Looks like we need to load up in the next 2 games, before the following 2.
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To avoid bed wetting - the staying up tracker 36 - level - WE ARE STAYING UP
- Thread starter Giraffe
- Start date
Behind Enemy Lines
Well-known member
Thank you for doing this. The remaining home game predictions look very optimistic to me. Wins against Burnley, Watford, Leicester and Huddersfield? Very unlikely. We’ll be doing well to win two of those on current home form. And no away win for the rest of the season? If we’re going to stay up we are going to have to win at least one more away game, if not two.
Last edited:
- Aug 8, 2005
- 27,221
- Thread starter
- #203
Agreed but remember the premise of the predictions - win at home to last seasons bottom ten and draw away to last seasons bottom ten. Nothing else.
Behind Enemy Lines
Well-known member
Hadn’t realised that, thank you for the clarification.
TheJasperCo
Well-known member
Hudds is definitely included there, surely? Must be one of the games we need to gain points from.
More worried about how we are playing than the charts. Not sure what's happened to us. We look dreadful
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- Aug 8, 2005
- 27,221
- Thread starter
- #208
Quick update after yesterday's disappointment. We are now right on par for 40 points.
16 games in, we have been as expected in 8, better than expected in 4, and worse than expected in 4.
Slightly worrying we need 7 points out of the next 5 games to maintain parity with two of these away to Chelsea and Spurs. A tough ask on current form. But I wouldn't rule out a cheeky point against one of those. Hard to see us beating both Burnley and Watford though.
Note on the same basis Palace are now five points behind, but need to beat at Watford at home this week just to maintain that.
16 games in, we have been as expected in 8, better than expected in 4, and worse than expected in 4.
Slightly worrying we need 7 points out of the next 5 games to maintain parity with two of these away to Chelsea and Spurs. A tough ask on current form. But I wouldn't rule out a cheeky point against one of those. Hard to see us beating both Burnley and Watford though.
Note on the same basis Palace are now five points behind, but need to beat at Watford at home this week just to maintain that.
Attachments
I see a major flaw in your plan.
We have 11 home games left and 4 are against top 6 sides. That leaves 7.
You have forecast us to win 6 of these when our last 4 home games (ignoring Liverpool) have all been draws.
Your tracker is depressing reading now
We have 11 home games left and 4 are against top 6 sides. That leaves 7.
You have forecast us to win 6 of these when our last 4 home games (ignoring Liverpool) have all been draws.
Your tracker is depressing reading now
- Aug 8, 2005
- 27,221
- Thread starter
- #210
I see a major flaw in your plan.
We have 11 home games left and 4 are against top 6 sides. That leaves 7.
You have forecast us to win 6 of these when our last 4 home games (ignoring Liverpool) have all been draws.
Your tracker is depressing reading now
Not my plan, just an independent way of tracking progress.
I agree with your assessment, we are in the brown stuff.
I see a major flaw in your plan.
We have 11 home games left and 4 are against top 6 sides. That leaves 7.
You have forecast us to win 6 of these when our last 4 home games (ignoring Liverpool) have all been draws.
Your tracker is depressing reading now
This was sort of my point about the 24 points from 16 games >>> https://nortr3nixy.nimpr.uk/showthread.php?358822-24-points-from-16-games
- Aug 8, 2005
- 27,221
- Thread starter
- #212
It is depressing reading for sure. The only comfort I am taking is that Palace are 5 points below their tracker. All the time we maintain that gap we have a chance. But at the 11 game stage we were plus 5 and they were minus 7, a 12 point gap. It's now 5. Just talked myself out of even that positive point.
Huddersfield are obviously going for a home fortress mentality as the best way to stay up.
We need to do the same.
The difference being that they go for their home games from start to finish whereas we start lethargic and lazy as though we're trying not to over-tire and then go 1-0 down and end up chasing the game.
We have got to change and quickly.
We need to do the same.
The difference being that they go for their home games from start to finish whereas we start lethargic and lazy as though we're trying not to over-tire and then go 1-0 down and end up chasing the game.
We have got to change and quickly.
Blue Valkyrie
Not seen such Bravery!
I can't see how it is possible to get 6 points vs Burnley and Watford.
We seem to be about to fall significantly behind target.
We seem to be about to fall significantly behind target.
Nixonator
Well-known member
Said for a while that we need to be well ahead of these expected 6pts.
Stephen Seagull
Well-known member
23 points by Boxing day seems very unrealistic right now the way we’re playing.
Beach Hut
Brighton Bhuna Boy
Winning the next two home games will require a significant change of mentality
Weststander
Well-known member
And personnel. Where's the pace, creativity and goal threat coming from?
Goberpiles
Active member
- Feb 25, 2017
- 605
Am I being dim but are you suggesting we won't win 1 away game all season?
AZ Gull
@SeagullsAcademy @seagullsacademy.bsky.social
Yes - go back and read the opening post.