Pavilionaire
Well-known member
- Jul 7, 2003
- 31,480
This is a brilliant post, and I think you've really got the heart of what's changed in American foreign policy under Trump because - for him - it's all about resources and assets. Proof of this is everywhere, from his retweeting of the AI Trump Gaza video endorsing his view that Gaza should be developed into a Riviera, Canada and its vast natural resources being absorbed into the USA as 51st state, the mineral wealth of Greenland.He didn't say that Putin would be crossing the sea to America. He said they would feel it. He was referring to Russian influence. Trump's response was to say he shouldn't tell America how they would feel, it came straight from a pub argument after chucking out time.
As for complete victory for Ukraine, I don't believe this can be done without more boots on the ground. Even with heavy US and European weaponry support the Russians have only been pegged back. That's the problem when your invader lives next door. Putin would happily destroy his own country rather than concede defeat. He is a proud, morally bankrupt, oligarchal thug. A bit like Trump. No wonder they get on.
So the future of this war for Ukraine does worry me. I've not changed my mind in three years in it. I cannot see how Ukraine can achieve a total victory without full on military support from elsewhere. That means personnel too.
It's sad, immoral and unjust that they have become a pawn in the wider political games of the heavyweights. The US was behind much of the pre-war happenings in the West of the country there, and Russia in the East. And that is why they have no wish to include Ukraine in the talks. Now they have decided to reveal their hand and go for the thing they wanted all along, resources. The US administration doesn't give a flying flamingo about the Ukranians, we saw that in the Oval Office. Trump says he wants peace. What he really wants is resources.
It seems to me that since the WWII, and especially the break up of the Soviet Union, the US has been allowed to wander the world like a newly discovered territory under the guise of a great protector. And Western nations, given their reliance and submissiveness, have stood by watching feeling protected. But what we see now is the US questioning the usefulness of Europe under it's new real estate portfolio march. And Europe is hopelessly under prepared.
All this became clear as early as his inauguration speech. Watch it again. Actually don't, it's nauseous.
Why does US see China as the main threat when there is no military conflict ? Because China is everywhere. Africa, South America, Asia. That's why they are a threat. Buying up all sorts of resources and influence. So Trump is correct when he sees them as the real enemy. But they are not Ukraine's and not Europe's because we are not on an imperial march.
So this is the real reason why we are here. The US administration no longer sees us as useful. The Ukrainians are, and have been pawns, for sometime. We will only become useful again once we buckle down and support their imperial mission. It's all so blatant.
So where does this leave Ukraine ? I don't know what will happen. All I know is both America and Russia should just leave them alone. And any internal issues should be free from outside interests and subject to some kind of independent arbitration and democratic will. As it always should have been. But that won't happen. Russia started this war, but the Americans had long stoked it. And it's the Ukrainians that suffer now those big bullies have revealed their true hand. Shame on them.
When Starmer cosied up to Trump it made me feel sick. But I knew why he was doing it. He had to play his own political game. But I bet he had his own bucket with him in the flight home. I wouldn't have enjoyed that. A true statesman he is, I agree with folk on that. It's a tough job when you are dealing with some of the people he has to.
One of the things that worries me is whether Starmer and Macron really get this. US protection will come at a price for both the protected country and - as we are seeing now - all non-US NATO countries.
And if Trump views foreign policy in terms of resources and assets, rather than the preservation of rightful sovereignty, then he will not object when other countries like Russia and China do what he has done.
What would be interesting is what Trump does if China decides to take back Outer Manchuria, because it doesn't make sense to give up a peace accord with Europe unless you're signed up with someone else, like Russia.
Starmer may be even more of a statesman than we realise if he sees beyond the Ukraine - Russia conflict and is already pre-empting the US leaving NATO. Vance has already said he doesn't care about Ukraine, Musk tweeted over the weekend he wants the US to leave NATO AND the UN, so the direction of travel is clear.