[Politics] Tonight,s EU vote and the margin of defeat ?

[Leekbrookgull]

All the 'experts' predicting that May will be defeated (and here is where i need a bit of help) as it stands 650 MP,s but how many are actually allowed to vote and with that in mind the margin of defeat. Around 75 for me.

 

[RandyWanger]

Is this the official match thread?

 

[WATFORD zero]

She'll loose

 

[Djmiles]

She’ll lose by 650. She’s even voting against herself.

 

[Bozza]

The whips will be doing all they can to persuade those that would otherwise vote against to go for a walk at voting time to try and minimise the size of the defeat.

 

[Tom Hark Preston Park]

Wot no POLL?

 

[Pavilionaire]

One hundred and EIGHTY!

 

[Sussex Nomad]

The whips will be doing all they can to persuade those that would otherwise vote against to go for a walk at voting time to try and minimise the size of the defeat.

Isn't it the case that even one of the Tory whips are voting against the Govt?

 

[WilburySeagull]

All the 'experts' predicting that May will be defeated (and here is where i need a bit of help) as it stands 650 MP,s but how many are actually allowed to vote and with that in mind the margin of defeat. Around 75 for me.

Dont understand the "how many allowed to vote" part. All of them unless "paired" with someone on other side but this would be difficult with parties divided as pairing usially agreed by whips. I understand one labour mp has ddlayed a c-section so she can vote.

 

[studio150]

. Around 75 for me.

I think if she only loses by 75, she will be popping champagne corks and doing back flips all the way back to No.10

Far more likely to be around 220 and the biggest defeat ever

 

[Horton's halftime iceberg]

Could be going for the all time record

https://home.bt.com/news/latest-news/historical-numbers-for-comparing-the-brexit-vote-11364325349463

 

[BensGrandad]

Obviously she will lose but what size defeat, if any will trigger a general election?

 

[Kinky Gerbil]

98 is my guess

 

[Horton's halftime iceberg]

Obviously she will lose but what size defeat, if any will trigger a general election?

Well the same article shows confidence motion loses as well. Callahan lost by 1 then instantly called a general election that he lost.

 

[Bozza]

Obviously she will lose but what size defeat, if any will trigger a general election?

Will it?

Labour will call a vote of no confidence, presumably, but the Tory turkeys won't then vote for Christmas will they?

 

[LlcoolJ]

It will trigger "something" as "something" will be necessary to extend Article 50. No idea what yet though.

I'm going for 217.

 

[BensGrandad]

Would it require a vote of no confidence as well as the brexit vote to bring about a GE or would a resounding defeat automatically mean no confidence so a GE?

 

[WilburySeagull]

No tory no DUP will vote for the no confidence motion and I suspect it is intended primarily to illustrate Mrs May cant succeed by trying again later. It is really to clear the road for discussion of other options maybe compromise (shock horror even using the word!)

 

[happypig]

Dont understand the "how many allowed to vote" part. All of them unless "paired" with someone on other side but this would be difficult with parties divided as pairing usially agreed by whips. I understand one labour mp has ddlayed a c-section so she can vote.

She was offered a pair but declined as the tories welched on a previous pairing deal (Brandon Lewis(C) was paired with Jo Swinson(LD) but voted anyway)

 

[Thunder Bolt]

Isn't it the case that even one of the Tory whips are voting against the Govt?

Yes the Tory whip, Gareth Johnson, resigned the whip.