[Misc] The Award-winning official "More Snow Tomorrow?" Thread [2024-25 Season]

[Uncle Spielberg]

There will be repurcusions this year with Nature being completely f***ed up with no winter at all. The first time ever there has literally been no winter. The natural order of things will be completely off kilter now this year. Even in previous mild winters you still get half a dozen days with a max day of around 0C, this year we have had 3 days with a high of 5C with the rest of the winter around 10-14C by day. Night mins have fallen below -1C on ONE occassion the whole winter.

 

[Trufflehound]

The first time ever there has literally been no winter.

Can't speak for where you are, but it last happened here 5 years ago (2006-07) ...

 

[Scoffers]

There will be repurcusions this year with Nature being completely f***ed up with no winter at all. The first time ever there has literally been no winter. The natural order of things will be completely off kilter now this year. Even in previous mild winters you still get half a dozen days with a max day of around 0C, this year we have had 3 days with a high of 5C with the rest of the winter around 10-14C by day. Night mins have fallen below -1C on ONE occassion the whole winter.

US has evolved from a amateur weather forecaster to a fore-teller of ultimate destruction. Chillax man

 

[Gritt23]

There will be repurcusions this year with Nature being completely f***ed up with no winter at all. The first time ever there has literally been no winter. The natural order of things will be completely off kilter now this year. Even in previous mild winters you still get half a dozen days with a max day of around 0C, this year we have had 3 days with a high of 5C with the rest of the winter around 10-14C by day. Night mins have fallen below -1C on ONE occassion the whole winter.

I'm in North Kent, and I've certainly been scraping ice off the car 3 or 4 times this winter, and we did even get a light flurry of snow one day, so let's not get too carried away.

 

[Papa Lazarou]

the highlight the uncertainty... if you rubn through the different GFS ensemble members here:

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gefs_cartes.php?ech=96&code=20&mode=2&carte=0

for precipitation / type for Monday (96hours) Id say about half have snow showing over the SE, much of it being showers, so the usual places are prone, but some show organised / heavy snow. Other's show a wintry mix and others rain. No agreement.

The ensemble plot will be interesting to see where the Operational run sits.

 

[Uncle Spielberg]

3 or 4 times yes, but only around freezing point, rest of the time 8-11C night time mins.

 

[Woodchip]

There had definitely been more nights below 0 than 1 in Seaford. I remember 2 consecutive days this year (2012) where it had been -2 at 7.20 in the morning. Admittedly Brighton had felt much warmer, but the world is bigger than the cities of Brighton and London.

Sent by the power of 1000 turtles

 

[Uncle Spielberg]

-3C one night here, 4 around 0C, the rest about 9C min on average. Considering night mins should be around 1-2C on average, most nights it has been 8-11C min.

 

[Papa Lazarou]

Let's not turn this into a slagging off of US thread. He's correct in so far as the winter so far is concerned, it's been pretty much 'winter free'. I'm hoping that will be corrected from next week.

 

[Papa Lazarou]

Meteociel - Diagrammes GEFS

Current GFS ensemble shows pretty good agreement on sub.zero temps early next week and a healthy snow probability %

 

[CliveWalkerWingWizard]

Meteociel - Diagrammes GEFS

Current GFS ensemble shows pretty good agreement on sub.zero temps early next week and a healthy snow probability %

I assume we are looking for low mean temp and high precipitation so at present the 5th looks interesting ?

 

[Art Vs Science]

Let's not turn this into a slagging off of US thread. He's correct in so far as the winter so far is concerned, it's been pretty much 'winter free'. I'm hoping that will be corrected from next week.

Sorry Papa, do not understand all the tachnical talk, but always read the thread, but with regards to next week, what is the chance of snow percentage wise and is it likely to be a work breaker(I do not bloody want snow though)

 

[jakarta]

3 or 4 times yes, but only around freezing point, rest of the time 8-11C night time mins.

Southwick maybe, not north of the Downs, have come home late several times this month and it has been down to -2 or -3 Centigrade around midnight, certainly had several consecutive days scraping frost off the car.

Surely we have just gone back to the sort of Winter we had for several years before the two freakish ones of 2009/10 and 2010/11?

 

[highway61]

talking weather, 2 nice loud cracks of thunder here in Littlehampton

 

[Uncle Spielberg]

8C Saturday 7C Sunday and still the weather forecasters insist on this being " cold " for late January. It is not. It is around normal. 6-7C is normal for this time of year. Not forgetting we need 0C to have snow and that is a huge drop. I can't see it happening this winter and it is just as likely the Westerlies will take over next week with 10C-12C again. Its just too late for any meaningful cold weather.

 

[Woodchip]

That's strange I just watched a report that said 0° for Sat-Mon (BBC South East)

Sent by the power of 1000 turtles

 

[supaseagull]

8C Saturday 7C Sunday and still the weather forecasters insist on this being " cold " for late January. It is not. It is around normal. 6-7C is normal for this time of year. Not forgetting we need 0C to have snow and that is a huge drop. I can't see it happening this winter and it is just as likely the Westerlies will take over next week with 10C-12C again. Its just too late for any meaningful cold weather.

I'm sorry but im not an expert. However other than the last two years ALL of the heavy snowfall received in the south east has been in February or March and in 2008 we had a bucket load of snow on the first Sunday in April...I remember it well as there was a cricket force day in Ditchling I was due to go to!

I can't believe anyone who wants to be known as a credible source of information can say its "too late" for any meaningful cold weather...sorry US.





Sent from my iPhone using a goat

 

[South Stand Bonfire]

1 Nice crack here too mate!

talking weather, 2 nice loud cracks of thunder here in Littlehampton

 

[severnside gull]

Just back from walking the dogs - we had three nights below zero just over a week ago and I'm predicting brass monkeys again tonight.
No idea if we will get any serious snow but I can easily remember twenty winters or more where it was no worse than this one up to this point.
Ask me again around the end of April/mid May and we will know for sure how mild or otherwise it has been

 

[bn1&bn3 Albion]

First full winter in England and I may have chosen the warmest