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[Politics] Russia invades Ukraine (24/02/2022)



SouthSaxon

Stand or fall
NSC Patron
Jan 25, 2025
272
Well now, this is interesting. Not so subtle dig at the end (possibly subtle enough to evade Trump).

IMG_1662.jpeg
 




Seagull58

In the Algarve
Jan 31, 2012
8,965
Vilamoura, Portugal




astralavi

Well-known member
Apr 6, 2017
516
Tulsi Gabbard, is Trump's director of national intelligence she has publicly agreed with Russia’s positions on its invasion of Ukraine, claiming Moscow had legitimate security concerns about Ukraine joining NATO, and she suggested the war could have been avoided if NATO had acknowledged those concerns. She repeated debunked claims about U.S.-funded biological labs in Ukraine, drawing criticism for spreading misinformation. Russian state media has praised her views. She denies that Assad committed any crimes in Syria Why would Trump appoint this person. Elon fired most of the senior staff in the CIA who are responsible for national security threat detection - presumably they would disagree with Trump and have been fired.
 


BN41Albion

Well-known member
Oct 1, 2017
7,087
I still don't actually understand how he is going to bring about peace and stop the fighting. He never actually says. All he talks about is the deal with Ukraine. He was asked about Russia paying, Russia handing back some land - and he just rambled about it being close and on the table. And it's going to stop in a few weeks. And when there is a ceasefire - that will be the end of it, because once they have stopped they won't go back to fighting......

I know it's obviously a very tricky situation for Macron, but I would love so much to see him (or anyone ffs!) pull him up in front of the press on the most blatant attempt at extortion anyone has ever seen. It's absolutely mental, yet absolutely no-one has properly questioned him on it yet - Macron just sat there while he again shamelessly talked about wanting the rare earth minerals etc. Absolutely infuriating!
 




raymondo

Well-known member
Apr 26, 2017
8,535
Wiltshire
Tulsi Gabbard, is Trump's director of national intelligence she has publicly agreed with Russia’s positions on its invasion of Ukraine, claiming Moscow had legitimate security concerns about Ukraine joining NATO, and she suggested the war could have been avoided if NATO had acknowledged those concerns. She repeated debunked claims about U.S.-funded biological labs in Ukraine, drawing criticism for spreading misinformation. Russian state media has praised her views. She denies that Assad committed any crimes in Syria Why would Trump appoint this person. Elon fired most of the senior staff in the CIA who are responsible for national security threat detection - presumably they would disagree with Trump and have been fired.
So she's saying that Russia had legitimate concerns about the threat from a US lead NATO... so it's the US fault then 😂🤷🏼‍♂️. My god these people are utter garbage.
 




cunning fergus

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Jan 18, 2009
5,015
If you compare the war in Vietnam with WW1, yes, they're light years apart. The current war doesn't have two armies up against each other with machine guns, it's more guerrilla warfare. The Russians are losing many more troops as they march people (including wounded soldiers on crutches) across open fields, but Ukraine don't do that, and we obviously wouldn't either.



It isn't.



5 & 25 would be based on the UK being on the front line, rather than acting in a supporting role. The notion of British troops in the war is complete guesswork at this point. As explained, it's wrong to double it, and now you're throwing in a lost ship with 100+ casualties. Who says we'd have ships there, and why would we lose 100+? We lost 4 ships in the Falklands war, and didn't have 100 casualties between them. You keep trying to exaggerate our possible losses.




When was the last was you think we had to fight? We didn't have to fight in WW1 or WW2, but we did. We've had many conflicts since then too, and we've done what we've had to do.




Are you talking about this war ending and us sending peacekeepers to Ukraine, to put Russia off starting another war, or are you talking about Russia trying to take the rest of Europe?




If you're talking about troops being sent to Ukraine, then it would be military personnel, not Joe public. But if you're talking about Russia trying to take over the whole of Europe, and us having to conscript the public, that's a different thing altogether and I assume you'd agree that is then a war we do have to fight. If we had to defend against an expanding Russia, we would. Simple as that.
You used Vietnam as a comparison not me, the only real comparative metric for potential casualties is what is happening there now, and it’s involved tens of thousands on both sides. Yes, we agree Russia has taken many more.

In the Falkland’s it’s 255 dead and 775 injured, so over 1000 casualties, predominantly naval personnel. If you want to ignore the injured numbers that’s fine, however an injury may well as be a death in terms of fighting capacity.

From what I can see Ukraine has suffered circa 70k dead and 250k injured, so circa 300k in total and if the army is 1.2m strong (for sake of argument that 25%) over the 3 year period or 100k a year.

If, as is asserted on here this is the cost of “winning” I would suggest western armies should expect a similar rate if they got entangled with Russia. That kind of rate would not be absorbed by either the British public or western peers imo, potentially they would if on home soil.

The state of this country’s armed forces is dire, whatever help we can provide at this moment directly or indirectly is limited, it’s only the US that can do anything meaningful. You can disagree with that but that’s my view as a non military strategist.

Further the ability of the west to wage war against Russia without the US is also limited, and the concept of conscription in modern Britain is also going to produce limited results, as is the concept of re industrialising to produce tanks etc. We don’t have a meaningful steel industry anymore.

Pretending differently and harking back to what this country did in 1914 and 1939 is completely irrelevant. I know you see it differently.

The opinions that are posted on this message board are irrelevant too, just 2 strangers with opposing views.
 




cunning fergus

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Jan 18, 2009
5,015
I don’t think any country should be racing to the battlefield, but I think it would be monumentally stupid to assume the battlefield won’t come to us, in a metaphorical sense.

Reputable figures were saying we have moved from a post-war to a pre-war world long before Trump got back in.

Now we face the possibility of Trump actively supporting Russia. This is a scary prospect.

If the worst happens, with the greatest respect to the members of Gen-Z, their feelings won’t matter very much in the grand scheme of things.

I have a question for you: if you were president of Europe, what would you do in the current circumstances?
Now you’re be facetious, there no such role………
 




Binney on acid

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Nov 30, 2003
2,757
Shoreham
👍. I can't even start watching... I've seen too much of these scum already, I know I should watch, but...
Well done Macron for pulling him up (the only clip I watched).
Have a look at the Facebook page 'Occupy democrats'. It showcases how non lobotomised yanks view the orange one, and how ashamed they are of his desire to climb into bed with Mr Genocide
 




cunning fergus

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Jan 18, 2009
5,015
Neither does it show a Russian victory and as the aggressor they are losing.
Why would Ukraine want to go to Moscow? At the moment out the occupied territory in Ukraine has the highest concentration of man and kit in the world. Ukraine Western support has only been in the last 12 months or so and we can see that taking large areas of kursk is a result of this, and yes you are a military dunce.
If Ukraine is, as you argue, in such a strong position and Russia in contrast such a weak one I’m surprised there’s so much anxiety about the US pulling the plug on aid/support in the first place.

Maybe the Don feels the same way……..there is no Russian threat?
 


Deportivo Seagull

I should coco
Jul 22, 2003
5,705
Mid Sussex
You used Vietnam as a comparison not me, the only real comparative metric for potential casualties is what is happening there now, and it’s involved tens of thousands on both sides. Yes, we agree Russia has taken many more.

In the Falkland’s it’s 255 dead and 775 injured, so over 1000 casualties, predominantly naval personnel. If you want to ignore the injured numbers that’s fine, however an injury may well as be a death in terms of fighting capacity.

From what I can see Ukraine has suffered circa 70k dead and 250k injured, so circa 300k in total and if the army is 1.2m strong (for sake of argument that 25%) over the 3 year period or 100k a year.

If, as is asserted on here this is the cost of “winning” I would suggest western armies should expect a similar rate if they got entangled with Russia. That kind of rate would not be absorbed by either the British public or western peers imo, potentially they would if on home soil.

The state of this country’s armed forces is dire, whatever help we can provide at this moment directly or indirectly is limited, it’s only the US that can do anything meaningful. You can disagree with that but that’s my view as a non military strategist.

Further the ability of the west to wage war against Russia without the US is also limited, and the concept of conscription in modern Britain is also going to produce limited results, as is the concept of re industrialising to produce tanks etc. We don’t have a meaningful steel industry anymore.

Pretending differently and harking back to what this country did in 1914 and 1939 is completely irrelevant. I know you see it differently.

The opinions that are posted on this message board are irrelevant too, just 2 strangers with opposing views.

All your assumptions are based upon a Russia being the behemoth of the Cold War. It’s not, it’s not even close as the evidence of the last three years have shown. As for your military knowledge. You are General Melchett and I claim my £5.
Why do it you just cut to the chase and quote the survey that says Gen Z won’t fight for their country because @cunning fergus is a gammon. By the way quoting a 3 year old survey is meaningless and stupid.
 


Deportivo Seagull

I should coco
Jul 22, 2003
5,705
Mid Sussex
If Ukraine is, as you argue, in such a strong position and Russia in contrast such a weak one I’m surprised there’s so much anxiety about the US pulling the plug on aid/support in the first place.

Maybe the Don feels the same way……..there is no Russian threat?
With sanctions are in place then Russia is screwed, taking the sanctions away would change the dynamic however a strong response from Europe would negate it. Putin really doesn’t want a strong Europe but he’s going to get one.
 






SouthSaxon

Stand or fall
NSC Patron
Jan 25, 2025
272
Now you’re be facetious, there no such role………
I’m curious what you think European leaders should do in the circumstances. You’ve explained repeatedly what you think they can’t do, or what people won’t accept; sometimes correctly, sometimes not.

What do you think is the correct strategy?
 








Deportivo Seagull

I should coco
Jul 22, 2003
5,705
Mid Sussex
The US Armed Forces know who the enemy is despite the bungle****’s ramblings
I think that this will be the main issue for Trump.
The Federal service has already pushed back on Musk which he clearly doesn’t know how to handle and I believe the military will do the same to Trump.
Trump and Musk are only going to get their way whilst people give in ….
 


cunning fergus

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Jan 18, 2009
5,015
Fair enough. I've not read any of it. I just remember before I put him on ignore, that he was linking a gen z report that only 11% of them would fight for Britain. He linked this to Southport and diversity etc.
It’s very sweet that you see my contribution being hammered (quote/unquote) but really, I enjoy the debate. I seek no safe spaces or have any concerns about petty insults. Censorship voluntary or otherwise is surely the cornerstone of authoritarianism, not liberalism.

Any road, the YouGov poll you mention I raised earlier in the thread…..


I think it’s worth digesting if you have an opinion on that generation’s commitment to fight for this country. Which is relevant to this debate.

It’s not controversial to say that many people in this country today do not feel warm enough about it to fight for it.

A significant number living here were not born here, and therefore (assuming) they have them, their children would not necessarily be cultrally assimilated sufficiently that they would commit to fighting for this country.

I would similarly expect children from families that have been here generations would have similar reservations if a significant proportion (as the survey indicates) think the country is racist and stuck in the past. Or, as is also likely fully pacifist in outlook.

It must also follow that the hundreds of thousands that have come here from their own war torn countries are unlikely to have a change of heart of war came knocking on our door………they would be out their hotel rooms and new houses like a shot.

As I say nothing controversial there, the results of the survey simply frank that position.
 


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