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[Politics] Brexit

If there was a second Brexit referendum how would you vote?


  • Total voters
    1,099


Two Professors

Two Mad Professors
Jul 13, 2009
7,617
Multicultural Brum
How is that a threat? He is stating fact, that if you want to ditch free movement and contributions, you can't then get the type of access that countries that do play by the rules get.

Oh well,I'll escalate the threat,this one from the FT;

sk2.jpg
 




Two Professors

Two Mad Professors
Jul 13, 2009
7,617
Multicultural Brum
Are you sure the latest statistics only go to 2014?

Quoted by the BBC today so I presume they are.I expect the EU hoped nobody would take any notice.
 


Two Professors

Two Mad Professors
Jul 13, 2009
7,617
Multicultural Brum
Think few really understand how the Germans think, they have been saying all the way along there will be no cherry picking. When they say something they mean it

If we buy less Bimmers and Audi because of tariffs the lower pound so beit, the political factor will always be the overriding factor, history tells them that.

Hard Brexit will mean hard times, and learning the hard way

So if the germans aren't for changing,how come Merkel is now all for coming down hard on their new guests?
 


Baldseagull

Well-known member
Jan 26, 2012
11,839
Crawley
Oh well,I'll escalate the threat,this one from the FT;

View attachment 80823

Nope, still not a threat is it. What is being talked about is spending commitments that Britain has, they include the UK’s share of outstanding pensions liabilities, loan guarantees and spending on UK-based projects.
This is not a penalty for leaving, these are payments due whether we are in or out.
 


The Rivet

Well-known member
Aug 9, 2011
4,592
Who's going to bite first after Newsnight?

Sorry in fairness, many other opinion & news outlets exist................:)
 




JC Footy Genius

Bringer of TRUTH
Jun 9, 2015
10,568
Ah yes, the standard leavers jib, negativity is not allowed.

Sensible people save for a rainy day, consider the impacts of (for example) higher interest rates when buying a house, and don't just go around saying everything is wonderful when the wolf is at the door.

Its not wallowing around in negativity it is purely looking at what could occur (or has occurred but hey you ignore bad news) and looking at the worst that could occur. Move forward 2 years and if we are in a better position, then we will be happier. On the flip side leavers may well be moaning as what they thought was going to be delivered has not been fully, and they suddenly realise that they are financially worse off.

If they then think this is a shock then clearly they have been walking around for 2 years with their heads in the clouds ignoring all the warning signs.

Who has ever said it is not allowed? Strawman #1

Who has said everything is wonderful? Strawman #2

Of course it's wallowing in negativity if you only ever focus on and highlight the possible risks and dowsides. The latest example being your post about a possible rise in car prices meanwhile we have the fastest growth in the UK service sector (thought this was a vital sector of the UK economy?) for 17 months. Positive, welcome news that is of slightly more significance.

I cannot foresee any set of circumstances where hardcore remoaners will be happy, now or in two, five, ten years time ... even if by some miracle we achieved, full employment, booming economy, rising living standards and the EU continued to lurch from one self-induced crisis to the next .. then went tits up.

:facepalm:
 


cunning fergus

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Jan 18, 2009
4,885
Think few really understand how the Germans think, they have been saying all the way along there will be no cherry picking. When they say something they mean it

If we buy less Bimmers and Audi because of tariffs the lower pound so beit, the political factor will always be the overriding factor, history tells them that.

Hard Brexit will mean hard times, and learning the hard way


If Germany understands it history then they know full well that they will need to be allied with other strong western countries that Bradly share its views on democracy, trade and international politics.

If you think the UK has nothing to offer in trade, just reflect on the position UK has in Europe militarily and in areas like intelligence.

If you think the EU wants to drive a wedge between it and the UK on trade but then rely on the UK's military strength and intelligence then you are missing the wider realpolitik.

That the trouble with you Tories, free market capitalism is all you are worried about.
 






studio150

Well-known member
Jul 30, 2011
30,229
On the Border
If Germany understands it history then they know full well that they will need to be allied with other strong western countries that Bradly share its views on democracy, trade and international politics.

If you think the UK has nothing to offer in trade, just reflect on the position UK has in Europe militarily and in areas like intelligence.

If you think the EU wants to drive a wedge between it and the UK on trade but then rely on the UK's military strength and intelligence then you are missing the wider realpolitik.

That the trouble with you Tories, free market capitalism is all you are worried about.

NATO
 


studio150

Well-known member
Jul 30, 2011
30,229
On the Border
Exit bill of up to 43 billion pounds, what a fing con this is. Seriously doesn't anyone on the Remain side think this is a complete and utter bloody rip off. 43 billion for what? Sooner we get out the better.

An exit fee was always known as one of the costs of leaving.
 






studio150

Well-known member
Jul 30, 2011
30,229
On the Border
Who has ever said it is not allowed? Strawman #1

Who has said everything is wonderful? Strawman #2

Of course it's wallowing in negativity if you only ever focus on and highlight the possible risks and dowsides. The latest example being your post about a possible rise in car prices meanwhile we have the fastest growth in the UK service sector (thought this was a vital sector of the UK economy?) for 17 months. Positive, welcome news that is of slightly more significance.

I cannot foresee any set of circumstances where hardcore remoaners will be happy, now or in two, five, ten years time ... even if by some miracle we achieved, full employment, booming economy, rising living standards and the EU continued to lurch from one self-induced crisis to the next .. then went tits up.

:facepalm:

You forgot to mention its now £10 more to fill you tank thanks to the rise in oil prices and the much lower valued pound.

And the survey from last week where the Service Sector is planning its most widespread price increases since 2011.
 
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beorhthelm

A. Virgo, Football Genius
Jul 21, 2003
36,015
And the survey from last week where the Service Sector is planning its most widespread price increases since 2011.

was that the same survey that show service sector confidence was up? manufacturing rose as did construction, all on increased demand. swings and roundabouts.
 




larus

Well-known member
If Germany understands it history then they know full well that they will need to be allied with other strong western countries that Bradly share its views on democracy, trade and international politics.

If you think the UK has nothing to offer in trade, just reflect on the position UK has in Europe militarily and in areas like intelligence.

If you think the EU wants to drive a wedge between it and the UK on trade but then rely on the UK's military strength and intelligence then you are missing the wider realpolitik.

That the trouble with you Tories, free market capitalism is all you are worried about.

Agree with most of what you say, except the last bit as I would be a more natural conservative than socialist. I think party politics should be excluded from the Brexit debate as they aren't relevant IMO.
 


larus

Well-known member
You forgot to mention its now £10 more to fill you tank thanks to the rise in oil prices and the much lower valued pound.

And the survey from last week where the Service Sector is planning its most widespread price increases since 2011.

And why do you think that is? The dollar has rallied recently as inflation expectations have increased in the US since the Presidential election, rates have risen (unlike in the UK where Mark '****' Carney cut them for political reasons), and the forward guidance there is pointing to a steeper rate curve. But, as usual, some people don't understand the overall picture and choose to select a certain piece of data as proof of the limited view.

But do carry on.
 


larus

Well-known member
I see that the treasury today has admitted that they were totally wrong about the financial crisis and Brexit.

Andy Haldane, the Bank of England’s chief economist, said there was a “disconnect” between political warnings about Brexit and the “remarkably placid” state of the markets, adding that the worst predictions may turn out to be “just scare stories”.

When it was put to him that the Bank of England had forecast a “hurricane” after the Brexit vote which had not materialised, Mr Haldane replied: “It’s true, and again fair cop.”

He said: “We had foreseen a sharper slowdown in the economy than has happened, in common with almost every other mainstream macro forecaster. Why has that been the case? We need look no further than the behaviour of the British consumer, the British housing market.

“If you look at how the consumer performed during the course of the last year it’s almost as though the referendum had not taken place. In terms of the real things like pay and jobs not very much happened during the course of last year. It’s pretty much business as usual. The spending power in people’s pockets was not materially dented.”

He said that people were still likely to see “something of a squeeze” on their spending power this year because the falling value of the pound would lead to rising prices. However, he added that it was not “inevitable”.

He said: “Right now there is a very interesting disconnect between what we read in the papers about the degree of political and policy uncertainty, which by any historical metric is at high levels, and what we have seen from the economy and financial markets, which have actually been remarkably placid. That disconnect cannot last forever. There will need to be a reconciliation between the two ... Maybe some of the scarier stories politically will be seen to be just that – scare stories. ”



As you Remainers have continually said, the experts were predicting doom and gloom. We Brexiters have said there may be some effect but nothings really happened. Now, even the Remainers 'cheerleaders' are admitting they haven't got a frigging clue. So, it's about time you stopped saying the world will end.
 






studio150

Well-known member
Jul 30, 2011
30,229
On the Border
And why do you think that is? The dollar has rallied recently as inflation expectations have increased in the US since the Presidential election, rates have risen (unlike in the UK where Mark '****' Carney cut them for political reasons), and the forward guidance there is pointing to a steeper rate curve. But, as usual, some people don't understand the overall picture and choose to select a certain piece of data as proof of the limited view.

But do carry on.

:lolol:

And without the effect of Brexit on the value of the pound the domestic cost of fuel would be higher or lower.
 


Soulman

New member
Oct 22, 2012
10,966
Sompting
Was listening to the early morning news, half asleep, some expert saying Brexit had not damaged the country and the signs were good.
 


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