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[Politics] The 2024 US Election - *MATCH DAY*

Who will win the 2024 Presidential Election?

  • President Joe Biden - Democrat

    Votes: 3 0.7%
  • Donald Trump - Republican

    Votes: 173 41.9%
  • Vice President, Kamala Harris - Democrat

    Votes: 217 52.5%
  • Other Democratic candidate tbc

    Votes: 20 4.8%

  • Total voters
    413
  • This poll will close: .


Zeberdi

“Vorsprung durch Technik”
NSC Patron
Oct 20, 2022
6,941
Not true. The espionage went from prosecuting people for spying to those who leaked classified information.
That’s not true - NATIONAL DEFENCE information under the Espionage Act does not need to be classified or leaked nor even proven there was an intention to leak as I explained above ( with links to back that up) - it only needs to relate to National Security info not being properly handled and wilfully held onto when officials request it back. Setting aside Trump’s personal papers, the records of the Presidency belong in the National Archives not in a gold plated bathroom in a golf resort…. It is a matter of fact whether Trump is guilty and will be established in Court one way or another. I posted links to cases in my post above where numerous people have been convicted for non-spy and removal of non-classified NDI from secure State control/protection.

As for Trump arguing he ’declassified’ anything is laughable - that’s not how it works - an ex President can’t ‘think‘ something into a declassification, it needs to go through a procedure with officials.
This was 4 years ago, or getting on for it. It’s amazing how all these crimes are being prosecuted in an election year, pure coincidence no doubt. In fact theres been one case to get it moved into the election run in which the supreme court booted, brought by prosecutor smith.
It takes years of pre- trial discovery and investigation before cases come to trial. The FBI opened this investigation in 2022. Your paranoid conspiracy theories hold no weight in this case I am afraid - if you think Trump is suddenly being charged out of the blue in election year, you clearly have no idea how slowly the DoJ works or how long investigations take.

The Stormy Daniels case was a 5 year investigation and the investigations against Trump for January 6 began on December 19 2022 when the House select committee publicly voted to recommend that the DOJ bring criminal charges against Trump. The New York Attorney General Letitia James began investigating the Trump organisation for the current fraud case in early 2019, with public litigation beginning in August 2020 to support her subpoenas in the inquiry.

None of these charges have anything to do with Trump subsequently announcing he was running again. Other than of course, Trump thinking if he ran again it would give him an opportunity to discredit prosecutors for the many indictments against him by claiming the charges are a political witch-hunt or even better, maybe hoping to give himself a pardon if he became elected.

MAGA has fallen for it, the GOP are exploiting it.
 
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Crawley Dingo

Political thread tourist.
Mar 31, 2022
1,080
That’s not true - NATIONAL DEFENCE information under the Espionage Act does not need to be classified or leaked nor even proven there was an intention to leak as I explained above ( with links to back that up) - it only needs to relate to National Security info not being properly handled and wilfully held onto when officials request it back. Setting aside Trump’s personal papers, the records of the Presidency belong in the National Archives not in a gold plated bathroom in a golf resort…. It is a matter of fact whether Trump is guilty and will be established in Court one way or another. I posted links to cases in my post above where numerous people have been convicted for non-spy and removal of non-classified NDI from secure State control/protection.

As for Trump arguing he ’declassified’ anything is laughable - that’s not how it works - an ex President can’t ‘think‘ something into a declassification, it needs to go through a procedure with officials.

It takes years of pre- trial discovery and investigation before cases come to trial. The FBI opened this investigation in 2022. Your paranoid conspiracy theories hold no weight in this case I am afraid - if you think Trump is suddenly being charged out of the blue in election year, you clearly have no idea how slowly the DoJ works or how long investigations take.

The Stormy Daniels case was a 5 year investigation and the investigations against Trump for January 6 began on December 19 2022 when the House select committee publicly voted to recommend that the DOJ bring criminal charges against Trump. The New York Attorney General Letitia James began investigating the Trump organisation for the current fraud case in early 2019, with public litigation beginning in August 2020 to support her subpoenas in the inquiry.

None of these charges have anything to do with Trump subsequently announcing he was running again. Other than of course, Trump thinking if he ran again it would give him an opportunity to discredit prosecutors for the many indictments against him by claiming the charges are a political witch-hunt or even better, maybe hoping to give himself a pardon if he became elected.

MAGA has fallen for it, the GOP are exploiting it.

"and wilfully held onto" yes we've done this bit.

And yes they are all co-ordinated and pre planned, not out of the Blue to come to trial this year. Could all be academic after the supreme court judgement, they'll look to see how many of the prosecutors are Republican :ROFLMAO: . Also Fani the Geogia DA is under investigation for corruption and collusion with the White House.

After Assange revealed the Primary was rigged against Bernie Sanders and the Muller Enquiry was rigged why are you so gullible to swallow everything orchestrated by the top of the DNC?
 


PILTDOWN MAN

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Sep 15, 2004
19,641
Hurst Green
"and wilfully held onto" yes we've done this bit.

And yes they are all co-ordinated and pre planned, not out of the Blue to come to trial this year. Could all be academic after the supreme court judgement, they'll look to see how many of the prosecutors are Republican :ROFLMAO: . Also Fani the Geogia DA is under investigation for corruption and collusion with the White House.

After Assange revealed the Primary was rigged against Bernie Sanders and the Muller Enquiry was rigged why are you so gullible to swallow everything orchestrated by the top of the DNC?
Why are so gullible, period? As they say over there.
 


beorhthelm

A. Virgo, Football Genius
Jul 21, 2003
36,026
So if I took a load of documents from your house, some of which you claim are important to you, such as the deeds to your house, and if I claim that I can't give them back to you because I don't have them, can't remember taking them, and wouldn't even know where to look for them because if for sake of argument I did take them (but I didn't) they could be miss-placed after accidentally being buried in 100 boxes, you'd be OK with that?

The essence of Trump's bullshit is that he is claiming (or maybe it's just you) that he didn't take anything classified, because nothing classified has yet been found. But once a classified document has been found he is a guilty as if he had taken the deeds from your house. You are attempting to exonerate him from willfully (knowingly) taking classified material on the grounds that someone (Trump himself?) 'can't find' the documents? Wow.

I'll remember that going forward. It means I can steal anything, and as long as I can't remember whether I stole it, or where I put it, I can claim innocence. And what's more, anyone who disagrees is a persecutor.
classifed documents have been found though. as i understand it, after denial then amnesia before documents were found, he resorted to i'm special so the law doesn't apply. then made a claim he declassified them, which is beyond his power. that's his defense, "as President I can do what I like". in the coming court cases this will test the foundation of the Presidency and constitution.

more worryingly, they also found several dozen empty folders with classified marking.
 


Seagull58

In the Algarve
Jan 31, 2012
8,516
Vilamoura, Portugal
The Crawly drongo is doing a bad job of defending Trump. However, there is something compelling about @lasvegan's (presumed) narrative that when you wash off the greasepaint, there is very little of substance between Biden and the orange bungle****. If you can tolerate some buffoonery, some lies, some hubris, and just focus on your income, then why not vote Trump?

I am not saying I accept the argument (and I am probably someone who can tolerate a loss of excitement and a lack of a big fat erection of Making Britain Great - other nations are available - so I'm not in need of a jingo hit) but the distance between sleepy Joe and the bungle**** may not be so extreme as we on the UK left may feel. I mean, I feel it, but I dislike all carpetbaggers, liars, bullies and molesters. But if the pound in your pocket is your bottom line (other currencies are available) you may be able to vote for whatever Twat is promising the marginally better deal for you and your interests without holding your nose.

I loathe Trump far more than I worry about sleepy Joe, but who am I to insist that my values are better than those of, for example, a redneck?
The difference between Trump and Biden is night and day. Economic performance, healthcare, foreign policy, support for the constitution, women's rights, security of State secrets etc. etc. etc. Even wrt security of the border where Trump has instructed his cult followers to tank the congressional deal.
 




Zeberdi

“Vorsprung durch Technik”
NSC Patron
Oct 20, 2022
6,941
After Assange revealed the Primary was rigged against Bernie Sanders and the Muller Enquiry was rigged why are you so gullible to swallow everything orchestrated by the top of the DNC?
I haven’t swallowed anything other than how Trump has presented himself - on the contrary, my first post on this thread was to question Trump’s suitability for President. This has nothing to do with the DNC but based on his actual track record in the Whitehouse - In one term (which was all the electorate could cope with!) he demonstrated ‘needy’, high risk, relationships with dictators, a belligerent attitude towards allies and a personality characterised by narcissistic behaviour and an egocentric disregard for law enforcement agencies, the security agencies and DoJ. Foreign leaders found him difficult and expressed an unwillingness to engage with him - he insulted 3 Star Generals, sacked 3 Chief of Staffs within the first 24 months of his administration and his relationships with WH staffers was toxic. His personal life laid him open to blackmail and foreign influence in American politics and he was a subject for mockery on the world stage - do you really want this man for President again?

As for his criminal court cases, they have all gone forward having been voted for indictments before Grand Juries - you can’t possibly think Grand Juries are made up of the top leaders of the Democrat Party 😂
 


peterward

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Nov 11, 2009
12,283
Yes. I suppose I was trying to express how it is possible that ostensibly sensible people in the US can vote for Trump.

The MAGA cult is indeed crazed, but I wasn't thinking about them. We have crazed loons who support our two main parties (albeit whereas the crazed tory loons would back a pig in a blue rosette, the labour loons seem more interested in going on protest marches, opposing their own party and enacting "no compromise with the electorate" initiatives). I was thinking more about tens of millions of 'silent majority' Americans who just shrug their shoulders at Trump's antics and vote for him without liking him. Much the same way a lot of people (perhaps the majority) decide how to vote in the UK.

I think we need to disentangle gun totin' MAGA loons from rank and file American voters. In much the same way we need to disentangle 'anti-woke coalition' tory gammon from rank and file members of the public who generally favour conservatism. 'We' (of the self-styled centre left) will never win the hearts and minds of the persuadable by tarring the persuadable with the same brush as we tar the lunatics.

And I say that as someone with a long history of badmouthing conservatives. Am I still on a learning curve? It would be pleasing if so :lolol:

As for the 'there all the same' contingent, I feel this is often a mantra invoked by right wing lunatics when they have lost an argument, rather than an expression of middle ground apathy. This is also probably the reason why we are hearing the mantra so often these last few years. ???
Brilliant artcile in the Guardian that helps to understand who the hell are these cult lunatics who support him.

#TeamIntrinsic

 


Seagull58

In the Algarve
Jan 31, 2012
8,516
Vilamoura, Portugal
I haven’t swallowed anything other than how Trump has presented himself - on the contrary, my first post on this thread was to question Trump’s suitability for President. This has nothing to do with the DNC but based on his actual track record in the Whitehouse - In one term (which was all the electorate could cope with!) he demonstrated ‘needy’, high risk, relationships with dictators, a belligerent attitude towards allies and a personality characterised by narcissistic behaviour and an egocentric disregard for law enforcement agencies, the security agencies and DoJ. Foreign leaders found him difficult and expressed an unwillingness to engage with him - he insulted 3 Star Generals, sacked 3 Chief of Staffs within the first 24 months of his administration and his relationships with WH staffers was toxic. His personal life laid him open to blackmail and foreign influence in American politics and he was a subject for mockery on the world stage - do you really want this man for President again?

As for his criminal court cases, they have all gone forward having been voted for indictments before Grand Juries - you can’t possibly think Grand Juries are made up of the top leaders of the Democrat Party 😂
You should have stopped at "you can't possibly think".
 






Harry Wilson's tackle

Harry Wilson's Tackle
NSC Patron
Oct 8, 2003
56,208
Faversham
I haven’t swallowed anything other than how Trump has presented himself - on the contrary, my first post on this thread was to question Trump’s suitability for President. This has nothing to do with the DNC but based on his actual track record in the Whitehouse - In one term (which was all the electorate could cope with!) he demonstrated ‘needy’, high risk, relationships with dictators, a belligerent attitude towards allies and a personality characterised by narcissistic behaviour and an egocentric disregard for law enforcement agencies, the security agencies and DoJ. Foreign leaders found him difficult and expressed an unwillingness to engage with him - he insulted 3 Star Generals, sacked 3 Chief of Staffs within the first 24 months of his administration and his relationships with WH staffers was toxic. His personal life laid him open to blackmail and foreign influence in American politics and he was a subject for mockery on the world stage - do you really want this man for President again?

As for his criminal court cases, they have all gone forward having been voted for indictments before Grand Juries - you can’t possibly think Grand Juries are made up of the top leaders of the Democrat Party 😂
It is perfectly legitimate to state that 'on balance, I feel more comfortable with Trump than with Biden'.

The trouble starts when one tried to justify this. I think one would have to argue that despite all the damage Trump did to the US reputation, and to individuals with whom he came into contact, his overall influence on the wealth and freedom of a sufficient number of Americans means he was a good president.

And this has to be balanced by an argument that despite Biden also presiding over an economy that had an overall positive influence on the wealth and freedom of a sufficient number of Americans, and despite Biden not embarrassing America on the world stage, or causing harm and distress to as many people with whom he has come into direct contact as Trump did, Biden is a greater risk to the future of America. For some reason.

I find it difficult to even voice this narrative, let alone defend it.

However, the constant gaslighting and whataboutery and downright Old Bollocks that @Crawley Dingo is offering us by way of a case for Trump is embarrassing, and little more than trolling. I don't have him on ignore because I'm quite enjoying watching his 'narrative' being defenestrated by a number of remarkably patient and tolerant people on here. I salute your indefatigability.
 


Harry Wilson's tackle

Harry Wilson's Tackle
NSC Patron
Oct 8, 2003
56,208
Faversham
There meltdown on here when Trump wins is going to be hilarious.
I expect he will win. Frankly, as always, the electorate gets the leaders it deserves. No meltdown from me. Just a bit of tutting.
 




Stato

Well-known member
Dec 21, 2011
7,375
The difference between Trump and Biden is night and day. Economic performance, healthcare, foreign policy, support for the constitution, women's rights, security of State secrets etc. etc. etc. Even wrt security of the border where Trump has instructed his cult followers to tank the congressional deal.
The main difference is that one, at the end of his second term, will leave office and that the other has shown that he will do everything he can not to. Let's be blunt, the motivation for Trump's run for the presidency is to keep himself out of jail. If the Democrats were really as powerful and Machiavellian as some would have you believe, they would have offered to sort all his legal problems in return for him pulling out. They haven't because they don't actually have this power and actually believe in the rule of law.

If he wins, then this just delays his legal troubles and he will be at risk again after his term and will not care what he has to break to protect himself. Most people who vote are not actually very interested in politics and you could forgive them for not being aware enough to be scared of this eventuality, but the last election proved the doomsayers correct, whatever the law says, Trump will not go willingly or easily. For people who do follow and understand politics and democratic safeguards, it's unbelievable that a Democracy can be so politically divided that someone who has done what he has done is allowed anywhere near the nomination, let alone be ahead in the polls.
 


Sid and the Sharknados

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Sep 4, 2022
5,722
Darlington
However, the constant gaslighting and whataboutery and downright Old Bollocks that @Crawley Dingo is offering us by way of a case for Trump is embarrassing, and little more than trolling. I don't have him on ignore because I'm quite enjoying watching his 'narrative' being defenestrated by a number of remarkably patient and tolerant people on here. I salute your indefatigability.
This is one of the most consistently entertaining threads I've seen on NSC.
While also being one of those I'm least interested in engaging with (at least, in any constructive manner).
 


Zeberdi

“Vorsprung durch Technik”
NSC Patron
Oct 20, 2022
6,941
It is perfectly legitimate to state that 'on balance, I feel more comfortable with Trump than with Biden'.
…. I salute your indefatigability.
And I salute your efforts at balance H. I agree too, there are strong arguments against Biden but he is the only alternative.

Tbh - I can’t even get as far as policy differences- the differences between Trump and Biden in terms of character and statesmanship is like crossing the rubicon for me. His whole raison d’etre for running is very likely to keep himself from being convicted - it is outrageous that he is using the goodwill of his political base’s campaign donations to pay for him to try and do that.

Having said that, there are issues such as women’s rights, inclusivity and healthcare that if I were in the States, would be a very good reason for choosing Democrat. The economy has taken a hit as inflation soared around the world post covid, oil prices soaring as a result of the war in Ukraine (and now the ME). It is difficult to untangle what might or might not have happened if Trump had got a second term in 2020 but I doubt he would have stopped Putin or Netanyahu since he enabled them both in many ways.
 




Kuipers Supporters Club

Well-known member
Feb 10, 2009
5,770
GOSBTS
The difference between Trump and Biden is night and day. Economic performance, healthcare, foreign policy, support for the constitution, women's rights, security of State secrets etc. etc. etc. Even wrt security of the border where Trump has instructed his cult followers to tank the congressional deal.
Foreign policy?

Biden has been an absolute shower of shite.
 


Harry Wilson's tackle

Harry Wilson's Tackle
NSC Patron
Oct 8, 2003
56,208
Faversham
And I salute your efforts at balance H. I agree too, there are strong arguments against Biden but he is the only alternative.

Tbh - I can’t even get as far as policy differences- the differences between Trump and Biden in terms of character and statesmanship is like crossing the rubicon for me. His whole raison d’etre for running is very likely to keep himself from being convicted - it is outrageous that he is using the goodwill of his political base’s campaign donations to pay for him to try and do that.

Having said that, there are issues such as women’s rights, inclusivity and healthcare that if I were in the States, would be a very good reason for choosing Democrat. The economy has taken a hit as inflation soared around the world post covid, oil prices soaring as a result of the war in Ukraine (and now the ME). It is difficult to untangle what might or might not have happened if Trump had got a second term in 2020 but I doubt he would have stopped Putin or Netanyahu since he enabled them both in many ways.
Well, indeed. That's how I feel. I was just making the point that it is possible to make a case for Trump, but to do so honestly requires acknowledging all the points to which you allude, and taking the position that they don't matter in the great scheme of things.

In some respects this is a plausible narrative - provided you are clear that the president is merely the chief administrator, and not someone to look up to, revere even, as the voice of the people to the people and the world. And the trouble with that is if one takes that line about Trump then it is equally reasonable, indeed inescapable, that the same line should in fairness be taken with Biden; his gaffes overlooked, and even his apparent senility disregarded (until the white house doctors write him a sick note), given that he would merely be the almost anonymous chairman of the board, with much of his work done by others (as it doubtless is, anyway).

The narrative needs to be even more nimble than I can muster though because it requires that 'leadership' qualities of dignity, honour and purpose (beyond the gift of command given by the office itself) - think Churchill, De Gaulle, JFK, Thatcher, Blair - be irrelevant; it would be nice to see someone make a serious effort to explain this; "a president does not need to have leadership qualities". Bring it on.

Instead, being a pissy, argumentative fact-twisting twit, arguing black is white, has little more than mild entertainment value, perhaps also inviting one to muse on the age old question: is the perverse narrative the product of stupidity or dishonesty?
 
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Motogull

Todd Warrior
Sep 16, 2005
10,489
I see that Taylor Swift is trying to derail Trump's campaign. I'll never buy her stuff again. I say again, but you get my drift.
 


A1X

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Sep 1, 2017
20,562
Deepest, darkest Sussex






beorhthelm

A. Virgo, Football Genius
Jul 21, 2003
36,026
He has supported Ukraine and NATO, neither of which the Diaper Don would have done.
Trump would have done as he was told by military advisors. some might have pushed for more intervention, earlier supply of some weapon systems.
 


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