcelona | ESP | 1883 |
8 | Paris SG | FRA | 1880 |
9 | Man United | ENG | 1875 |
10 | Chelsea | ENG | 1867 |
11 | Tottenham | ENG | 1858 |
12 | Newcastle | ENG | 1858 |
13 | Inter | ITA | 1847 |
14 | RB Leipzig | GER | 1843 |
15 | Porto | POR | 1838 |
16 | Benfica | POR | 1833 |
17 | Milan | ITA | 1832 |
18 | Brighton | ENG | 1824 |
19 | Dortmund | GER | 1802 |
20 | Ajax | NED | 1795 |
No Villa or Leeds
REALLY want to go back in time and take a print out of this chart to, say, Ablion v Darlngton at Gillingham...
The Fits
Well-known member
- Jun 29, 2020
- 10,106
Just amazingly nuts. Look at those teams.
JOLovegrove
Well-known member
- Jan 30, 2012
- 2,060
I know. If any of those other teams reached a Champions League Quarter Final, you wouldn't bat an eyelid.