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Main Coronavirus / Covid-19 Discussion Thread



Garry Nelson's teacher

Well-known member
May 11, 2015
5,257
Bloody Worthing!
Imperial College suggesting at current infection trajectory (similar to China’s) UK could top out at 5,700 deaths, with the peak being 260 deaths on 5th April. This isn’t a prediction, more a suggestion from what we know so far as to how it could pan out.

We certainly appear to be on a lower trajectory than Italy or Spain, which can only be good news.

................unless you are Spanish or Italian (but I get your meaning).
 














Beach Hut

Brighton Bhuna Boy
Jul 5, 2003
72,220
Living In a Box
Unbelievable. :(

All the reasons why our medical people like Professor Whitty are providing exceptional guidance and caution to ensure mistakes are not made and when we do purchase the equipment to try and resolve this Pandemic it is the right equipment that works.

And time to turn off the TV - bloody Homes Under the Hammer
 


Seagull27

Well-known member
Feb 7, 2011
3,357
Bristol
Imperial College suggesting at current infection trajectory (similar to China’s) UK could top out at 5,700 deaths, with the peak being 260 deaths on 5th April. This isn’t a prediction, more a suggestion from what we know so far as to how it could pan out.

We certainly appear to be on a lower trajectory than Italy or Spain, which can only be good news.
If this is correct, I'd love to know why we're on a lower trajectory - have we done anything different, or is it just down to cultural/demographic differences?

I suspect we won't find out for a while. There's going to be tonnes of interesting research to come out of this in the next 5-10 years in a range of fields - not just virology/epidemiology, but also economics, climate science etc

Sent from my Pixel 3a using Tapatalk
 


Mellotron

I've asked for soup
Jul 2, 2008
32,298
Brighton
If this is correct, I'd love to know why we're on a lower trajectory - have we done anything different, or is it just down to cultural/demographic differences?

I suspect we won't find out for a while. There's going to be tonnes of interesting research to come out of this in the next 5-10 years in a range of fields - not just virology/epidemiology, but also economics, climate science etc

Sent from my Pixel 3a using Tapatalk

One potential way that I read it is that we locked down/started social distancing at the point when it looked (based on less data) like we were following Italy and Spain - it has since been borne out (and we will learn more as to how true this is every day) - that we appear to be on a lower trajectory, so have almost locked down a bit “early” compared to some other countries.

This should buy us time and hopefully help us stay on top of the number of ICU cases as much as possible.

Some of Italy’s horrible numbers in the last week may be in large part due to the massive breach of ICU capacity over there, added to demographics, climate and culture.
 
















Poojah

Well-known member
Nov 19, 2010
1,881
Leeds
Boris has the virus now!

I said this a couple of weeks ago, but the sheer number of ‘celebrities’ who seem to be getting this suggests that it is already far more rife in the general population than we imagined. Hopefully that gives some hope of there being a degree of truth in the FT article the other day that suggested many of us now may be immune, which would surely allow us to return to some kind of normality sooner than we had hoped.

Fingers crossed, anyway.
 








BBassic

I changed this.
Jul 28, 2011
12,846
Caught it off his dad who insisted on going down the pub ?

Zing!

Could also have been:

“I’m shaking hands,” Johnson said when asked how he planned to handle visiting dignitaries.

“I was at a hospital the other night where I think a few there were actually coronavirus patients and I shook hands with everybody, you’ll be pleased to know, and I continue to shake hands.


https://www.reuters.com/article/us-...-will-not-stop-me-shaking-hands-idUSKBN20Q1IO

The bleedin' pillock.
 






Blazing Apostle

Active member
Jul 30, 2011
319
That London doctors have had to set up a Crowdfunding Masks for NHS Heroes to privately buy PPE is beyond belief.....I do hope its 100% genuine as I have contributed
 


Jimmy Grimble

Well-known member
Nov 10, 2007
10,006
Starting a revolution from my bed
Imperial College suggesting at current infection trajectory (similar to China’s) UK could top out at 5,700 deaths, with the peak being 260 deaths on 5th April. This isn’t a prediction, more a suggestion from what we know so far as to how it could pan out.

We certainly appear to be on a lower trajectory than Italy or Spain, which can only be good news.

Have you got a link? Thanks.
 


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