We're dooooomed.
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[Misc] The Award-winning official "More Snow Tomorrow?" Thread [2024-25 Season]
- Thread starter Giraffe
- Start date
We're dooooomed.
pearl
Well-known member
I don't mind snow, but hate ice. Some nice fluffy snow that turns to slush and melts would be fine, but no ice please
Seasidesage
New member
My Arthritis would disagree
Still banging that drum I see? Your particular coastal area missed out sure, but inland Sussex got several inches that caused problems on the roads.
Papa Lazarou
Living in a De Zerbi wonderland
Met office
UK Outlook for Wednesday 16 Jan 2019 to Friday 25 Jan 2019:
Cloudy skies and a spell of rain will slowly edge southeastwards on Wednesday, clearing most places by the end of the day. Behind this it will turn clearer and colder from the north by Thursday, with scattered blustery showers, becoming wintry across northern areas. Winds will be strong with a risk of gales in the north at times. Thereafter, it looks set to remain mainly cold, unsettled and sometimes windy, with any milder spells tending to be brief and associated with longer spells of rain. The rain could turn to snow almost anywhere, but particularly across northern and central areas. especially later in this period. Some drier, brighter, quieter spells are likely, perhaps with snow showers, especially in the east. During such spells, frost could become widespread and severe.
UK Outlook for Saturday 26 Jan 2019 to Saturday 9 Feb 2019:
During the last week of January and into early February, there is an increased likelihood of cold weather being established across all of the UK. This would bring a greater risk of snow, ice and widespread frost, particularly across northern parts of the country. However, there remains uncertainty over the extent of the cold weather and how long it will last, and it is still possible that some milder and wetter interludes will intersperse this generally cold period, especially in the south.
https://www.metoffice.go.../public/weather/forecast
UK Outlook for Wednesday 16 Jan 2019 to Friday 25 Jan 2019:
Cloudy skies and a spell of rain will slowly edge southeastwards on Wednesday, clearing most places by the end of the day. Behind this it will turn clearer and colder from the north by Thursday, with scattered blustery showers, becoming wintry across northern areas. Winds will be strong with a risk of gales in the north at times. Thereafter, it looks set to remain mainly cold, unsettled and sometimes windy, with any milder spells tending to be brief and associated with longer spells of rain. The rain could turn to snow almost anywhere, but particularly across northern and central areas. especially later in this period. Some drier, brighter, quieter spells are likely, perhaps with snow showers, especially in the east. During such spells, frost could become widespread and severe.
UK Outlook for Saturday 26 Jan 2019 to Saturday 9 Feb 2019:
During the last week of January and into early February, there is an increased likelihood of cold weather being established across all of the UK. This would bring a greater risk of snow, ice and widespread frost, particularly across northern parts of the country. However, there remains uncertainty over the extent of the cold weather and how long it will last, and it is still possible that some milder and wetter interludes will intersperse this generally cold period, especially in the south.
https://www.metoffice.go.../public/weather/forecast
Weststander
Well-known member
Hi [MENTION=236]Papa Lazarou[/MENTION] - only a day later I know, but do you think very cold weather is likely for SE England from roughly Tues 22/1 onwards?
Papa Lazarou
Living in a De Zerbi wonderland
I've been tracking the snow likelihood for Brighton from the GFS ensemble. It's definitely possible.
Papa Lazarou
Living in a De Zerbi wonderland
that's based upon this ensemble plot... over the days.
As it shows there is still a wide range of possible temperatures, as the setup is still unclear. We get the initial divergence 18th to 21st (black circle) and this continues markedly from the 22nd with some very cold options showing (blue). The snow % never get's above 50% for any day, but that's hardly a surprise with lots of outcomes still possible.
As it shows there is still a wide range of possible temperatures, as the setup is still unclear. We get the initial divergence 18th to 21st (black circle) and this continues markedly from the 22nd with some very cold options showing (blue). The snow % never get's above 50% for any day, but that's hardly a surprise with lots of outcomes still possible.
Weststander
Well-known member
Many thanks. If bitter cold/snow looks likely, please keep us informed.
Papa Lazarou
Living in a De Zerbi wonderland
If that thick yellow line occurred, that would be deep snow and temps below freezing day and night. Sadly (IMO) that's not the most likely outcome. The flip side that that run is the GFS Parallel run, which is effectively the New Operational run in waiting. It runs at the same (highest) resolution as the Op, but with some 'improvements'. So, hope springs eternal.
Cheshire Cat
The most curious thing..
https://www.express.co.uk/news/weat...ast-snow-warning-weather-forecast-latest-maps
Daily Express predicting Armageddon again, so best unpack the shorts, flip-flops and sun cream. Barbecue anyone?
Daily Express predicting Armageddon again, so best unpack the shorts, flip-flops and sun cream. Barbecue anyone?
martin tyler
Well-known member
- Jan 25, 2013
- 5,967
I think Monday night into tuesday morning next week currently looks promising but would think it’s to early to be anywhere near certain where that weather front will actually end up. Seems still a wide range of possible temperatures from the charts as well.
vegster
Sanity Clause
- May 5, 2008
- 28,273
Plenty of dry logs at Ferring Nurseries the other day, don't panic!
Papa Lazarou
Living in a De Zerbi wonderland
No clear winner yet. Still a large range of temperatures available after the 21st.
Plus the Snow Row figures are still encouraging - and trending slightly higher.
However, there will be a point this week where the models will get a handle on this uncertainty, and thing will swing decisively one way or the other.
Plus the Snow Row figures are still encouraging - and trending slightly higher.
However, there will be a point this week where the models will get a handle on this uncertainty, and thing will swing decisively one way or the other.
Papa Lazarou
Living in a De Zerbi wonderland
The tricky but is this period (21st to 22nd) where the low goes and ow much blocking gets established to the West and North West of the UK
Weststander
Well-known member
I'll keep an eye out this end too
Here’s your Canary Islands forecast, every day the same
Uncle Spielberg
Well-known member
All the latest models are now showing no real cold this week or the much heralded next week, showing 6-7 c daytime max and night minimums around 0 c at the coldest. Metcheck is 1.5 c above normal for January and going up, after a mild november and december, it is in fact quite remarkable in that we have had no cold weather all winter, not even a brief cold snap pretty much anywhere in the uk, remarked on by the bbc weatherman today. They are now backtracking on any cold next week and an easterly looks very remote
Papa Lazarou
Living in a De Zerbi wonderland
Still a chance - but the likelihood has fluctuated over the past few days
