[Politics] 2020 US election - Joe Biden vs Donald Trump

[nwgull]

It means the betting market thinks he's less likely to win Georgia than he was. He is still favourite however.



Good table, but I'm struggling to understand the meaning of the lean rating.

It's the percentage by which democrats or republicans are estimated to win by, presumably based on voter registration or previous elections. So in Fulton, the Dems win by about 50% - ie 75% to 25%, or 8400 to 2800 in raw votes. Not sure that this accounts for the higher likelihood of mail-ins being for Dems or not.

 

[Hugo Rune]

Georgia done counting at 5pm apparently.
Virtually impossible for Trump to win the Presidency without court action if Biden wins there.

 

[father_and_son]

With a Biden victory could the final twist be that once in the White House various Trump misdemeanours come to light and he ends up with criminal charges?

Or as an ex POTUS does he qualify for some kind of immunity?

In 30 years he has participated in 4000 lawsuits. That's an average of nearly 3 a week! That's about 600 new ones backed up while he's had immunity.

Yes, he starts most but definitely not all. He'll be sending a lot of time with lawyers come January!

 

[Papa Lazarou]

Fulton county, Georgia just released 6k ish votes, and Biden reduced the lead by about 4k.

 

[Bozza]

Think a lean of 20 would be 60/40, Biden needs a bit more but there is the postal "skew" factor

That can't be right - there's a 51 and a 75 in there.

Fulton is showing as +75, yet the overall split on votes counted so far is 72.6 / 26.3.

 

[Papa Lazarou]

Latest on Georgia

Trump 49.53% (2,434,354)
Biden 49.23% (2,419,589)

 

[Bozza]

I guess the lean factor is the "relative to Georgia" bit, ie it's not absolute.

 

[Papa Lazarou]

Pennsylvania

New votes in:

Trump lead drops to 121k

 

[Igzilla]

Pennsylvania

New votes in:

Trump lead drops to 121k

Now 118.5k

 

[Papa Lazarou]

Now 118.5k

Drip drip.

 

[peterward]

Pennsylvania

New votes in:

Trump lead drops to 121k

More alarmingly, of the multiple legal actions he's taking to try and stop/suppress the vote, he's got some kind of injunction to set aside 29k + another 6k ballots in the Pittsburgh county.

29k ballots were something to do with form changes and the 6k, scruffy or wouldnt go through machines (need manual processing).

He's trying everything to steal the election.

Hope those 34k are not the deciding factor, you just know that will go the supreme court if they were.

 

[Papa Lazarou]

More alarmingly, of the multiple legal actions he's taking to try and stop/suppress the vote, he's got some kind of injunction to set aside 29k + another 6k ballots in the Pittsburgh county.

29k ballots were something to do with form changes and the 6k, scruffy or wouldnt go through machines (need manual processing).

He's trying everything to steal the election.

Hope those 34k are not the deciding factor, you just know that will go the supreme court if they were.

The CNN person in situ explained that the cutoff for postal votes in Pennsylvania is FRiday I think, so they are waiting until after then to count them, but yes, they have had to be put to one side because the Republicans have challenged their validity.

I'd assume the scruffy would be counted eventually.

 

[Papa Lazarou]

Expecting some new Nevada votes soon. Which would be refreshing.

 

[Bold Seagull]

[tweet]1324180525456777216[/tweet]

 

[peterward]

Expecting some new Nevada votes soon. Which would be refreshing.

My name is Peter Ward and I'm a CNN addict.

 

[Papa Lazarou]

Biden has slightly increased his lead in Nevada - to 12,042 about 4.5k more

 

[Papa Lazarou]

My name is Peter Ward and I'm a CNN addict.

I don't think I've ever seen as competent coverage as CNN's for this election

 

[A1X]

[tweet]1324180525456777216[/tweet]

The bit at the end where he just sits there with his mouth gaping open is so brilliant

 

[Bob!]

Georgia done counting at 5pm apparently.
Virtually impossible for Trump to win the Presidency without court action if Biden wins there.

EST or GMT?

 

[Lady Whistledown]

Biden has slightly increased his lead in Nevada - to 12,042 about 4.5k more

11,791