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[Misc] The Award-winning official "More Snow Tomorrow?" Thread [2024-25 Season]







Albion my Albion

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Feb 6, 2016
19,609
Indiana, USA
You get acquainted to heavy snow if you live in an area that regularly gets large amounts of snow. The city just to the east of us (where Pete Buttigieg was mayor & the Univ of Notre Dame is located) South Bend gets about 6 more inches of snow each snowfall than we do in the NW part of the state
 


Weststander

Well-known member
Aug 25, 2011
69,240
Withdean area
You get acquainted to heavy snow if you live in an area that regularly gets large amounts of snow. The city just to the east of us (where Pete Buttigieg was mayor & the Univ of Notre Dame is located) South Bend gets about 6 more inches of snow each snowfall than we do in the NW part of the state

Great Lakes effect?
 


Audax

Boing boing boing...
Aug 3, 2015
3,263
Uckfield
True, but I'm not putting much faith in that, just yet.
Indeed. Roll forward 24 hours and it all (Feb cold) seems a lot less likely now. But this far out, it'll continue to flip-flop around for a while. The models do all have a tendency to want to "correct" back to the "normal" patterns too rapidly.
 


casbom

Well-known member
Jul 24, 2007
2,598
Indeed. Roll forward 24 hours and it all (Feb cold) seems a lot less likely now. But this far out, it'll continue to flip-flop around for a while. The models do all have a tendency to want to "correct" back to the "normal" patterns too rapidly.
Exactly (which is what the GFS is showing) and the signal is for westerlies (as in unsettled weather from the Atlantic) to take control once this cold spell breaks down (a fired up jet due to the pending extreme cold in the States doesn't help). It's after that (with the near Strat reversal lag) where we could have some more joy in Feb. As for next week, there's more chance of the disruptive snow missing us than hitting, but still a chance. Plus there is always the chance of snowfall anytime next week, very cold upper temps with scope for troughs to popup at short notice. I'm just going to enjoy the seasonal weather next week and if I see any snow, that'll be a bonus ;)
 








Uncle Spielberg

Well-known member
Jul 6, 2003
43,093
Lancing
Lancing peaked at 2C 36F today, a lot colder than forecast
 




dangull

Well-known member
Feb 24, 2013
5,161
The chance of a major snow event in the south on Wednesday seems to evaporated. The southern front which was predicted a few days ago to produce precipitation in southern counties seems to be not crossing the chanel now.
 


Weststander

Well-known member
Aug 25, 2011
69,240
Withdean area
The chance of a major snow event in the south on Wednesday seems to evaporated. The southern front which was predicted a few days ago to produce precipitation in southern counties seems to be not crossing the chanel now.

ECMRW, Met Office and Meteo Group (used by the BBC) all forecast a cold and arid week for Sussex.

Whilst GFS and GEM forecast some snow for SE England mid week. Personally, hoping they’re correct.
 








Albion my Albion

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Feb 6, 2016
19,609
Indiana, USA
Great Lakes effect?

For the most part, yes. I drove back from South Bend to Valparaiso yesterday during the snowfall and I went through 3 different areas of weather. Heavy snowfall in South Bend, very wet snow in LaPorte County and heavy rain on top of snowfall in Valparaiso.
 


Weststander

Well-known member
Aug 25, 2011
69,240
Withdean area
For the most part, yes. I drove back from South Bend to Valparaiso yesterday during the snowfall and I went through 3 different areas of weather. Heavy snowfall in South Bend, very wet snow in LaPorte County and heavy rain on top of snowfall in Valparaiso.

As a snow lover, I watch with interest when polar weather pours down over the NE, Buffalo forever has had some incredible blizzards heightened by the Lake Effect,
 




Harry Wilson's tackle

Harry Wilson's Tackle
NSC Patron
Oct 8, 2003
56,069
Faversham


Harry Wilson's tackle

Harry Wilson's Tackle
NSC Patron
Oct 8, 2003
56,069
Faversham
Certainly cold, but no wind makes it far more bearable than a few degrees warmer but windy. Perfect winter weather to wrap up warm and go out in - love walking in this weather
I went for a cycle today. Lovely. We have sun in Fav early next week which will make my annual intensive teaching trips to London tolerable.
 


Albion my Albion

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Feb 6, 2016
19,609
Indiana, USA
14 F / -10 C today in NW Indiana with both snowfall & rain underneath the snow will end up being ice all over the ground eventually.
 






Giraffe

VERY part time moderator
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Aug 8, 2005
27,217
From the Icon model for next Wednesday.

IMG_3317.jpeg
 


Weststander

Well-known member
Aug 25, 2011
69,240
Withdean area
IMG_1466.png
From the Icon model for next Wednesday.

View attachment 172674

GFS. Beachy Head alone gets a depth of 1cm, whilst the French and Belgians break out their Langlauf skis after a blizzard. Even SE Netherlands forecast to get over half a metre on some reliable weather sites! As it’s always been, so near and yet so far.
 
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