Normal Rob
Well-known member
how much money do you have on it? a £1 bet doesn't really mean much...
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[Albion] Who is going down with WBA & Sheffield Utd? Fulham? Newcastle? BHA? A N Other?
- Thread starter Steve Foster
- Start date
how much money do you have on it? a £1 bet doesn't really mean much...
KeegansHairPiece
New member
- Jan 28, 2016
- 1,829
1 PPG keeps you out of the bottom 3 pretty consistently throughout the PL era. This has nothing to do with how poor SU or WBA are - every year 3 teams will score under 1PPG. It would be an anomaly of a season for a team on 32pts after 30 games to be in the bottom 3.
While results haven’t been as anyone would like, performances consistently have and that’s what still sticks you on 32 pts with 8 to play - performances pick up points, even when results don’t fall your way. GD also a big indicator of that.
blue-shifted
Banned
The question I find interesting here, is what are the chances that we have enough points already?
So really i'm asking what are the chances Fulham get 5 or fewer points from their remaining 7 games or Newcastle get 2 or fewer ... (possibly we can't rely on GD if we've lost our 8 remaining)
I still think that's around a 20% ish chance. That will rise sharply if Fulham have another bad result on Friday.
For clarity I don't think we will lose the rest of our games. It's just a thought process I use to make me feel better about our predicament.
So really i'm asking what are the chances Fulham get 5 or fewer points from their remaining 7 games or Newcastle get 2 or fewer ... (possibly we can't rely on GD if we've lost our 8 remaining)
I still think that's around a 20% ish chance. That will rise sharply if Fulham have another bad result on Friday.
For clarity I don't think we will lose the rest of our games. It's just a thought process I use to make me feel better about our predicament.
Whitechapel
Famous Last Words
Tenner.
I don’t actually think we’ll go down, but I thought 40/1 was too big. Was just curious to see if any of the negative loudmouths had done similar. Strange if not.
Richy_Seagull
Well-known member
It doesn’t follow you around for 30 games, we’ve had the odd win this season where things have fallen for us and we’ve got the 3 points which maybe didn’t deserve.
However the number of matches where luck has not been on our side this season blows the above out the water. It’s fair to say anyone who has watched every game this season would agree we should comfortably be 5-10 points better off and not worried about a thing.
The idea that luck evens out over a season is cobblers....
Normal Rob
Well-known member
In the nicest way. I hope it loses. I expect it to.
Fulham have to get 2 wins and another point due to our superior GD to catch us. And that’s not taking into account our game in hand.
According to projections we have a 1% chance of relegation. A win against Everton may be enough. Even if we don’t I’d back us not to get zero points in our remaining games (we seem to be pretty good at drawing).
Who is going down with WBA & Sheffield Utd? Fulham? Newcastle? BHA? A N Other?
Hear hear. Let’s see those betting slips.
Hear hear. Let’s see those betting slips.
blue-shifted
Banned
I think you'll find "they don't gamble"
Arthur
Well-known member
I certainly don't think we are out of this at all.
Leeds and Sheff Utd are probably the only teams who we'll play who have nothing to play for. Lets face it Leeds are going to be wanting to stick one on us after we shamelessly stole Ben White away from them. Sheff U are playing every game like its a cup final and surely the players are going to be wanting to put themselves in the shop window.
Wolves are probably safe but could still get dragged into it.
West Ham and Chelsea have top 4 to play for. Everton still in the european hunt and I can see Arsenal making a late charge given their run in.
Man City will be champions by the time we play them but they could put their drunk second string out and still win.
Basically I think we need to hope we are safe going into the last 3 games.
Leeds and Sheff Utd are probably the only teams who we'll play who have nothing to play for. Lets face it Leeds are going to be wanting to stick one on us after we shamelessly stole Ben White away from them. Sheff U are playing every game like its a cup final and surely the players are going to be wanting to put themselves in the shop window.
Wolves are probably safe but could still get dragged into it.
West Ham and Chelsea have top 4 to play for. Everton still in the european hunt and I can see Arsenal making a late charge given their run in.
Man City will be champions by the time we play them but they could put their drunk second string out and still win.
Basically I think we need to hope we are safe going into the last 3 games.
And Arsenal
Worried Man Blues
Well-known member
All we have to do is get one more point and Fulham have to win three, unlikely!
blue-shifted
Banned
Presumably they might get draws as well
Left Footer
Well-known member
Live by the sea
Well-known member
- Oct 21, 2016
- 4,718
Think Fulham will do a bit better than some people think . We need in my opinion 4 more points to be safe .
Left Footer
Well-known member
Wolves are pretty naff since Jota left and without Jimenez so can see Fulham scraping 3 points on Friday as they have to.
Could do with Burnley/Newcastle being a draw but this could be seen as the game where Newcastle get a win.
Ultimately i think Fulham will go, their capitulation on Sunday at Villa was comical especially in a game that they were gifted a goal and Villa looked toothless until Trezeguet and Davis came on.
Could do with Burnley/Newcastle being a draw but this could be seen as the game where Newcastle get a win.
Ultimately i think Fulham will go, their capitulation on Sunday at Villa was comical especially in a game that they were gifted a goal and Villa looked toothless until Trezeguet and Davis came on.
Worried Man Blues
Well-known member
Or two wins and two draws
Goal diff means, three draws? So five positive results out of seven games, no chance!!
This is where I am Icy,
I'll continue to pick us to go down in the hope that I'm seldom correct in my predictions and certainly won't be lulled into a false sense of security, we have the hardest run in in my opinion and we can certainly not relax.
I'm also led to believe, by THE Leeds fans, that if we were to go down, they are automatically granted the right to sign Ben White in the summer, so they have that incentive, too.
blue-shifted
Banned
Err sorry, I had heard that they've progressed way beyond White and he would now be nowhere near good enough for them