Championship Odds Tracker

[Triggaaar]

to ease the pain of potentially us not being promoted I laid us at 1.38 to get promotion which amounts to me losing £75 if we get promoted and win £200 if we don't of course will be glad to lose the £75!!!

You've paid the £75 up-front right? In which case, what £75? There is no £75.

 

[Moshe Gariani]

They haven't been convinced by reading for weeks. When will their form slip?

Yes. They have always strongly preferred Massive and Derby. Impressive shout if turns out right.

 

[Couldn't Be Hyypia]

Yes. They have always strongly preferred Massive and Derby. Impressive shout if turns out right.

If you have time, I'd recommend anyone interested in these stats to read the full explanation here - https://experimental361.com/explanations/explanations-e-ratings/

The key seems to be that they assess chances made and quality of defence (for your team and all those you have yet to play) rather than just results. This takes fixture aberrations out of the reckoning. This explains why, despite winning very often, 3-6-1 consistently suggest that Reading are over-indexing and will soon drop off. As Moshe says, they have been tipping Wed and Derby consistently for some time - and I think we're starting to see that prediction develop. All those who tipped Villa to come up on the rails clearly didn't study 3-6-1 - these guys have had them as also rans for a very long time.

What I particularly like (and why I hope their model is robust) is where they have BHA of course!!

 

[Machiavelli]

They haven't been convinced by reading for weeks. When will their form slip?

Good question. And the same could be said for Huddersfield. What unites them both is a new manager with a distinctive style of playing, with Reading possession-based, and Huddersfield energy and the press. I still think managers haven't quite cottoned on to Reading's new approach under Stam, and that the extremely high press will be the way to expose them. Huddersfield might just be the ones to do that, but I'd imagine this is what CH and PT will have in store for them too.

 

[clippedgull]

to ease the pain of potentially us not being promoted I laid us at 1.38 to get promotion which amounts to me losing £75 if we get promoted and win £200 if we don't of course will be glad to lose the £75!!!

I'm trying to get my head round this.

You've accepted a bet as a bookie (exchange) for £200 Brighton to finish 1/2/3 (promotion) @ 1.38

If we finish 4th (after play-off if neccessary) or below then you win £200 less commission.
If we finish 1/2/3 (after play-off if neccessary) then you have liability of £75 to the backer.

Your £75 is currently with the exchange, along with the backers £200 awaiting payout.

Is that correct?

 

[bigcabboy]

You've paid the £75 up-front right? In which case, what £75? There is no £75.

if we fail to get promotion I win 200 if we get promoted I lose 75 u can back and lay on betfair betting exchange

 

[bigcabboy]

I'm trying to get my head round this.

You've accepted a bet as a bookie (exchange) for £200 Brighton to finish 1/2/3 (promotion) @ 1.38

If we finish 4th (after play-off if neccessary) or below then you win £200 less commission.
If we finish 1/2/3 (after play-off if neccessary) then you have liability of £75 to the backer.

Your £75 is currently with the exchange, along with the backers £200 awaiting payout.

Is that correct?

that is correct yes I happen to think we may do it but if not I will win some Wonga and be happy to lose the £75 if u get me

 

[Triggaaar]

if we fail to get promotion I win 200 if we get promoted I lose 75 u can back and lay on betfair betting exchange

Have you paid the £75 already?

 

[bigcabboy]

Have you paid the £75 already?

no its gets held in your betfair account till the event is finished mate

 

[bigcabboy]

no its gets held in your betfair account till the event is finished mate

so say I have £500 in my account my usable amount is 425 till the event has finished then bet settled hopefully I will be losing 75 quid

 

[Triggaaar]

no its gets held in your betfair account till the event is finished mate

What's the difference between 'held in you account' and 'paid'? For now, it's gone right? You can't touch it.

so say I have £500 in my account my usable amount is 425 till the event has finished then bet settled hopefully I will be losing 75 quid

Oj, so it's like it's already gone. That's how you should think about it.

 

[Machiavelli]

What's the difference between 'held in you account' and 'paid'? For now, it's gone right? You can't touch it.

Oj, so it's like it's already gone. That's how you should think about it.

You like to knock back orange juice

 

[Triggaaar]

You like to knock back orange juice

I just wake up in a pool of piss with empty cartons all around. It's messy, but bloody hell I've had some good times.

 

[downham seagull]

to ease the pain of potentially us not being promoted I laid us at 1.38 to get promotion which amounts to me losing £75 if we get promoted and win £200 if we don't of course will be glad to lose the £75!!!

Chap sat next to me v Palace in the play off semi. He said he bet against Albion so he was a winner both ways.just baffles me!! support the club, back the club!!

 

[Triggaaar]

Obviously don't lose sight of the fact that this is just a prediction method, it's not guaranteed:

 

[Triggaaar]

Huddersfield have overtaken Derby and Shefwedlol as our main rival for top two (with Newc).

 

[kingcole]

Today's result certainly changes things somewhat!

Us @ 11/10
Toon @ 4/5

66/1 Bar

Oh, and 1/12 for promotion.

Not under the radar this time!

 

[Postman Pat]

Obviously don't lose sight of the fact that this is just a prediction method, it's not guaranteed:

I love that site, but I still struggle with how Reading are so low in their rankings. They were 23rd before today, and are now up to the heady heights of 20th!

 

[Triggaaar]

I love that site, but I still struggle with how Reading are so low in their rankings. They were 23rd before today, and are now up to the heady heights of 20th!

They don't cheat. They don't just go oo look, Reading are high up the table, let's give them bonus points - they look at chances created and chances concede etc, and on that basis Reading have been poor, but a bit lucky. Reading the reports of several of their games, that sounds about right.

Not that the model is perfect (none can be), but it is well respected I believe.

 

[Motogull]

Obviously don't lose sight of the fact that this is just a prediction method, it's not guaranteed:

Is there a slither of non-play of yellow there? Bloody hell.