John Bumlick
Banned
Bet 365..
Brighton 1/100 to make playoffs, there 100% certain we make it
they're
Bet 365..
Brighton 1/100 to make playoffs, there 100% certain we make it
Looks completely wrong to me. How does:Vegas Seagull is correct (with a user name like that he should be able to work out the odds)
Three possible outcomes for the two Brighton games = 6
Ditto for Bolton = 6
Ditto for Forest = 6
Three poss outcomes for three Palace games = 9
So number of possible combinations 6x6x6x9 = 1944
Looks completely wrong to me. How does:
"Three possible outcomes for the two Brighton games = 6"? It should be 9 (3*3)
So it should be 9*9*9*27 = 19,683.
Looks completely wrong to me. How does:
"Three possible outcomes for the two Brighton games = 6"? It should be 9 (3*3)
So it should be 9*9*9*27 = 19,683.
Ooops...you're right. Scrub that calculation then - I knew I shouldn't have tried to do it late at night
No, those are number of points, not possible results. That won't help you work out the odds.No, he's right. Only six possible outcomes from two games:
6 pts (W+W)
4 pts (W+D)
3 pts (W+L)
2 pts (D+D)
1 pt (D+L)
0 pts (L+L)
No, those are number of points, not possible results. That won't help you work out the odds.
Note the OP said: "There are 2,592 combinations of possible results in the remaining Albion, Palace, Bolton and Forest games, only 51 of them would produce a situation where we would not be in the top four - approx 2 out of a 100."
No, he's right. Only six possible outcomes from two games:
6 pts (W+W)
4 pts (W+D)
3 pts (W+L)
2 pts (D+D)
1 pt (D+L)
0 pts (L+L)
Just to use your example to explain, with 1 game, there are 3 possible results (W,L,D), with 2 games there are 9 possible results (but as you said, only 6 possible outcomes points wise). Those 9 are:My head hurts.
Just to use your example to explain, with 1 game, there are 3 possible results (W,L,D), with 2 games there are 9 possible results (but as you said, only 6 possible outcomes points wise). Those 9 are:
W,W
W,D
W,L
L,L
L,D
L,W
D,D
D,W
D,L
The easy way to work that out is simply 3 (from 1 game) * 3 (from the second game).
If you just want to know the possible points outcomes, then yes. But if you want to work out the combinations of getting there, then no. Either is fine, but the OP was talking about combinations of results in the remaining games, not combinations of points.But isn't it outcomes that count rather than results - it doesn't matter whether it's a D and a W or a W and a D? Both result in four points.
I think we can say, we're in the playoffs.