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[News] Middle East conflict



armchairclubber

Well-known member
Aug 8, 2010
1,603
Bexhill
Israel can’t do it alone. Iran is a massive Country and these facilities would mostly be deep underground afaia.



The only peaceful resolution to prevent a war with Iran now (because this is gathering its own momentum, I think), would be if Iran came back to the table and signed a new Nuclear Non-Proliferation Deal with the US. That won’t happen if Trump wins the Election because he is pro-Netanyahu and Netanyahu imo has shown no indication that he wants peace with Hezbollah or Iran - but every indication he wants them gone.

Your talk is gathering its momentum.

How about you promote some talk within the Labour Party of some pressure on Starmer and Lammy for a change in direction and abiding by the ICJ ruling.

You could start with ending any arms sales to Israel and in recognising the Palestinian State?
 
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Zeberdi

“Vorsprung durch Technik”
NSC Patron
Oct 20, 2022
6,243
Your talk is gathering its momentum.

How about you promote some talk amongst your Labour comrades of putting some pressure on Starmer and Lammy for a change in direction and abiding by the ICJ ruling.

You could start with ending any arms sales to Israel and in recognising the Palestinian State?
1727898507141.jpeg
 


nicko31

Well-known member
Jan 7, 2010
18,246
Gods country fortnightly
Israel can’t do it alone. Iran is a massive Country and these facilities would mostly be deep underground afaia.

Since my earlier post today, the idea that this is building up to a conflict where Western allies with Israel take out Iran’s nuclear facilities seems to have become a ‘thing’ in MSN this evening for the first time, it might be on the agenda.

I think we should be under no doubt at all, that if this conflict in Gaza and now Lebanon, is a deliberate pre-curser to the West doing this, or even just mission creep - Israel has started so lets carry on (which I suggested might be the case back last October) - then we in the UK would be heading full on into war. The mission won’t be ‘defending Israel, nor will it be helping to get rid of Hezbollah in Lebanon (that won’t get the support of the UK public) , I believe it will be attacking Iran - ‘destroying Iran’s WMDs’. Sounds familiar?

The only peaceful resolution to prevent a war with Iran now (because this is gathering its own momentum, I think), would be if Iran came back to the table and signed a new Nuclear Non-Proliferation Deal with the US. That won’t happen if Trump wins the Election because he is pro-Netanyahu and Netanyahu imo has shown no indication that he wants peace with Hezbollah or Iran - but every indication he wants them gone.

A really interesting article which will answer your question specifically and how difficult it would be

Yep until the US election is done and dusted they won’t be doing too much. Really need to try and improve relations with Iran
 


SeagullinExile

Well-known member
Sep 10, 2010
6,133
London
I’m at a loss to understand why the US and UK will shoot down Iranian missiles, but won’t shoot down Russian missiles fired at Ukraine. Double standards. It’s a disgrace.
 


Zeberdi

“Vorsprung durch Technik”
NSC Patron
Oct 20, 2022
6,243
I’m at a loss to understand why the US and UK will shoot down Iranian missiles, but won’t shoot down Russian missiles fired at Ukraine. Double standards. It’s a disgrace.
Wrong thread but …
 




A1X

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Sep 1, 2017
20,085
Deepest, darkest Sussex
I’m at a loss to understand why the US and UK will shoot down Iranian missiles, but won’t shoot down Russian missiles fired at Ukraine. Double standards. It’s a disgrace.
I think a large part of it is because Iran’s mad leader doesn’t have access to enough nuclear warheads to obliterate the planet whereas Russia’s mad leader does, so the tightrope to walk is thinner.
 


SeagullinExile

Well-known member
Sep 10, 2010
6,133
London
I think a large part of it is because Iran’s mad leader doesn’t have access to enough nuclear warheads to obliterate the planet whereas Russia’s mad leader does, so the tightrope to walk is thinner.
As I said. Double standards.
 


Triggaaar

Well-known member
Oct 24, 2005
52,282
Goldstone
I’m at a loss to understand why the US and UK will shoot down Iranian missiles, but won’t shoot down Russian missiles fired at Ukraine. Double standards. It’s a disgrace.

Iran doesn't share a border with Israel, so there is opportunity for the US and UK to position themselves in the middle and shoot down missiles. They obviously can't move into Ukraine without becoming directly involved in the conflict. What they have done is to provide Ukraine with weapons to shoot down many of the missiles, so it's essentially doing the same thing.
 




Dec 29, 2011
8,147
Israel can’t do it alone. Iran is a massive Country and these facilities would mostly be deep underground afaia.

Since my earlier post today, the idea that this is building up to a conflict where Western allies with Israel take out Iran’s nuclear facilities seems to have become a ‘thing’ in MSN this evening for the first time, it might be on the agenda.

I think we should be under no doubt at all, that if this conflict in Gaza and now Lebanon, is a deliberate pre-curser to the West doing this, or even just mission creep - Israel has started so lets carry on (which I suggested might be the case back last October) - then we in the UK would be heading full on into war. The mission won’t be ‘defending Israel, nor will it be helping to get rid of Hezbollah in Lebanon (that won’t get the support of the UK public) , I believe it will be attacking Iran - ‘destroying Iran’s WMDs’. Sounds familiar?

The only peaceful resolution to prevent a war with Iran now (because this is gathering its own momentum, I think), would be if Iran came back to the table and signed a new Nuclear Non-Proliferation Deal with the US. That won’t happen if Trump wins the Election because he is pro-Netanyahu and Netanyahu imo has shown no indication that he wants peace with Hezbollah or Iran - but every indication he wants them gone.

A really interesting article which will answer your question specifically and how difficult it would be

Imagine a US invasion on the pretext of WMDs. Would it be over as quickly as the Iraqi invasion, or does Iran have a lot better defences than Sadam had?
 


SeagullinExile

Well-known member
Sep 10, 2010
6,133
London
Iran doesn't share a border with Israel, so there is opportunity for the US and UK to position themselves in the middle and shoot down missiles. They obviously can't move into Ukraine without becoming directly involved in the conflict. What they have done is to provide Ukraine with weapons to shoot down many of the missiles, so it's essentially doing the same thing.
We should agree to disagree on this. We could and should of put a no fly zone in place over Ukrainian airspace. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is far more of a danger to us than anything Iran does to Israel. The people of Ukraine need our direct help, Israel doesn’t.
 






Insel affe

HellBilly
Feb 23, 2009
24,052
Brighton factually.....

Disgusting, Israel is making a long term rod for it's own back, these children and people will grow up with hatred in their hearts against Israel, in the future this will come back to haunt them, peace will never come to this region.

I would never forget or forgive, the circle goes around and around on both sides.
 
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nicko31

Well-known member
Jan 7, 2010
18,246
Gods country fortnightly
Disgusting, Israel is making a long term rod for it's own back, these people will grow up with hatred in their hearts against Israel, in the future this will come back to haunt them, peace will never come to this region.

I would never forget or forgive, the circle goes around and around on both sides.
What I feel really disappointing is the lack the condemnation from our government, the US and other western governments. This is surely a war crime nothing else...
 


Triggaaar

Well-known member
Oct 24, 2005
52,282
Goldstone
We could and should of put a no fly zone in place over Ukrainian airspace.

I would like that, but it would involve shooting Russian air defence systems on Russian soil, and shooting down Russian planes (and having our plans shot down by them). That's a direct fight with Russia, which is quite an escalation with unknown consequences. If we're firing missiles at Russian (which is what you're advocating) then why wouldn't they fire missiles at London? Is that what we want, to protect a country which isn't in NATO?


Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is far more of a danger to us than anything Iran does to Israel. The people of Ukraine need our direct help, Israel doesn’t.

I agree and we've given them far more help than we're giving Israel.
 


SeagullinExile

Well-known member
Sep 10, 2010
6,133
London

This is sickening. I’m genuinely beginning to feel hatred towards Israel. All the time our government does as says nothing, they are complicit in this genocide as far as I’m concerned.
 


Zeberdi

“Vorsprung durch Technik”
NSC Patron
Oct 20, 2022
6,243
The Jews have lived in that part of the world for thousands of years, predating other current faiths and as long as any other race. After being mass murdered in pogroms for 2,000 years they started returned to their homeland before WW2, the Holocaust the final understandable jolt.

To me the problems predate the lazy blame the UK in 1945 argument. There was a growing murder Jews movement in the Middle East pre WW2.

Iran - a disgusting regime that murders dissenters, organised rape and murder by the police of women, women treated like dirt. In an alliance with Russia and North Korea to murder Ukrainians. With no connection to events in Israel, Iran have for years often attacked global shipping.

I'm pro anything to stop their missiles, including attacking the source.

Finally, I believe in a two state solution.
I agree with most of this ( except having a full out war with Iran - I think that should be avoided if at all possible.)

I also don’t think we can begin to understand the dynamics of the current conflict without recognising that the Palestinians also have a history alongside the one outlined above, that presents a very different narrative and is also one that involves being victims of terrorism, illegal occupation, being dispossessed of their homes, apartheid and oppression and being murdered for dissent. Rape of women and girls in military detention, enforced starvation and mass killings.

I‘m pro anything that will stop the missiles from both sides.

I also support a two state solution.
 




SeagullinExile

Well-known member
Sep 10, 2010
6,133
London

Lebanese solider killed while evacuating casualties with Red Cross, says armypublished at 12:32 British Summer Time
12:32 BST​


The Lebanese army says one of its soldiers was killed, and another injured, when they were hit by Israeli forces in southern Lebanon.

The incident happened as the army and Lebanese Red Cross were evacuating casualties from the village Al Taybeh, the army says.

We'll bring you more details about this incident as we get them.

It seems the invaders are targeting the Lebanese Army now. They really seem to want this conflict to escalate don’t they?
 


Bakero

Languidly clinical
Oct 9, 2010
14,759
Almería
No expert but here's what I know:

Hezbollah is both a political and military organisation which was formed during the Lebanese civil war. Formed from various Shiite groups, they were aligned with Iran since day one. Within Lebanon they have decent support from the Shia Muslim population but are viewed negatively by many. That said, they're a major player in the Lebanese political scene. In terms of militants, I believe they're mostly Lebanese but there may well be foreign militants.

Like I said, they've been backed by Iran since their Inception. Both Hezbollah and Iran share strategic goals as well as religion (both represent Shia Muslims).

The Lebanese diaspora greatly outnumbers the internal population and most of them are Christian. Interreligious tension predates Hezbollah though and was a factor in the civil war.

As for the British, no idea. Lots of people of Lebanese descent in the UK though, many of whom are Christian. Not a surprise that some had returned to live or visit.

Just to add to this comment on their popularity; I just heard (on the Rest is Politics) that in a recent poll just 12% of Lebanese said they identified with Hezbollah. Discounting Shia Muslims (who make up just under 30% of the population), it dropped to ~1%. However, just checked, and they got almost 20% of the popular vote at the last election.
 


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