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[Politics] The 2024 US Election - *MATCH DAY*

Who will win the 2024 Presidential Election?

  • President Joe Biden - Democrat

    Votes: 3 0.7%
  • Donald Trump - Republican

    Votes: 173 41.9%
  • Vice President, Kamala Harris - Democrat

    Votes: 217 52.5%
  • Other Democratic candidate tbc

    Votes: 20 4.8%

  • Total voters
    413
  • This poll will close: .


nicko31

Well-known member
Jan 7, 2010
18,527
Gods country fortnightly
Currently:

Trump 71,009,944 votes (51.0%)
Harris 65,936,104 votes (47.4%)

Senate (51 for majority): 52 Rep - 42 Dem with 6 to declare
House (218 for majority): 202 Rep - 181 Dem with 52 to declare.
Is there any chance they don't get the house too?
 




rippleman

Well-known member
Oct 18, 2011
4,977
For all the faults with our political system, we can at least be reassured that we will never have anyone standing for PM who is a convicted criminal.

We can never have a PM who is able to pardon himself for any and all criminal offences.

We can never have a PM who can appoint senior judges based on their political allegiances.

For some small mercies, we are truly blessed.

Remember that we had been going for over 1700 years before the US was even founded. They have a lot of catching up to do.
 


papachris

Well-known member
I'm not convinced Trump will be alive next time.
I have thought all along because of Trump's own vanity he has been used a bit by the people pulling the strings (Musk etc) to win power through his charisma but long term they view somebody else in the White House. Maybe JD.Vance or maybe somebody else.
I would be amazed if he lasts the four years looking at his physical and mental condition!
 


Curious Orange

Punxsatawney Phil
Jul 5, 2003
10,221
On NSC for over two decades...
Sacking civil servants and replacing with political supporters
Tariffs
Largest Deportation in American history
Death penalty for drug dealers
Withdrawing from NATO
Imposing time limits for Congress members
Nationalizing energy and other strategic industries
Maximizing use of American fossil fuels
Finishing the wall and adding technology advances to it
Ending the Russia-Ukraine war in 24 hours



Well I'm sure many will support all of these regardless of the obvious pitfalls

Nationalising stuff sounds a bit, erm.., Communist.
 








Bozza

You can change this
Helpful Moderator
Jul 4, 2003
57,228
Back in Sussex
Well civil unrest was definitely planned for on either side although as you rightfully point out the far right was more likely to instigate trouble. As it was a whitewash in the end I guess the far left have just been beaten down for now.
Absolutely no one predicted a victory of this scale, so I'm not sure any subsequent implications of that were really considered.

As you say, given how it's turned out, skulking off home to lick some wounds is really the only viable response.
 


Commander

Arrogant Prat
NSC Patron
Apr 28, 2004
13,534
London
I am not really blaming the electorate. I was trying to understand why they have made this decision. Thanks to Commander and Dwayne I now understand this more clearly.

I especially understand the problems experienced by those in rural areas (it is similar in Australia), I also understand the disillusionment with regular politicians (I feel the same). What I still fail to understand is how people can see Trump as the solution, but I guess time will tell if I am right about this. It is time for him to step up and make good on his promises as far as I am concerned.
I guess my answer to that would be "Well what was the other option?". I can't see how Harris was a plausible solution for those people. In fact she has basically looked down and sneered at them.
 




Stato

Well-known member
Dec 21, 2011
7,351
Saw some youths walk into a CVS pick a load of stuff up and walk out, no one battered an eyelid
Happens all the time in the small town Sussex local supermarket that my daughter works in. Company policy is that staff don't risk themselves. They don't employ security because its cheaper to swallow the losses than to employ anyone to help provide a safer environment for staff and customers. Shareholder profits come first.

Nothing to do with local politicians here on in the US. I may be repeating myself, but its surprising how many different things that are the fault of capitalism get blamed on government.
 


Bozza

You can change this
Helpful Moderator
Jul 4, 2003
57,228
Back in Sussex
Happens all the time in the small town Sussex local supermarket that my daughter works in. Company policy is that staff don't risk themselves. They don't employ security because its cheaper to swallow the losses than to employ anyone to help provide a safer environment for staff and customers. Shareholder profits come first.

Nothing to do with local politicians here on in the US. I may be repeating myself, but its surprising how many different things that are the fault of capitalism get blamed on government.
I was about to post the same.

Shoplifting is rife here, in exactly the same way described.
 


Uncle Spielberg

Well-known member
Jul 6, 2003
43,088
Lancing
This result was utterly predictable bets of the day were Trump 51% or more 13/2 - could go either way, college and electoral votes 33 to 1 - came in

Basically, ironically the sniper handed the presidency to trump on that day. As before the trump voters kept their cards to their chests in the opinion polls due to shaming by media and news channels

The meltdown here is a bit rich considering the uk's recent voting patterns
 
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Not Andy Naylor

Well-known member
Dec 12, 2007
8,987
Seven Dials
I get the rationale behind most of that. I'm not sure there's a single policy that has been outlined that is intended to directly improve the lives of the people you mention though. They have voted for an ideal / a promise that doesn't exist, because he doesn't care about those people. Saying 'make America great again' is not a policy and everything he has said he will do, will be to the detriment of that country. Those who voted Trump are blindly ignoring that fact.

Democrats have failed again, as have the media outlets who care, to reach them and educate them. I do understand that some sections of society may be so disaffected that it was impossible to reach them. What's sad is their disaffection would have included the four years of Trump Presidency that also did nothing for them.

The only hope is that they aren't caught in a very cult like web and can see in four years time he has done nothing for them, again, and to vote for change.
I've spoken to a lot of US Citizens here and in the USA and I think people have underestimated the power of resentment.

Trump is a seething mass of it because of the sneers and contempt of the liberal media, the fact that he lost last time and even the jibes about the size of his crowds (and fingers). And many of those who voted for him are resentful of the fact that life isn't as good as it used to be when they had jobs in steel, coal, oil etc, petrol was less than $1 a gallon and there were fewer immigrants (not including themselves, of course). A bit like many Brexit voters, in fact.

I don't think his voters expect him to change any of that, they just recognise him as someone who shares their incoherent frustration at life not being exactly as they want it to be.
 


nicko31

Well-known member
Jan 7, 2010
18,527
Gods country fortnightly
For all the faults with our political system, we can at least be reassured that we will never have anyone standing for PM who is a convicted criminal.

We can never have a PM who is able to pardon himself for any and all criminal offences.

We can never have a PM who can appoint senior judges based on their political allegiances.

For some small mercies, we are truly blessed.

Remember that we had been going for over 1700 years before the US was even founded. They have a lot of catching up to do.
Indeed, though Johnson had a good go at trying to undermine things with rule breaking, shutting down parliament etc

The world democratic index classifies the US as a "flawed democracy", I expect it to slip to a "hybrid regime" such as Turkey, Argentina and most recently Hong Kong
 
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vegster

Sanity Clause
May 5, 2008
28,262
For all the faults with our political system, we can at least be reassured that we will never have anyone standing for PM who is a convicted criminal.

We can never have a PM who is able to pardon himself for any and all criminal offences.

We can never have a PM who can appoint senior judges based on their political allegiances.

For some small mercies, we are truly blessed.

Remember that we had been going for over 1700 years before the US was even founded. They have a lot of catching up to do.
The founding fathers never conceived that a criminal or a man without honour would have had the gall to stand for office so, nothing was written in to prevent it.

Fast forward and we now have a felon as President backed by the majority of Supreme Court judges, the Senate and the House of Representatives... he said he would be " A Dictator " on day 1.. he's a Dictator for as long as he wants now.. can he be a force for good and get effective policies on to the statutes for the good of the many or will he carry on being a criminal narcissist?
 






chickens

Have you considered masterly inactivity?
NSC Patron
Oct 12, 2022
2,684
I was thinking of changing my footer if the Dems had won. But populism and post truth hasn't gone away, anyone with democratic ideals is going to have a fight on their hands in the years ahead

More than that, this feels like a long-term shift to me. Away from “global policeman” to isolationist “looking after our own.”

In terms of domestic politics, this can’t help but be good for America, it’s only suckers like the UK who truly bought into “global markets” and the idea of selling anything we had to anyone who had the money. Jobs will be created in the US, per capita prosperity will rise, Americans bought British businesses, but remarkably few British businesses bought American companies.

So what now for global Britain? We’ve sold everything of value, alienated our neighbours, and now the Americans have announced they’re not playing any more and they’re taking their ball home with them.

How do we start rebuilding almost every vital industry from scratch, because we’ve sold or run down what we had, and thought we would always be able to buy cheap from abroad. In international trade terms, we’re now a third party to everyone, Europe, the US, India, everyone.

Grim. It makes every prime minister and civil servant from Thatcher onward seem asleep at the wheel.
 


beorhthelm

A. Virgo, Football Genius
Jul 21, 2003
35,994
Happens all the time in the small town Sussex local supermarket that my daughter works in. Company policy is that staff don't risk themselves. They don't employ security because its cheaper to swallow the losses than to employ anyone to help provide a safer environment for staff and customers. Shareholder profits come first.

Nothing to do with local politicians here on in the US. I may be repeating myself, but its surprising how many different things that are the fault of capitalism get blamed on government.
you have that wrong. in some states in US they have de-criminalised shoplifting, steal under a certain amount there's no prosecution. here, there seems to have been similar approach, informally, leading to shop lifting increase. i dont recall in past local shops requiring security, and why start if upon catching a theif the law doesn't follow up?
 
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dwayne

Well-known member
Jul 5, 2003
16,251
London
Happens all the time in the small town Sussex local supermarket that my daughter works in. Company policy is that staff don't risk themselves. They don't employ security because its cheaper to swallow the losses than to employ anyone to help provide a safer environment for staff and customers. Shareholder profits come first.

Nothing to do with local politicians here on in the US. I may be repeating myself, but its surprising how many different things that are the fault of capitalism get blamed on government.
Do a bit of research on this one. The above is true but also DAs have made it a lot easier for low level organised gangs to commit this kind of crime. And it's different to kiddies nicking sweets it's a lot more organised in California.
 




AK74

Bright-eyed. Bushy-tailed. GSOH.
NSC Patron
Jan 19, 2010
1,364
More than that, this feels like a long-term shift to me. Away from “global policeman” to isolationist “looking after our own.”
This superb documentary series makes a compelling case for America's failure in its 'global police' role. Be warned, it's a very harrowing watch, but the conclusions are inescapable and those involved in the decision-making process should be deeply ashamed.

Trump isn't among those guilty of inertia, and I say that as someone who wished he'd lost the election.

 


Thunder Bolt

Silly old bat
I guess my answer to that would be "Well what was the other option?". I can't see how Harris was a plausible solution for those people. In fact she has basically looked down and sneered at them.
In what way do you think she sneered at them?
 


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