This link displays the ensemble forecast for London and an explanation of how to interpret it.
http://www.theweatheroutlook.com/twoforecasts/ensemble-forecast.aspx?location=London
This link displays the ensemble forecast for London and an explanation of how to interpret it.
http://www.theweatheroutlook.com/twoforecasts/ensemble-forecast.aspx?location=London
The most recent GFS Ensemble goes slightly colder in the latter stages. A step in the right direction
Light flurry of snow here at present.
Give the cocaine up mate told you before
There is no chance of snow just average temps next week 6 to 7 c daytime and a bit of frost at night
Any updates Papa on the possibility of a flumping?
The very recent 18z run looks a slight improvement in terms of 850hpa temps and snow percentage down here
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Background synoptics have been highlighting a possible change for a while. The models are now picking up on these signals and cold is being increasingly modelled. Overnight runs are the coldest of the winter and point to a more significant cold spell. As Papa says however things are still fluid so any snow is far from guaranteed.
This morning's GFS and UKMO both look very encouraging. ECMWF operational is less exciting, but I'll be interested to see the ECM Ensemble to see where it sits.
My BBC weather app is showing max temps of 4 and mins of -1 for Mon - Fri next week in SE London. It certainly looks like it's going to get a lot colder than of late.