Would you take a place in the PO Final now...

[happypig]

Half the top 6 get promoted but we're not, yet, guaranteed a top 6 finish, so there is a less than 50% chance of going up. In the playoff final there is exactly 50% so that has to be the answer.

 

[sparkie]

No, you'd settle for a playoff final if it gave you a better chance of promotion, and it does.

By taking the playoff final, you are assuming we won't get there anyway, or will fail to get top 2.

 

[Triggaaar]

By taking the playoff final, you are assuming we won't get there anyway

No I'm not. We might get there, we might not. We might finish top two, we might not. As things stand, the chance of us getting promotion is about 28%. If we were guaranteed a place in the final, the chance would be about 50%. That's a lot better than 28% right. So it's a good idea.

Of course I totally respect those that don't care there's less chance, they want to enjoy the ride and see what happens. But in terms of odds, of course we'd be better with a guaranteed place in the final.

 

[sparkie]

Well, perhaps, each to their own.

I'm certain that on April 6th, the 'likelyhood' of top 2 will have significantly shifted in our favour.

Far too early to 'cash out' for me.

 

[SeagullinExile]

A playoff spot will exceed this seasons expectations in all honesty. So lets secure that first, then launch an all out assault on the big three for an automatic - The pressures all on them.

 

[dazzer6666]

Too early to cash out. Every week we see all sorts of posts about 'must win' games, 'no chance Boro will slip up' etc etc, then another set of daft results come in. With the squad we've got now, Hull not scoring, boro falling to bits and none of the other playoff contenders threatening to put a run together, it's Burnley +1 for me and we've got a very decent chance. Worst case, I'd really fancy us over two legs against any of the competition, so no, I wouldn't take a play off final place now.

Just annoyed I am missing tonight's game, having arranged stuff around the original date :-(

 

[Triggaaar]

I'm certain that on April 6th, the 'likelyhood' of top 2 will have significantly shifted in our favour.

While I like your optimism, you don't seem to understand what 'certain' means.

 

[dazzer6666]

While I like your optimism, you don't seem to understand what 'certain' means.

....or be able to spell likelihood [emoji3] Loving the optimism though. [emoji106]

 

[SlamDunk]

We've come this far already, why not go for it!?

 

[TSB]

And now?

 

[StonehamPark]

And now?

I hate to say it, but yes.

Next 2 games require (most likely) 4 or more points including 3 points off the 2nd placed team, away.

Play-Off Final would require just 1 win, against a lower placed team, at a neutral ground.

Higher % chance of promotion by taking the play-off final.

 

[TSB]

I hate to say it, but yes.

Next 2 games require (most likely) 4 or more points including 3 points off the 2nd placed team, away.

Play-Off Final would require just 1 win, against a lower placed team, at a neutral ground.

Higher % chance of promotion by taking the play-off final.

Probably true but I'd argue that having two bites at the cherry are better than one.

 

[dazzer6666]

And now?

No. Ask again on Monday evening......

 

[sparkie]

11 days until Premier League ?

Technically 2 losses could still get us there ?

2nd chance even if we don't make it at Riverside ?


No chance I'll change my mind at this stage !

 

[Peter Grummit]

Yes.

PG