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The NSC £10 to £10,000 Challange











8ace

Banned
Jul 21, 2003
23,811
Brighton
Backing something just because it's a 1/10 shot is about the worst type of punt I can imagine, worse still if you know nothing about the event (what country is Hemdal even in?).
It's not for me but good luck to all those taking part.
 






StonehamPark

#Brighton-Nil
Oct 30, 2010
10,133
BC, Canada
I realise this gives me the biggest loser on NSC award for September but here it is:



Based on bets at 1/9 odds:

1st Bet - 10
11.11
12.34
13.71
15.23
16.92
18.80
20.89
23.21
10th Bet - 25.79
28.66
31.84
35.38
39.31
43.68
48.53
53.92
59.91
66.57
20th Bet - 73.97
82.19
91.32
101.47
112.74
125.27
139.19
154.66
171.84
190.93
30th Bet - 212.14
235.71
261.90
291.00
323.33
359.26
399.18
443.53
492.81
547.57
40th Bet - 608.41
676.01
751.12
834.58
927.31
45th Bet - 1030.34
------- 1K mark

1144.82
1272.02
1413.36
1570.40
50th Bet - 1744.89
1938.77
2154.19
2393.54
2659.49
2954.99
3283.32
3648.13
4053.48
4503.87
60th Bet - 5004.30
------- 5K mark

5560.33
6178.14
6864.60
7627.33
8474.81
9416.46
67th Bet - 10,462.73
--------- 10K
 


Spider

New member
Sep 15, 2007
3,614
Can someone explain to me how this is a good scheme? My understanding of the really short odds bets like these was that they represented rubbish value because the bookies always really underpriced them to avoid massive payouts. For example, Man U winning will always be on short odds (except against the other top 4), and they probably will win most games, but the fact that they won't win them all means you won't make a profit as the bookies underprice to avoid people doing exactly this?

Or, in the case of the Over/Under goals - surely the odds are set so that bookies will pay out much less than the chance of that happening if you take all football games as a statistical average. Since you're basing this on luck, you're inevitably going to lose out when you eventually pick the game (whether it's the fifth, tenth twentieth...) that DOES have over that amount of goals.
 


pishhead

Well-known member
Jul 9, 2003
5,248
Everywhere
Quite an interesting idea, I've seen blogs where they try similar I've never seen it make it up to 10k.
 








1

1066gull

Guest
You don't have to bet on every single 1/10 bet you see. Do your research and bet if you fancy it to win
 




MJsGhost

Oooh Matron, I'm an
NSC Patron
Jun 26, 2009
4,980
East
Good luck to all who try, but it goes against my betting principles...

... don't just bet for the sake of it, make sure there is some logic behind it - some sort of reason for your bet to be more likely to come in than the bookies think (i.e. the statistics suggest). e.g. I REALLY fancied Arsenal to beat Liverpool at Anfield the other week - a Liverpool side in transition, trying to adopt a passing style against a team that do it much better & tend to play well against teams that try to take them on in a passing style... 13/5 odds for an Arsenal win... el boshio!

Better to go all in for a bet you really fancy, than have 10 little bets for the sake of it IMO
 




coagulantwolf

New member
Jun 21, 2012
716
Sign up with Sky bet and get a free £10 bet, no deposit required. What I've done and will just be using that £10 for this purpose!
 




SK1NT

Well-known member
Sep 9, 2003
8,760
Thames Ditton
Like the idea... but never worth betting low odds.... and out of 70 odd bets one will f*** up... never a sure thing in betting...

I like derren brown idea... get a few of us and all bet a horse... then if you win you bet the next race and so on putting ur accumulated winnings on a different horse... if we have enough of us one of us will win...

Derren Brown: The System - YouTube[video]http://www.youtube.com/verify_age?next_url=/watch%3Fv%3DWMqrFhhhw18[/video]
 






Razi

Active member
Aug 3, 2003
1,622
Stevenage
I like derren brown idea... get a few of us and all bet a horse... then if you win you bet the next race and so on putting ur accumulated winnings on a different horse... if we have enough of us one of us will win...

How is this different to 1 person putting a bet on every horse?
 








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