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[Misc] Thunderstorms kicking off.....................

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Bozza

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Jul 4, 2003
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Back in Sussex
Didn't Michael Fish say something similar?
Well, with the weather blowing up from the south today, I'm struggling to see where we're going to get hit from right now.

Screenshot 2023-09-10 at 15.31.33.png
 




Bozza

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Jul 4, 2003
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Back in Sussex








Bozza

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Jul 4, 2003
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Back in Sussex
Yada yada. BBC still says clear unbroken sunshine in Brighton
Sure - but you've slung mud at the Met Office a few times in your last few posts, but they have absolutely nothing to do with the forecast you are complaining about!
 








Bozza

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Jul 4, 2003
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I recall weatherman-in-residence @Papa Lazarou previously explaining why the online/app BBC weather forecast can be so unreliable.

I think it may be something to do with it being entirely automated and produces an average, of sorts, of various weather model inputs.

Anyway, I'll leave it to him to explain, as it's well above my pay grade!
 










Bodian

Well-known member
May 3, 2012
14,278
Cumbria
I recall weatherman-in-residence @Papa Lazarou previously explaining why the online/app BBC weather forecast can be so unreliable.

I think it may be something to do with it being entirely automated and produces an average, of sorts, of various weather model inputs.

Anyway, I'll leave it to him to explain, as it's well above my pay grade!
I went for a bike ride through the Yourkshire countryside this morning. In one field, approximately 40% of the cows were lying down. Checking the BBC forecast when I got back to our cottage, it said that there was a 40% chance of rain this afternoon. I reckon that's where they get their predictions.

They may as well - they are really bland now, covering almost every eventuality.

The other thing that annoys me about their forecasts now, is that the daily symbol often bears no relation to the hourly symbols. The other day the daily symbol was a rain drop and half sun - which would imply a bit of an iffy/changeable day. Whereas the hourly forecast was full sun until 8pm - then rain for an hour.

And how can they really be SO different to the Met Office for the same place?

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1694377131704.png
 




BN41Albion

Well-known member
Oct 1, 2017
6,829
I went for a bike ride through the Yourkshire countryside this morning. In one field, approximately 40% of the cows were lying down. Checking the BBC forecast when I got back to our cottage, it said that there was a 40% chance of rain this afternoon. I reckon that's where they get their predictions.

They may as well - they are really bland now, covering almost every eventuality.

The other thing that annoys me about their forecasts now, is that the daily symbol often bears no relation to the hourly symbols. The other day the daily symbol was a rain drop and half sun - which would imply a bit of an iffy/changeable day. Whereas the hourly forecast was full sun until 8pm - then rain for an hour.

And how can they really be SO different to the Met Office for the same place?

View attachment 166272

View attachment 166273
It's just bloody hard to predict the weather accurately, despite all the tech on offer. There are so many conditions/variables and so many forecast models are run, each with slightly varying outcomes - or quite different if further in the future, especially if the jet stream as all over the place. Different sources use different models or an average of different models.

Agree on the daily symbol on BBC though!
 




vegster

Sanity Clause
May 5, 2008
28,273
I recall weatherman-in-residence @Papa Lazarou previously explaining why the online/app BBC weather forecast can be so unreliable.

I think it may be something to do with it being entirely automated and produces an average, of sorts, of various weather model inputs.

Anyway, I'll leave it to him to explain, as it's well above my pay grade!
The BBC now get their weather forecasts from Meteo Group as they were forced to end their links to The Met Office a few years back...
 


pasty

A different kind of pasty
Jul 5, 2003
31,040
West, West, West Sussex
Pineda de Mar. Spain. Been going on like this for 20 minutes nonstop. And yes, I know I should have filmed it landscape but it was 2.30 am and I wasn’t quite with it 😜

 
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Bozza

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Jul 4, 2003
57,313
Back in Sussex




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