Poyet NOT to Reading thread

[Stat Brother]

Adkins slowly getting shorter with Skybet.

 

[amexee]

Currently 1.51 but I'm with you. I'll lay it at 1/3 or 1/4 all day long.

Where do you find it on betfair

 

[Craig4004]

Yes Fan Page I should have said but its gone meltdown, do they know something?

No. It's someone that has A LOT of time on his hands. Probably 15 years old.

 

[Bozza]

That's not in our favour is it? 1/7 is the same as 2/14. So if its 2/9 that means its more likely that his going.

You're wong.

2/100 - 2/80 - 2/50 - 2/20 - 2/14 - 2/9 - 2/5 - 2/2 - 4/2 - 10/2

 

[Stat Brother]

That's not in our favour is it? 1/7 is the same as 2/14. So if its 2/9 that means its more likely that his going.

No 2/9 is -4.5/1

As opposed to

-7/1

Well that's how I read it, anyway.

 

[Craig4004]

You're wong.

2/100 - 2/80 - 2/50 - 2/20 - 2/14 - 2/9 - 2/5 - 2/2 - 4/2 - 10/2

Come on Bozza, you got any EXCLUSIVE news for us?

 

[reigate]

That's not in our favour is it? 1/7 is the same as 2/14. So if its 2/9 that means its more likely that his going.

Next time you want a bet, come to me. You can name the odds!

 

[Triggaaar]

Lay, lay, lay!

 

[Cars]

Poyet to Reading thread, massively odds on, (maybe) in talks with them [merged]

I'm a retard, your right. The fractions were right, however I cocked up.

 

[hans kraay fan club]

No 2/9 is -4.5/1

As opposed to

-7/1

Well that's how I read it, anyway.

But its not 4.5/1 is it!? Its 1/4.5. There's quite an important difference!

 

[Iggle Piggle]

I've hoovered up the remaining odds on queing up on Betfair. Surely this is money for old rope.

 

[Medwayseagull]

That's not in our favour is it? 1/7 is the same as 2/14. So if its 2/9 that means its more likely that his going.

Not when it is odds on we are talking about.

 

[Bozza]

Come on Bozza, you got any EXCLUSIVE news for us?

Only that the small wagers placed by [MENTION=394]nail-Z[/MENTION] and myself on Nigel Adkins brought his price in from 8/1 to 3/1 on Bet Victor.

That illustrates how illiquid these markets are.

 

[amexee]

I want to lay it, where do you find the market on betfair

 

[Iggle Piggle]

Where do you find it on betfair

Yep - now even money

 

[GreersElbow]

That's not in our favour is it? 1/7 is the same as 2/14. So if its 2/9 that means its more likely that his going.

Just because odds are showing in favour of a move, it means nothing as to whether he is. Odds are entirely based on speculation, the more Gus is favoured, the value of the bet decreases and makes it look as though's the likeliest.

 

[Iggle Piggle]

I want to lay it, where do you find the market on betfair

Football - Specials - Next Reading Manager

 

[mejonaNO12 aka riskit]

That's not in our favour is it? 1/7 is the same as 2/14. So if its 2/9 that means its more likely that his going.

I don't think it does.

1/7 means (if you want to think of it like this) 14% chance he wont,

2/9 is 22.2% he wont.

I think.

 

[Moshe Gariani]

Firstly the 'Swansea model' doesn't REQUIRE changes. It had changes as they had successful managers. They didn't get promoted BECAUSE they changed manager. If Gus stayed we wouldn't then choose to get rid because "Swansea changed managers at this point".

Secondly, do you really see Reading as a better offer? They are to be relegated. They have barely spent a penny this season as they have budget restrictions. They will have budget restrictions next year. They will basically be back in the Championship with the team they had previously, which gained promotion via a phenomenal piece of management. They don't have star performers.

Their star performer was Jason Roberts.

I'm biased, of course I am. But I honestly feel we are much better equiped to go up next season with our squad (ulloa) than Reading are if they come down.

Fair comments but not quite right. You've certainly misrepresented my point about manager changes at Swansea - I think it remains reasonable to say that sustained succcess by a relatively smaller club is likely to involve at least one manager responsible moving on.

Even money at Betfair now. Well done to the odds-on layers.

 

[Bwian]

I'll re-post what I said on another thread:

Could this be the workings of the Palace ****er at SSN? The one who always seems to forget our highlights?

Wouldn't be surprised.